Reiss: Brady much less effective against blitz vs. standard pass rush - New England Patriots Forums

***maverick4*** · 09-27-2009, 08:17 PM

Mike Reiss' blog - Brady by the numbers - ESPN Boston

Quote:

According to ESPN Stats & Information tracking, Brady faced standard pressure on 55 of his 100 pass attempts in the first two weeks, completing 67.2 percent of his passes. But against blitzes, Brady only completed 55.6 percent of his passes.

The Falcons, however, didn't attack Brady much with the blitz on Sunday. They brought an extra pass-rusher on 11 of Brady's 42 pass attempts, according to ESPN Stats & Information tracking. Brady was 19-of-31 for 227 yards and one touchdown against four rushers. Against the blitz, he was 6-of-11 for 50 yards.

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Now, if we can accept that for this season, due to multiple reasons, that Brady this year won't be as effective against the blitz compared to a standard rush, what does this mean?

It means that we need to use LESS shot gun. Shot gun openly eliminates any chance of run (because teams know we pass 85% of the time we are in shot gun), so teams are pass rushing and often blitzing against us in this formation.

Our team has a dominant, physical rushing attack. Our O-line is good at it, we have a stable of 4 great running backs who can take turns pounding the ball all day. This also opens up play action. We can also use more screens and traps with Brady under center.

amazinPats · 09-27-2009, 08:31 PM

Excellent observations.

BradyisGod · 09-27-2009, 08:34 PM

Not to pick on Reiss, but this analysis isn't valid because he hasn't used a benchmark of comparison.

I mean, don't we all expect that performance would be lower against a blitz?

Show us league statistics of all QBs against this these types of rushes and then lets see what happens.

***Frezo*** · 09-27-2009, 08:37 PM

The blitz beater Wes Welker will take care of that.

smg93 · 09-27-2009, 08:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BradyisGod

Not to pick on Reiss, but this analysis isn't valid because he hasn't used a benchmark of comparison.

I mean, don't we all expect that performance would be lower against a blitz?

Show us league statistics of all QBs against this these types of rushes and then lets see what happens.

That's only if you were doing a comparison of Brady versus the league average. What this analysis only says is that the Pats are more successful when they aren't blitzed

***BelichickFan*** · 09-27-2009, 08:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BradyisGod

I mean, don't we all expect that performance would be lower against a blitz?

Brady's career rating vs. the blitz is higher than his average against other plays. A 2 game sample doesn't change that.

BradyisGod · 09-27-2009, 08:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by smg93

That's only if you were doing a comparison of Brady versus the league average. What this analysis only says is that the Pats are more successful when they aren't blitzed

You're right. I was just waiting for the inevitable Brady sucks against the blitz postings.

And I think that what this says comes under the category of "well, duh"

MrBigglesWorth · 09-27-2009, 08:49 PM

Isn't this already common knowlege?

until the Pats make teams pay it will be like this for a while

TriplecHamp · 09-27-2009, 08:51 PM

I think a Healthy Wes Welker will help those numbers int he future. I also really liked the pump screen plays. If we can use those more often against the blitz it should help slow them down.

***maverick4*** · 09-27-2009, 09:07 PM

So our solution is just that Welker is an upgrade over Edelman when he comes back?

The fact that the blitz is affecting Brady's timing and ability to hit the open guy, isn't a factor to change up our disproportionate use of shot gun?