ctpatsfan77

According to Playoffstatus.com, the Pats would be out of the running for a first-round bye with:

(A—not operative) JAC d. NE *and* any one of
1. DEN d. CLE or
2. MIA d. NE next week or
3. DEN d. KC next week

(B) MIA d. NE next week *and* either of
1. DEN d. CLE or
2. DEN d. KC next week

(C—not operative) HOU d. MIN *and* DEN d. CLE *and* DEN d. KC next week

(D) DEN d. CLE *and* HOU d. IND next week *and* DEN d. KC next week

* * * *

The Pats can clinch a first-round bye with either:

1. ANY THREE of NE d. JAC, NE d. MIA next week, CLE d. DEN, and KC d. DEN next week or
2. NE d. JAC, NE d. MIA next week, MIN d. HOU, and IND d. HOU

In other words, the Pats are not in control of their own destiny, but there might still even be a possibility of HFA.

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"Momentum was quickly snatched away by New England, who once again proved that any Patriot, at any moment, can make a play." —Inside the NFL, Packers v. Patriots

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Patsrock

Pats win and a Houston or Denver loss gets at a least #2.

Pats win and a Denver loss and a Houston loss gets #1

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The_Riddler

I can see the 2-seed assuming Indy has something to play for next week. If they do and they beat the Texans and we hold court next week, we are the 2- seed with a first round bye.

No way is Denver losing these two games.

So would Indy have any incentive to play this one out next week against the Texans ?

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Hey Rex have you met our new Tightends? Say Hi to Aaron and Gronk !

blackglass3

Yes. Everyone asking to/thinking we will rest our starters next week are insane. We can still get #1 or #2 seed, why settle for a #3?

blackglass3

They can't move up in the seeding but they might be able to move down with a loss. Houston has never won in Indy and it will be Chuck Pagano's return game...would Indy want to throw Chuck Pagano's return game? That seems wrong to me, I don't know.

The_Riddler

Good point. I forgot that this is going to be Pagano's return. That alone should be enough to fire up that football team and win it for Chuck.

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Hey Rex have you met our new Tightends? Say Hi to Aaron and Gronk !

blackglass3

But even if the Colts give up, we play at 1 and the Broncos play at 4. If we roll over and let Miami beat us, that will also allow the Broncos to rest their players. By winning next week we put the pressure on Manning to win. That, and maybe some bad weather (finally) in Denver will get him to fold.

Either way, Go Chiefs!!

BelichickFan

The question is whether Indy can move down to #6 with a loss. I don't know if they can but they will REALLY want #5 because after we destroyed them earlier, #5 would get them @Bal or @Cin whereas #6 would put them in Foxboro (assuming we don't get a bye).

Hopefully there's a scenario in which Indy can move down to #6 because that (in addition to Pagano) would give them incentive for the game.

Palm Beach Pats Fan

Colts boards are saying that the 5th seed is theirs because they have a strength of victory tiebreaker edge over the Bengals even if they tie with the Bengals in record and conf. record

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PatriotSeven

They clinched. There's no way they can move back down. But...if they lose Houston gets the bye week as the #1 seed and they would get one of the 2 wildcards if any of them advance, which would pretty much guarantee the possibility of a Colts-Houston game in the divisional round, since we're going to take out Cincinnati, and a 3rd Houston-Colts game in a span of 1 month.

The NFL doesn't want this. They can pretty much assure Colts will get the Broncos in the divisional round by beating Houston next week. They want Manning vs Luck then Manning vs Brady. In the powers that be I trust