11-14-2007, 09:09 PM
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#18
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Practice Squad
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 423
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Re: Jets/Patriots expected to have largest point spread in NFL history
Quote:
Originally Posted by TomBrady'sGoat
The fact that the Jets players suck will be a much bigger factor than how much they want the game.
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Truer words were never spoken. I think we put a little too much into who "wants" the game more. For sure, it can make a difference, but only when teams are fairly evenly matched. In this case, Patriots=great, Jets=suck. No amount of grit and verve on the Jets part will change that little reality.
Meanwhile, they're just as likely to turn turtle from the opening gun. I can't imagine they'll be looking forward to it. Either way, they'll get beat pretty badly.
But none of this matters much in the business of setting odds. The entire nation thinks the Patriots are going to be out for blood, so they'll lay heavy on the Patriots if the spread is anywhere close to reality. To get an even bet, Vegas is going to have to set an absolutely ridiculous line (or they'll have to, in essence, take the Jets against the public, which does happen). I can't imagine it will be under 24.
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