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Old 01-29-2012, 03:17 PM   #1
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Default What chance did/do you gave/give the Patriots in each SB

Here are the chances that I gave/give the Patriots to win each of the SB's that they played and will play this Sunday.

1986 Bears- about a 10% chance. Had hope and prayers but gave them no chance. Even "Berry the Bears" did nothing for me.
1996- This one I gave the about a 40% chance based on the "Parcells factor" (over rated)
2001- Really thought less than 25% chance. I was hoping that they would not get blown out and become the Bills or the Vikings. Gave them a punchers chance, as they say in boxing
2003- Certainly in this one I gave them 65% or better to win it. But never expected an offensive shootout in the 4th quarter.
2004- High confidence 75-80%. There was little doubt in my mind.
2007- Extremely high confidence that the Patriot would win in a blowout-90-95%- enough said.
2012- I have this in my head as 50-50. It could be a blowout by either team. it could be a high scoring shootout or low scoring nail biter. I just don't have a feel for this game at all.

OK, lets see some others. If you say that you can't remember, you are either lying or have had head trauma.
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Old 01-29-2012, 03:21 PM   #2
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Default Re: What chance did/do you gave/give the Patriots in each SB

That is basically the same as I felt about each game.
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Old 01-29-2012, 03:38 PM   #3
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Default Re: What chance did/do you gave/give the Patriots in each SB

Hmm...
2001-I just prayed...hehe
2003-Lil nervous especially Carolina was a hot and young team.
2004-No doubt
In 2007- I was 50/50. Never was confident going into the game especially since the Pats were not playing well at all in prior games.
2012- I am about 65/35-Think they should win if they protect Brady
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Old 01-29-2012, 03:41 PM   #4
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Default Re: What chance did/do you gave/give the Patriots in each SB

86 - 0.0%

96 - 40%

01 - 50%

03 - 65%

04 - 80%

07 - 95%

11 - 45%
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Old 01-29-2012, 03:46 PM   #5
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Default Re: What chance did/do you gave/give the Patriots in each SB

'85: 0%
'96: 25%
'01: 50%
'03: 80%
'04: 90%
'07: 90%
'11: 51% (and rising)
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Old 01-29-2012, 03:48 PM   #6
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Default Re: What chance did/do you gave/give the Patriots in each SB

96 - 40%
01 - 40%
03 - 65%
04 - 75%
07 - 95%
11 - 50%
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Old 01-29-2012, 03:51 PM   #7
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Default Re: What chance did/do you gave/give the Patriots in each SB

I don't know

I saw a poster earlier say how the giants have been playing over their heads and their level of success cannot continue.

I feel like we're in the same boat. Yeah the offense can be great, but it's not invincible. Especially with Gronk hurt. I honestly wouldn't be surprised if he didn't play. I wouldn't be shocked at all to see him on the IR as a game day decision, only to hold him out.

I also don't know if our defense has actually improved, or if they just feasted on an overmatched Tebow, and Joe Flacco. Eli is a good to great QB, with a pretty solid receiving corps. I hate to be the negative Nancy, but I don't feel good about this game at all. I'd say I'm giving them a 20% chance. I truly think Gronk will be too injured to do much, and I think or defense is going to look like the same unit from the first 16 games.

I'd be more than happy to be proven wrong on all of that though.
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Old 01-29-2012, 03:55 PM   #8
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Default Re: What chance did/do you gave/give the Patriots in each SB

Good = 50% - 80% of winning
Excellent = 80% - 100% of winning.

85 - Good
96 - Excellent
2001 - Good
2003 - Good
2004 - Excellent
2007 - Excellent
2011 - Good
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Old 01-29-2012, 04:03 PM   #9
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Default Re: What chance did/do you gave/give the Patriots in each SB

Here's how I felt going into each

85 - 05%

96 - 50%

01 - 60%

03 - 99%

04 - 99%
I was living in Las Vegas at the time and I recall saying to a
poker dealer there is no team in the NFC that can beat them.
He wasn't as convinced.

07 - 99%

11 - 75%
I don't see them letting this one get away. But,
I'll give Eli the luck factor and 25% chance.
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Old 01-29-2012, 04:06 PM   #10
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Default Re: What chance did/do you gave/give the Patriots in each SB

I don't like rating my confidence or predicting who wins normally, but I feel pretty confident about this game. I also feel the "calmest" I've ever been before a SB. I think this will be another 3 point game, like all our other SB's in the BB/TB era. But, I feel confident.
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