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Old 10-28-2008, 05:31 PM   #1
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Default Line: Colts -5.5

ouch... oddsmakers don't like us!
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Old 10-28-2008, 05:35 PM   #2
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Default Re: Line: Colts -5.5

Quote:
Originally Posted by drew4008 View Post
ouch... oddsmakers don't like us!
Jeez, that's harsh. The Colts have been playing like crap. It's tempting to take the Pats, but the last two times I did that things have not gone well (06 vs. Indy on Sunday night and SB42).
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Old 10-28-2008, 06:30 PM   #3
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Default Re: Line: Colts -5.5

No surprise. It's still Matt Cassel on the road against Peyton Manning when the Colts backs are up against the wall. The Colts potentially have the downfield passing game to exploit our biggest weakness. This line should split the money which is basically the point of the spread anyway.
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Old 10-28-2008, 06:35 PM   #4
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Default Re: Line: Colts -5.5

the oddsmakers don't give a ****

enough people are betting the colts to push the line that way

so gamblers in general don't like us
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Old 10-28-2008, 06:41 PM   #5
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I don't think a loss would surprise anyone. Warts and all, they're the best team we've faced this year.
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Old 10-30-2008, 07:15 AM   #6
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Default Re: Line: Colts -5.5

Quote:
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ouch... oddsmakers don't like us!
has nothing to do with the "oddsmakers." lines are driven by where the money is going. this probably means that a lot/too much of the early money was on the colts so they increased the spread to get more action on the Pats.

IMO, 5 1/2 is about right. For the Colts, this is as close to a "must win" game as a team can have in Game Eight...to keep from going 3--5, being far down in the Wild Card race and having to start thinking about writing off the season. Plus it's a home game, on national TV against a team with a (ever improving) Rookie QB, no running back and no Rodney Harrison.
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Old 10-30-2008, 07:23 AM   #7
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Default Re: Line: Colts -5.5

The odds makers set the line where they think the money will go. If you listen to PATRIOTS FANS on this board, the expectation is that the 2004 Colts' offense is magically going to show up on Sunday and gain 1,000 yards and score 250 points because "this is the Colts' Super Bowl". What do you think the rest of the country is thinking.
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Old 10-30-2008, 07:30 AM   #8
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Default Re: Line: Colts -5.5

Quote:
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ouch... oddsmakers don't like us!
Eh, they get 3 points for being at home - So it's really a 2.5 point game. That's too close to call.
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Old 10-30-2008, 07:43 AM   #9
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Default Re: Line: Colts -5.5

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Eh, they get 3 points for being at home - So it's really a 2.5 point game. That's too close to call.
And this is the Colts, typically they're good for an extra point or two based solely on the reputation (so, too, are the Pats, but not this year).

Factor in that Sanders and Addai are expected back, and it's understandable why the money has gone to the Colts.

Plus, most gamblers are morons, and most morons hate the Pats enough to gamble against them.
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Old 10-30-2008, 07:56 AM   #10
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Default Re: Line: Colts -5.5

I think it's because we are at home after a few weeks and Bob Sanders is expected back. Sanders and Addai usually have good games against the Patriots. Not to mention I don't remember the last time we lost 3 in a row.

*shrugs*

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