09-25-2007, 08:17 AM
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#17
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Practice Squad
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 402
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Re: Why the Pats should be concerned about Cincy's offense
Quote:
Originally Posted by BelichickFan
They've played the 8th (Baltimore), 25th (Seattle), 31st (Cleveland) defenses - although with only 3 games in the samples are awfully small and largely (1/3) influenced by the game vs. Cincy or NE.
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Yes, the sample sizes are WAY too small for any sort of "real" statistical analysis.
@ RPCity: Yes, you could look at the defenses Cincy has played...but then you'd probably want to look at the defenses that NYJ/SD/BUF has played, and the other offenses that those teams played, and then maybe the defenses that those offenses played, etc...turns into a big job pretty quickly! Anyway, I was only grouping by the "Game vs. Patriots?" variable and the "Is Cincinnati?" variable. The Cincy games all have a value of "N" for the former, which is all I cared about above...
I feel that if we can really stifle the Bengals offense - make them look like the Chargers or Jets did - that will be a pretty good indication that our D has a stronger influence on the outcome than an opponents' O. Which would be encouraging if it keeps up into the Indy and Pittsburgh games.
Either way, I'd predict Patriots 38, Cincy...less than 38. 
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