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Old 01-26-2007, 06:14 PM   #1
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Default Question about roster turnover

For the past few years I have done my own little off season prediction thing just for the heck of it, and every year I usually have a relatively good amount of players leaving and players joining the roster. This year, I have very few. I have us keeping a good amount of our FA (admittedly it may be very optimistic, but I see us resigning the big trio of Graham, Samuel, and Banta-Cain).

I struggled with adding new FA and finding places for the draft picks. It seems almost unrealistic to see such little roster turnover. Of my 53 for next year, I only had 3 new Patriots from former NFL teams (Drew Bennett, Todd Wade, and London Fletcher-Baker), and 5 draft picks (Darius Walker, Robert Meachem, Patrick Willis, Reggie Nelson, and Dameyion Hughes). The other draft picks I added to the PS as well as a few other Pats (like Mills).

Is it realistic to think 45 of the 53 to be Pats from this year's roster?
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Old 01-26-2007, 06:35 PM   #2
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Originally Posted by tatepatsfan View Post
For the past few years I have done my own little off season prediction thing just for the heck of it, and every year I usually have a relatively good amount of players leaving and players joining the roster. This year, I have very few. I have us keeping a good amount of our FA (admittedly it may be very optimistic, but I see us resigning the big trio of Graham, Samuel, and Banta-Cain).

I struggled with adding new FA and finding places for the draft picks. It seems almost unrealistic to see such little roster turnover. Of my 53 for next year, I only had 3 new Patriots from former NFL teams (Drew Bennett, Todd Wade, and London Fletcher-Baker), and 5 draft picks (Darius Walker, Robert Meachem, Patrick Willis, Reggie Nelson, and Dameyion Hughes). The other draft picks I added to the PS as well as a few other Pats (like Mills).

Is it realistic to think 45 of the 53 to be Pats from this year's roster?
We might see a couple retirements, maybe 45 appears a little high. maybe low 40's, but I think this will be the new NFL with teams retaining their own players going with the known commodity versus the unknown. of course the bad teams with alot of money will throw alot of cash around in hopes of the quick fix.

can't wait to see the colts lose some players since they are so so close to the cap.
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Old 01-26-2007, 07:54 PM   #3
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I struggled with adding new FA and finding places for the draft picks. It seems almost unrealistic to see such little roster turnover. Of my 53 for next year, I only had 3 new Patriots from former NFL teams (Drew Bennett, Todd Wade, and London Fletcher-Baker), and 5 draft picks (Darius Walker, Robert Meachem, Patrick Willis, Reggie Nelson, and Dameyion Hughes). The other draft picks I added to the PS as well as a few other Pats (like Mills).
I think 45 is to low, they have 14 UFAs alone, plus cuts and possible retirements, etc.

Draft - If the Pats get Darius Walker, Robert Meachem, Patrick Willis, Reggie Nelson, and Dameyion Hughes it would be the draft of the century. Last I checked Meachem, Willis, Nelson, and Hughes are all first rounders. My math says we have 2 first round picks not 4.

Also I think it is unlikely that Wade gets signed to the Pats after taking Rodney out. I didn't think it was that dirty of a play but it could hurt the locker room when Harrison beats him to a pulp with a knee brace.
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Old 01-26-2007, 07:59 PM   #4
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Wade is Todd Wade who is an OL, not Bobby Wade.

And I believe Meachem is late 1st or 2nd (where I had him drafted) and Hughes as a late 2nd or 3rd rounder (where I had him drafted).
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Old 01-26-2007, 09:46 PM   #5
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Wade is Todd Wade who is an OL, not Bobby Wade.

And I believe Meachem is late 1st or 2nd (where I had him drafted) and Hughes as a late 2nd or 3rd rounder (where I had him drafted).
Your draft is COMPLETELY UNREALISTIC! First, Patriots won't even come close to Reggie Nelson with the 24th overall selection in the 2007 NFL draft. Daymeion Hughes and Robert Meachem are both rated first round draft picks. At best, the Patriots could possibly obtain in the first round linebacker Patrick Willis and free safety Michael Griffin. By the time the Patriots select in the second round, both cornerback Daymeion Hughes and wide receiver Robert Meachem will be long gone.
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Old 01-26-2007, 09:49 PM   #6
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During The Belichick-Pioli Era We have averaged 14 new faces per year on The Club.I see no reason to expect anything differently this year.
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Old 01-26-2007, 09:57 PM   #7
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I struggled with adding new FA and finding places for the draft picks.
Currently, the New England Patriots only have 40 players under contract for the 2007 NFL season.

http://www.patscap.com/futureyears.html

This does not take into account possible retirements of Tedy Bruschi and Corey Dillon. Also, the following players may not even be on the New England Patriots roster for the following season:

Mel Mitchell
Tebucky Jones
Chad Scott

Of the ERFA, Mike Wright and Eric Alexander will most likely be extended while the others are extemely questionable.

http://www.patscap.com/patsfreeagency.html
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Old 01-26-2007, 10:04 PM   #8
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Default Re: Question about roster turnover

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Your draft is COMPLETELY UNREALISTIC! First, Patriots won't even come close to Reggie Nelson with the 24th overall selection in the 2007 NFL draft. Daymeion Hughes and Robert Meachem are both rated first round draft picks. At best, the Patriots could possibly obtain in the first round linebacker Patrick Willis and free safety Michael Griffin. By the time the Patriots select in the second round, both cornerback Daymeion Hughes and wide receiver Robert Meachem will be long gone.
Every year there's a Will Poole (4th) or Kelley Washington (3rd) who projected as a first round pick, top of the second at worst, that falls to the 3rd or 4th round.

I'm not saying any of these players will drop that far but you never know. I wouldn't be shocked if at least two of them slipped into the second round.
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Old 01-26-2007, 10:04 PM   #9
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Of my 53 for next year, I only had 3 new Patriots from former NFL teams (Drew Bennett)
First compare Drew Bennett's career numbers to David Givens. Then ask yourself the following question:

If David Givens received $24 million for 5 years, isn't Drew Bennett worth more?
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Old 01-26-2007, 10:06 PM   #10
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Every year there's a Will Poole (4th) or Kelley Washington (3rd) who projected as a first round pick, top of the second at worst, that falls to the 3rd or 4th round.

I'm not saying any of these players will drop that far but you never know. I wouldn't be shocked if at least two of them slipped into the second round.
You need a subscription to NFL Draft Scout because you are obviously misinformed.

http://www.nfldraftscout.com/
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