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Old 06-11-2008, 02:50 PM   #1
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Default WhatIfSports.com say Patriots to go 13-3 in 2008

http://www.whatifsports.com/beyondth...ticle=20080610

Interesting site and prognosis of the AFC East,close to what I think will happen but maybe give the Bills a bit closer to the top than the 4 game gap they post

I like the pummeling of Denver in week 7 - about time we crushed the Broncos and will hopefully come close to accuracy.
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Old 06-11-2008, 03:03 PM   #2
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Default Re: Whatifsports.com say Patriots to go 13-3 in 2008

Quote:
Originally Posted by PATRIOTSFANINPA View Post
http://www.whatifsports.com/beyondth...ticle=20080610

Interesting site and prognosis of the AFC East,close to what I think will happen but maybe give the Bills a bit closer to the top than the 4 game gap they post

I like the pummeling of Denver in week 7 - about time we crushed the Broncos and will hopefully come close to accuracy.
Interesting, Thanks for posting!!

I like it, I'm a homer.
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Old 06-11-2008, 03:22 PM   #3
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Default Re: Whatifsports.com say Patriots to go 13-3 in 2008

13-3

We will do better than that. Seems like everyone wants to hate on the Pats.












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Old 06-11-2008, 03:47 PM   #4
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Default Re: Whatifsports.com say Patriots to go 13-3 in 2008

Actually, the computer predicts that the Patriots are the favorites in every game. The odds of victory range from a low of 52% (@IND) to 98% (v. KC); the Pats are given odds of <75% in four of 16 games (@SD, BUF, @IND, PIT), and >90% in four games (KC, MIA, JEST, @MIA). [Rather oddly, the algorithm predicts a higher likelihood of success on the road for MIA and BUF than at home.]
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Old 06-11-2008, 04:02 PM   #5
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Default Re: Whatifsports.com say Patriots to go 13-3 in 2008

I'll be interested to see what their analysis is for the other divisions. They've got the Browns finishing one game ahead of the Steelers in the AFC North.
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Old 06-11-2008, 07:59 PM   #6
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Default Re: WhatIfSports.com say Patriots to go 13-3 in 2008

I dont understand it. The projected schedule has them at 15-0-1 where does 13-3 come from?

I guess its fun to look at, but its all a matter of what they input.

Example: If my life expectancy is a miximum 80 more years, that gives me a 0.003425 chance of dying each day for the next 50 years. If you run a computer program with that formula 50,000,000 times, you will conclude that I will live exactly 40 more years. It is statistically correct, but that wont help me if I get hit by a bus tomorrow, or if I have a deadly disease that I, and the life expectancy prediction doesnt know about.
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Old 06-11-2008, 08:10 PM   #7
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Default Re: WhatIfSports.com say Patriots to go 13-3 in 2008

I would like to see what they predicted for the Super Bowl.
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Old 06-11-2008, 08:20 PM   #8
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Default Re: WhatIfSports.com say Patriots to go 13-3 in 2008

Biased media, we're going 16-0 and they know it.
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Old 06-11-2008, 08:41 PM   #9
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Default Re: WhatIfSports.com say Patriots to go 13-3 in 2008

Quote:
Originally Posted by AndyJohnson View Post
I dont understand it. The projected schedule has them at 15-0-1 where does 13-3 come from?

I guess its fun to look at, but its all a matter of what they input.

Example: If my life expectancy is a miximum 80 more years, that gives me a 0.003425 chance of dying each day for the next 50 years. If you run a computer program with that formula 50,000,000 times, you will conclude that I will live exactly 40 more years. It is statistically correct, but that wont help me if I get hit by a bus tomorrow, or if I have a deadly disease that I, and the life expectancy prediction doesnt know about.
I think it's based on the idea that if you have ten games, and your probability of winning each one of those games is 60%, then your expected record would be 6-4 - even though you are favored to win all ten of those games.
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Old 06-11-2008, 10:48 PM   #10
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Default Re: WhatIfSports.com say Patriots to go 13-3 in 2008

I agree as well....
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