Joe6pk----It is obvious that they will try to use the hammer to not give up concessions to the players...welcome the lock out..and it MAY have different owners wanting it for different reasons..but bottom line..as they MAY look at it in the long run..they have a BIG
PR problem with the public. They can look at all calclations and such..but selling the public on it is a big difference. they may not wish to lose out on a weak CBA..and they should not..but on the other hand, talking about a lock out will not, I believe, sit well with the public. How will they explain bargaining in faith when they are quietly planning a lockout way in advance? They risk REALLy poor publicity and will have to sell it to the public. SO it does matter what the owners do. Both sides may feel strongly..but getting to an agreement MAY be more important than a work stoppage/lock out..There's TONS of money...bet on football and fantasy footnall and the like..I do not think it would be at all popular to pull the plug on a season. Killing the golden goose is something neither side wishes for.
CMassPF---I think while raw bumbers are certainly higher now..I mean with expansion and TV those should be higher, but many years ago baseball was in America's soul it was America's past time..It is NOT that now at all. Football rules...THAT is the way it has become. It's not just what happened with labor in baseball but how the league is run and that has put baseball on a downside. Stats do not tell the whole story. There is a whole generation or two that has a LOT less interest in the game than a LONG time ago. THAT long agao..I could not see baseball in decline as it has been. Ask this question to any of the older people in the sports media and they say how it has declined..a smaller piece of the overall pie of sports.
Also owners may KNOW...but there is a large untangible in a lockout..all calculations could be skewed and unknowns may change those figures.
DBrz---Yes,,they gave up a bit too much..but other things in the CBA might not have worked out well for them..I think they were wise in doing what they did..as THAt extension was done rushed and under the gun.
It's funny that this has not been mentioned...losing a franchise or two or three. Instead, Goodell is wanting to more or less expand in time. I agree that a new CBA has to reflect the whole economy and the players know that as well. But they also need to get started on this early to prevent bad things in thefuture. Owners who are counting on a lockout as helping thesport may be out of luck. Things are golden in the FL...thinking they will always be like that is folly. A blind spot could easily make the league stumble. I do agree that there will be a big fight again betwen the larger prosperous markets and the smaller ones.
PF74---Nothing magical, but I do not think any of thepro leagues wish to shrink at all. There may not be anything magical about 32..it does work out freat in many ways..but I do not see any league wishing to contract..Yes it was Kones..Kraft who did give in a bit against the maller owners..and they may NOT do that this time.I really think that that also was another reason why they got out of the CBA...not sure they will concede again..in that way.
fnc---I Agreed Bird, Johnson and Jordan are all gone..and that has a lot to do with it..not the same game though...it is still quite popular but down some from its peak.
Baseball is better now..steroids REALLY saved baseball..without the Sammy and Mark homer derby and Bonds..would baseball have made the comeback? But teh one thing about all of this..looking back at labor problems in sports..all of those times took place in more economic good times..having labor issues with bad economics might be a LOT different. I am sure the hard core fans would be back...but would all the fans of the sport?? I was at one time a die hard sports fan..baseball and basketball as much as football. Both those sports to me have changed..and to me lessened...much more the occasional fan if at all.
A bad CBA could hurt the owners of course..but planning for that so far in advance is hardly bargaining in good faith. Planning that it will not be negotiated is hardly one of strength..and it will not be popular. Both players and owners have a lot to gain by getting a new CBA done..I really think BOTH have a lot to lose if there is either a lock out or other labor trouble.