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Old 01-11-2013, 04:01 PM   #31
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Default Re: Expect a Big Day From Gronk...Here's why

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the texans defense is simply weakest in the worst possible spot right now......short middle is going to kill them....this ain't the bengals......every target the pats have goes into the middle short save lloyd....it all kind of caves in from there
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IMO this is the whole key to this rematch. I fully expect the Texans to play better than last time overall. But if Gronkowski is anywhere near full strength, this offense is pretty much a perfect storm bearing down on their weakest link.
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if I was the texans, I would strictly play nickle and make the pats running game beat me with what I can defend from there.
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An early and often dose of Ridley running the ball will set up the play action, which should in turn open up big chunks of the middle of the field. My only concern here is McDaniels losing patience with the run too early.
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What Gronk brings to the game far exceeds his impact on the Pats passing game.

a. Assuming 2 more weeks of healing, his affect on the running game will be considerable.

b. Because of the health problems of the Texan ILB position, I fully expect to see them in a nickle D most of the time, daring the Pats to run the ball. And I fully expect, with Gronk on the field, the Pats to take the Texans up on that challenge. It SHOULD be a big day for the Pats RB's. I fully expect the total to exceed 150 yds

Bottom Line: Yes it WILL be a big day for Gronk, even if it doesn't show up in the receiving stats.
Lots of good thoughts here:

- The Texans' defense is perfectly suited for the Pats' intermediate passing attack over the middle, as that is their weakest part.

- If they try to go dime (remember, the Texans haven't really played nickel, they've gone from base to dime) and clog the field, it opens things up for the Pats to run it down their throats, especially with Gronk in the game as a dual threat.

- Conversely, if the Pats can establish the run and set up play action, it makes it that much harder for the Texans to cover the middle of the field, and they will get shredded.

The most likely way it will get screwed up is not by the Texans' D, which simply can't match up, but either by a) poor execution or b) impatience on the part of the coaching staff, not establishing the run, and trying to force the ball into tight coverage.
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Old 01-11-2013, 04:06 PM   #32
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Default Re: Expect a Big Day From Gronk...Here's why

In our first match up with Houston I cited this very reason as to why we would win. Their ILBs just don't stand a chance. That said, Glover Quin has done a fine job helping them out against TEs. Something to look for is Quin vs Gronkowski with help from a CB occasionly.
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Old 01-11-2013, 04:09 PM   #33
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Default Re: Expect a Big Day From Gronk...Here's why

Also, a really interesting wrinkle from our first matchup was our use of the play action. We had a few plays where we got the entire defense moving to one side of the field and then we would throw to the opposite side or the middle. For some reason I don't expect to see that again but I'm sure Houston is thinking about it.
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Old 01-11-2013, 04:33 PM   #34
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Default Re: Expect a Big Day From Gronk...Here's why

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Also, a really interesting wrinkle from our first matchup was our use of the play action. We had a few plays where we got the entire defense moving to one side of the field and then we would throw to the opposite side or the middle. For some reason I don't expect to see that again but I'm sure Houston is thinking about it.
That's the stretch play which is actually a staple of Houston's offense as Schaub disguises the play-action so well. I was pretty surprised to see us use it against them. Pretty ballsy, rub-your-nose-in-it sort of move.
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Old 01-11-2013, 04:37 PM   #35
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Default Re: Expect a Big Day From Gronk...Here's why

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That's the stretch play which is actually a staple of Houston's offense as Schaub disguises the play-action so well. I was pretty surprised to see us use it against them. Pretty ballsy, rub-your-nose-in-it sort of move.
I called that before the game. I really wanted to see us give them a taste of their own medicine. When we did, it usually went for either a score or big yardage.
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Old 01-11-2013, 06:40 PM   #36
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Default Re: Expect a Big Day From Gronk...Here's why

Hopefully, Gronk can go full tilt on all cylinders. Having him back to help open holes in the running game will be huge... especially if the Patriots jump out to an early lead.
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