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OT: Bad news - "it" is back...
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Asking for your support
 
  1. R

    Seems like other NFL teams fans are finally coming around about Pats "cheating"

    Now I want to see Belichick anime-ized! Google let me down. What color should his hair be? Or, can't we see it for his hood? If you draw, can you make it happen?
  2. R

    SI: Prof. John Leonard: "100% Convinced Deflategate Failed"

    I suspect you are confusing the error bar for an individual measurement (measurement error) with the error bar for a mean (standard error). The standard error for the mean is related to measurement error (along with random variation and other variables which give a sample its variation as...
  3. R

    In Case You Missed Them: 3 Great Articles Debunking Deflategate

    His definition of p-value, a core concept in his argument, is wildly wrong and, which is worse, wildly misleading. I agree with you that a lay reader would be confused and bogged down by the appropriate use of a p-value. I am simply informing the lay reader that the author is not using the...
  4. R

    In Case You Missed Them: 3 Great Articles Debunking Deflategate

    That is not what a p-value means. Trust this data analyst at your own risk.
  5. R

    Messi @ Foxborough

    Thanks. That helps. Messi was definitely mugged many a time. I was referring to the PK by Seijas. I think it was the only of the game.
  6. R

    Messi @ Foxborough

    I had the luck to be in the fourth row of the endzone, right behind the camera well, so it was sort of a first row, to see Messi score his goal. I am hardly a soccer fan, but I love tournaments and playoffs in almost any sport. I could not pass up the opportunity to see these great athletes...
  7. R

    WEEI's Kirk Minihane and Drew Bledsoe Podcast Full Transcript

    Thank you, this transcript is great. This forum is great.
  8. R

    DIKEMBE PLACES SPELL ON PATRIOTS!

    KEVIN FAULK, PLEASE GIVE US THE HEALTH SPELL Pretty please with a cherry on top.
  9. R

    Matt Light is da bomb!!!

    I just bought my 25 tickets. Matt Light rocks, and so does his foundation.
  10. R

    ALERT: VIP Subscriptions

    Hi Ian, I'm a long-time supporter and faithful lurker. I have a couple of suggestions about subscriptions: First, make the name on the credit-card charge more apparent that it's you and/or patsfans.com. When I saw an unexpected charge from "Ikinternetd," I suspected fraud. Second, for the...
  11. R

    Thompkins on all 22 film revisited: much improvement

    This is awesome, but I am getting the same pic repeatedly.
  12. R

    Welker not sure if he'll report for Patriots offseason program per Albert Breer

    It depends. New From Depend®: Football Pros Try the New Depend® Real Fit for Men - YouTube
  13. R

    The Dan Marino Passing Record Chase Breakdown

    That's funny. Of course, you want to take out Brady's yards! I totally blanked on that. That's a classic example of the part/whole problem in classical item analysis. :) BTW, The R-square stat from a regression of one variable on another is just the square of the Pearson product moment...
  14. R

    The Dan Marino Passing Record Chase Breakdown

    If the relationship is linear, then here is the model specification that I am recommending: TBPY = Beta0 + Beta1*OAPYA + Error Where TB's Passing Yards (TBPY) equals something plus something times Opponents' Average Passing Yards Allowed (OAPYA) plus an acknowledgment that there is plenty of...
  15. R

    The Dan Marino Passing Record Chase Breakdown

    A correlation of +/- .40 is not "virtually no correlation."
  16. R

    The Dan Marino Passing Record Chase Breakdown

    Here's how to sharpen your analysis: Create a scatterplot of TB's passing yards vs. opponents' average passing yards allowed. Determine the functional form of the relationship. Linear? Quadratic? I assume the relationship is negative: Fewer passing yards when opponent is better at...
  17. R

    Interesting stat and trivia question re: Brady's streak

    I wrote a program (in R) to answer hambone1818's question: TB.runs <- function(m) { sapply(1:m, function(o) { y <- rle(rbinom(4694, 1, .018)) ifelse(max(y$lengths[y$values==0])>= 319, 1, 0) }) } mean(TB.runs(50000)) Under all the...
  18. R

    Interesting stat and trivia question re: Brady's streak

    The Poisson approximates the binomial, when the instances are rare (i.e., the probability of "success" is small, where "success" means an interception in this case, go figure). Yes, your approximation is good, but it is still just an approximation...for my number!

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