01-22-2012, 08:54 AM
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#9
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2nd Team Getting Their First Start
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 1,895
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Re: Not what we are looking for. Horrorfying stat.
I'd be willing to bet (pun intended) that if I looked I could find similar 'horrifying' stats as to why Baltimore will surely lose.
One site I know of says this week that the Pats will lose and he cites a stat in regards to teams on a winning streak of what is it, nine games now? Guess what: he's been saying the very same thing every week about going against the Pats since the streak hit four games!
In this case, twelve games over 21 years? That's supposed to be a trend? And that doesn't even take into account how very much the game has changed over the past few years.
If I wanted to I could turn around and say that teams that scored 38 or more are overdue for a win under these circumstances, so therefore the Patriots will win.
I saw somewhere where there was an analysis of low scoring teams versus high scoring teams in the playoffs, or more specifically good offense/average defense versus good defense/average offense like this game is. It found pretty much zero correlation or trend that one or the other usually wins. That tells me a lot more than the 38-point trivia.
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