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Old 11-12-2012, 02:22 AM   #131
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Default Re: AFC playoff bye for PATs?

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Originally Posted by PatsFanSince74 View Post
Thanks for the information, but I just want to beat Indy next week and then worry about two straight Division Games on the road.
That's all it comes down to my friend.

One game at a time, never underestimate the competition (especially with this secondary), never take anything for granted.

We will get the absolute best shots from Indy, the Thanksgiving spectacle that is shaping up to be in NY for the storm victims (no offense to anyone affected in any way), and the always tough Miami game on the road.

If they get through those 3, they'll have already helped to decide their fate in the playoff bye circus as it is, putting themselves at a 9-3 record.

Your above scenario is certainly key for even bringing this conversation up.
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Old 11-12-2012, 02:29 AM   #132
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Default Re: AFC playoff bye for PATs?

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Originally Posted by jmt57 View Post
An update after the week ten games, with as small amount of math as possible:


- Texans will soon be 8-1, Pats 6-3
-- Pats need to win one more game than the Texans do, plus beat Houston in Foxboro in week 14 (Dec 10); Pats would then finish ahead on the head-to-head tie-breaker

As long as they can pull to within ONE game of Houston between now and then + beat them on 12/10 we'd overtake their spot.

Tough obstacle, but not impossible, although their opponents before the big game are as follows, which doesn't help much at all:

--Jags

--Lions

--Titans
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Old 11-12-2012, 07:29 AM   #133
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Default Re: AFC playoff bye for PATs?

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Originally Posted by jmt57 View Post
An update after the week ten games, with as small amount of math as possible:


- Texans will soon be 8-1, Pats 6-3
-- Pats need to win one more game than the Texans do, plus beat Houston in Foxboro in week 14 (Dec 10); Pats would then finish ahead on the head-to-head tie-breaker

--- OR

- Ravens are 7-2, Pats 6-3
-- Baltimore has the head-to-head tie-breaker, so Pats need to win not one, but two more games than the Ravens do to finish ahead of them

--- ALSO

- Broncos are 6-3, Pats 6-3
-- Pats win the tie-breaker since they beat Denver in week 5, so the Pats just need to win at least as often as the Broncos do to remain ahead of them

--- DON'T FORGET

- Steelers are 5-3
-- Like Freddy Kreuger and Michael Myers, they come back from the dead

- Colts are also 6-3
-- But I don't see them winning the AFCS, which leaves them as a lower seed than the Pats
Correct me if I'm wrong, but I think the Pats can still finish ahead of Balitmore if Pittsburgh sweeps them and we finish with the same record as the Steelers and Ravens, right? First tie breaker would be for their division which Pittsburgh wins head to head and then we would likely beat Pit in conference record for the higher seed.
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Old 11-12-2012, 07:31 AM   #134
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Default Re: AFC playoff bye for PATs?

Prepare for the 4 seed, 3 seed if Denver collapses
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Old 11-12-2012, 09:37 AM   #135
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Default Re: AFC playoff bye for PATs?

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Originally Posted by PatsSox363804 View Post
Correct me if I'm wrong, but I think the Pats can still finish ahead of Balitmore if Pittsburgh sweeps them and we finish with the same record as the Steelers and Ravens, right? First tie breaker would be for their division which Pittsburgh wins head to head and then we would likely beat Pit in conference record for the higher seed.
Yes, you are right. Division tiebreakers are determined first, and then the conference tiebreakers.

Good point, I had not considered that scenario.
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Old 11-12-2012, 09:41 AM   #136
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Default Re: AFC playoff bye for PATs?

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Originally Posted by PatsSox363804 View Post
Correct me if I'm wrong, but I think the Pats can still finish ahead of Balitmore if Pittsburgh sweeps them and we finish with the same record as the Steelers and Ravens, right? First tie breaker would be for their division which Pittsburgh wins head to head and then we would likely beat Pit in conference record for the higher seed.
Excellent point. That's a very realistic scenario IMO if Ravens, Steelers, Broncos, us all finish 12-4 we'd get the 2 seed at least. I still anticipate Ravens and Steelers finishing 11-5 at best but this is alot more comforting. The Ravens have gotten some awful lucky wins.
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Old 11-12-2012, 10:07 AM   #137
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Default Re: AFC playoff bye for PATs?

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Thanks for the information, but I just want to beat Indy next week and then worry about two straight Division Games on the road.
OK. Good luck out there.
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Old 11-12-2012, 10:16 AM   #138
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Default Re: AFC playoff bye for PATs?

Wouldn't even be surprised if the Texans finish 14-2 with a loss vs. us.

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Old 11-12-2012, 10:20 AM   #139
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Wouldn't even be surprised if the Texans finish 14-2 with a loss vs. us.

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Me either but that Detroit game looks a bit tougher now, plus keep in mind that's the Thanksgiving game.

Also Indy could potentially pull one off *praying*
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Old 11-12-2012, 10:30 AM   #140
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Me either but that Detroit game looks a bit tougher now, plus keep in mind that's the Thanksgiving game.

Also Indy could potentially pull one off *praying*
That'd be sweet if the Colts could steal one. Lions are a very strange team though.

It sucks that if the Pats want a BYE, let alone the #1 seed, they have to win out. I don't see the Satan Mannings losing another game either...
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