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Old 12-04-2008, 02:17 PM   #31
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Default Re: Odds of making the playoffs: 18.7%

Quote:
Originally Posted by jgpatriot View Post
Wow! With the Yahoo generator, I have a scenario where Miami wins the division, Patriots get the 6th seed and the Jets are out.

I know it is unlikely but it is possible:

If Miami wins out (by default Jets lose one) and the Pats win out and Jets win 3 out of 4, then wins the division at 11-5.

That would be amazing for Phin fans. That MIA vs NYJ game is looking really big for the AFC East.

By the way, Jets at 11-5 would be out. So it is possible for a 11-5 to be out.
Exactly. Here's how it works.
We're tied with the Phins.
The Ty (sic) breakers for us both being 11-5 are as follows...
  1. Head-to-head (team with the best record in all games played between the teams tied)
  2. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the division. (This is for determining Division Champion; also, if there is a tie for a wild-card berth, this is used for breaking ties within a division.)
  3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games (only applicable with a minimum of 4 common opponents)
  4. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
1&2 we would be tied.
Skip 3 because we don't have 4 common opponents (this is where Miami's easier opponents schedule really aids them)
4 is where we buy the farm since we now have 5 Conference losses and Miami only has 4 Conf losses. Miami wins out and we are toast.

Worse yet, I will be serving Life in prison for choking to death that Wide Receiver twerp.
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Old 12-04-2008, 04:43 PM   #32
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Default Re: Odds of making the playoffs: 18.7%

Kind of depressing having a lower percentage than Cardinals, Vikings, Jets, Falcons and Dolphins. However, the Pats' three super bowl rings, all in this decade, aren't going anywhere.
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Old 12-04-2008, 05:48 PM   #33
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Default Re: Odds of making the playoffs: 18.7%

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Wow! With the Yahoo generator, I have a scenario where Miami wins the division, Patriots get the 6th seed and the Jets are out.
...
I want to smoke what jgp is smoking...
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Old 12-04-2008, 06:12 PM   #34
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Default Re: Odds of making the playoffs: 18.7%

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I want to smoke what jgp is smoking...
I wish I was smoking something. I never smoked anything other than a rack of ribs. Maybe I drank too much microbrew but the scenario is not that far-fetched.

Dolphins win out
Pats win out
Jets win 3 and lose to Phins
Balt win 2 and lose 2
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Last edited by jgpatriot; 12-04-2008 at 06:18 PM.. Reason: Corrected Baltimore part
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Old 12-04-2008, 07:02 PM   #35
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Default Re: Odds of making the playoffs: 18.7%

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Skip 3 because we don't have 4 common opponents (this is where Miami's easier opponents schedule really aids them)
Every AFC East team plays the AFC/NFC West.
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Old 12-04-2008, 11:27 PM   #36
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Default Re: Odds of making the playoffs: 18.7%

Honestly I dont think we can win the division. If only because the Jets have a pretty easy remaining schedule.

What I hope and think will most likely happen is that we take the wild card spot away from the Ravens. They are horrible against teams with winning records and they will be playing the Redskins, Steelers, Cowboys and finally the Jaguars. I see them going winning only 1 of those games... most likely against the Jags. I think we can go 3-1 (loss to the Cardinals) while the Dolphins get knocked out by going 2-2 and losing against the Jets and Chiefs.
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