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Interesting site and prognosis of the AFC East,close to what I think will happen but maybe give the Bills a bit closer to the top than the 4 game gap they post
I like the pummeling of Denver in week 7 - about time we crushed the Broncos and will hopefully come close to accuracy.
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Interesting site and prognosis of the AFC East,close to what I think will happen but maybe give the Bills a bit closer to the top than the 4 game gap they post
I like the pummeling of Denver in week 7 - about time we crushed the Broncos and will hopefully come close to accuracy.
Interesting, Thanks for posting!!
I like it, I'm a homer.
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Re: Whatifsports.com say Patriots to go 13-3 in 2008
Actually, the computer predicts that the Patriots are the favorites in every game. The odds of victory range from a low of 52% (@IND) to 98% (v. KC); the Pats are given odds of <75% in four of 16 games (@SD, BUF, @IND, PIT), and >90% in four games (KC, MIA, JEST, @MIA). [Rather oddly, the algorithm predicts a higher likelihood of success on the road for MIA and BUF than at home.]
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Re: Whatifsports.com say Patriots to go 13-3 in 2008
I'll be interested to see what their analysis is for the other divisions. They've got the Browns finishing one game ahead of the Steelers in the AFC North.
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Re: WhatIfSports.com say Patriots to go 13-3 in 2008
I dont understand it. The projected schedule has them at 15-0-1 where does 13-3 come from?
I guess its fun to look at, but its all a matter of what they input.
Example: If my life expectancy is a miximum 80 more years, that gives me a 0.003425 chance of dying each day for the next 50 years. If you run a computer program with that formula 50,000,000 times, you will conclude that I will live exactly 40 more years. It is statistically correct, but that wont help me if I get hit by a bus tomorrow, or if I have a deadly disease that I, and the life expectancy prediction doesnt know about.
Re: WhatIfSports.com say Patriots to go 13-3 in 2008
Quote:
Originally Posted by AndyJohnson
I dont understand it. The projected schedule has them at 15-0-1 where does 13-3 come from?
I guess its fun to look at, but its all a matter of what they input.
Example: If my life expectancy is a miximum 80 more years, that gives me a 0.003425 chance of dying each day for the next 50 years. If you run a computer program with that formula 50,000,000 times, you will conclude that I will live exactly 40 more years. It is statistically correct, but that wont help me if I get hit by a bus tomorrow, or if I have a deadly disease that I, and the life expectancy prediction doesnt know about.
I think it's based on the idea that if you have ten games, and your probability of winning each one of those games is 60%, then your expected record would be 6-4 - even though you are favored to win all ten of those games.
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