Tag Archives: flex scheduling

NFL Week 7 Early Advanced ‘Look-Ahead’ Betting Lines: Pats favored by 4 vs Falcons

John Morgan
October 12, 2017 at 6:00 am ET

The Westgate Las Vegas Superbook has published their latest NFL Advanced Betting Lines. These early odds are posted prior to the following week’s games, including the Thursday Night Football game. Also known as Look-Ahead lines, they give the adventurous sports fan an opportunity to wager on games up to twelve days away. If you are in Vegas and have a good feeling about a matchup further down the road, the Westgate offers an opportunity to get a jump on odds that could be less favorable after Sunday’s games.

Week 7 is highlighted by a rematch of what was possibly the greatest championship game in pro sports history. The Atlanta Falcons will travel to Foxborough to take on the New England Patriots a week from Sunday night. The professional handicappers at the Westgate have listed the defending champs as four point favorites for the moment.

Since home field accounts for about a three point advantage on NFL betting lines, that means the Pats would be considered to be slightly (one point) better than Atlanta on a neutral field. That may come as a bit of a surprise to those who have witnessed the performance of New England’s defense this season. On the other hand the Falcons had issues to deal with as well after losing to Buffalo. In spite of extra time to recuperate after last week’s bye, Atlanta still had nine players on this week’s initial injury report. Wide receiver Mohamed Sanu (hamstring), defensive tackle Courtney Upshaw (ankle/knee), wide receiver Justin Hardy (illness) and kicker Matt Bryant (back) did not participate in practice on Wednesday. Wide receiver Julio Jones (hip) was limited, as was outside linebacker Vic Beasley. Atlanta’s premier pass rusher has missed the last two games with a hamstring strain/tear.

Aside from the Sunday night showdown, NFL week 7 does have other games of note. Kansas City is at Oakland for one of those rare Thursday night games worth watching. New Orleans travels to Green Bay in the early Sunday time slot, and the Broncos play the Chargers late Sunday afternoon. The week wraps up with the Eagles hosting Washington for what should be a good Monday night game.

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati has been flexed from a 1:00 pm kickoff to 4:25. That may have been done to mask what was supposed to be a good game in that late afternoon time slot. The 0-5 Giants, now depleted of most of their wide receivers, are the week’s biggest underdogs at 7½ points – despite playing at home. Fortunately for Seattle fans that Seahawks-Giants game – which was originally slated to be the premier game for CBS – will remain in the late time slot. In other programming notes Carolina at Chicago moves from Fox to CBS; the Jets-Dolphins game will be found on Fox rather than CBS.

NFL Week 7 Early Odds

Thursday Oct 19 at 8:30 pm ET on CBS
Kansas City Chiefs (-2½) at Oakland Raiders

Sunday Oct 22 at 1:00 pm ET on CBS
Tennessee Titans (off) at Cleveland Browns
Jacksonville Jaguars (-3) at Indianapolis Colts
Baltimore Ravens at Minnesota Vikings (-3)
Carolina Panthers (-4½) at Chicago Bears

Sunday Oct 22 at 1:00 pm ET on Fox
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins (-4½)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Buffalo Bills (-2)
New Orleans Saints at Green Bay Packers (-6½)
Arizona Cardinals ‘at’ Los Angeles Rams (-3) in London

Sunday Oct 22 late afternoon games
Dallas Cowboys (-4½) at San Francisco 49ers, 4:00 pm ET on Fox
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers (-7), 4:30 pm ET on CBS
Seattle Seahawks (-7½) at New York Giants, 4:30 pm ET on CBS
Denver Broncos (-2½) at Los Angeles Chargers, 4:30 pm ET on CBS

Prime Time Games, 8:30 pm ET
Atlanta Falcons at New England Patriots (-4), Sun Oct 22 on NBC
Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles (-6½), Mon Oct 23 on espn

Week 7 Byes
Detroit Lions
Houston Texans

 

NFL Week 11 Early Advanced Lines: Pats favored by 9.5 vs Bills

John Morgan
November 15, 2015 at 9:30 am ET

Prior to that disaster on Thursday night when color blind fans could not tell the difference between the Jets and the Bills (and the rest of us got seasick watching those wretched uniforms), the Westgate in Las Vegas published ‘look ahead’ lines for NFL week eleven. A week from Monday the New England Patriots will host Rex’s Clown Show, aka the Buffalo Bills; the Pats have been installed as early 9½ point favorites.

 

For the second straight week a game involving the Patriots shapes up to be one of, if not the most compelling matchup of the week. This is one of only three week 11 games (Packers-Vikings, Bengals-Cardinals) between two teams with winning records. It will also be a time where New England fans can “welcome” ESPN to Gillette Stadium and let them know how they feel about their integrity and unbiased reporting.

 

Week 11 is also the first time that the NFL and their broadcast partners can utilize flex scheduling, and they justifiably took advantage of that opportunity. The Chiefs and Chargers have a combined record of 5-12; their game has been moved out of the Sunday night prime time slot. NBC will now broadcast Cincinnati at Arizona; those two clubs have a combined record of 14-2. In addition a key NFC matchup between the Packers and Vikings has been pushed back to the late afternoon time slot. Previously the only late game on FOX, Seattle at San Francisco was looking like a dud; neither of those teams have winning records and the Niners have by far the most impotent offense in the league.

 

Happy Birthday to Leon Gray, who would have turned 64 today. The left tackle lined up alongside John Hannah to form what may have been the most formidable left side of an offensive line in NFL history. Behind those two the Patriots set an NFL record in 1978 with 3,165 yards rushing, and he was a vital part of those great 1976 and 1978 teams that should have (if not for Ben Dreith) and could have (if not for the cheapness of Billy Sullivan) been NFL champions. Gray was a four time Pro Bowler and three time All Pro. Sadly he passed away in 2001 just days before his 50th birthday; in 2013 his family filed a wrongful death lawsuit against the NFL. Number 70 was was named to the Patriots’ All-Decade team for the 1970s, and was a finalist for the Patriots Hall of Fame in 2013 and 2015.

 

Here is a look at all of the NFL week 11 games, with the early odds, times, television information and each team’s current (prior to Sunday’s week 10 games) won-loss records.

 

2-6 Tennessee Titans at 2-6 Jacksonville Jaguars (-1½)

Thursday November 19, 8:25 pm on NFLN

 

3-5 Washington Redskins at 8-0 Carolina Panthers (-8½)

Sunday November 22 at 1:00 pm ET on FOX

 

4-4 Oakland Raiders (-1½) at 1-7 Detroit Lions

Sunday November 22 at 1:00 pm ET on CBS

 

2-6 Dallas Cowboys at 3-5 Miami Dolphins

No early line, pending status of Dallas QB Tony Romo

Sunday November 22 at 1:00 pm ET on FOX

 

4-5 Indianapolis Colts at 6-3 Atlanta Falcons

No early line, pending status of Indy QB Andrew Luck

Sunday November 22 at 1:00 pm ET on CBS

 

4-4 St. Louis Rams (-1½) at 2-6 Baltimore Ravens

Sunday November 22 at 1:00 pm ET on FOX

 

5-4 New York Jets (-3) at 3-5 Houston Texans

Sunday November 22 at 1:00 pm ET on CBS

 

3-5 Tampa Bay Bucs at 4-4 Philadelphia Eagles (-8)

Sunday November 22 at 1:00 pm ET on FOX

 

7-1 Denver Broncos (-6) at 3-5 Chicago Bears

Sunday November 22 at 1:00 pm ET on CBS

 

3-5 Kansas City Chiefs (-2½) at 2-7 San Diego Chargers

Sunday November 22 at 8:30 4:05 pm ET on NBC CBS

 

3-6 San Francisco 49ers at 4-4 Seattle Seahawks (-11)

Sunday November 22 at 4:25 pm ET on FOX

 

6-2 Green Bay Packers (-3) at 6-2 Minnesota Vikings

Sunday November 22 at 1:00 4:25 pm ET on FOX

 

8-0 Cincinnati Bengals at 6-2 Arizona Cardinals (-3)

Sunday November 22 at 4:05 8:30 pm ET on CBS NBC

 

5-4 Buffalo Bills at 8-0 New England Patriots (-9½)

Monday November 23 at 8:30 pm ET on ESPN

 

For grins, here is a look at what the prop bets were for the week eleven games from back when the NFL schedule was announced in April. Some are right on or only off by a half a point; the oddsmakers were a bit scared off by the the deflategate witch hunt in regards to the Patriots at that point in time. Baltimore, San Francisco and San Diego stand out as teams that have precipitously dropped off from preseason expectations.

Titans at Jaguars (-1½)
Colts (-2) at Falcons
Redskins at Panthers (-5)
Bengals at Cardinals (-3)
49ers at Seahawks (-5½)
Jets at Texans (-5)
Chiefs at Chargers (-2½)
Cowboys at Dolphins (-1)
Rams at Ravens (-3½)
Buccaneers at Eagles (-8½)
Broncos (-2½) at Bears
Raiders at Lions (-8½)
Packers (-3) at Vikings
Bills at Patriots (-5½)