PonyExpress

AFC

1. Brady (162/247/65.6%/1689/6.8/11/3)= 95.0
2. Manning (182/275/66.1%/2138/7.8/14/9)= 93.0
3. McNair (133/198/67.1%/1358/6.9/6/3)= 90.4
4. Rivers (102/186/54.8%/1303/7.0/9/6)= 79.7

NFC

1. Brees (139/223/62.3%/1814/8.1/11/4)= 96.9
2. Garcia (133/218/61.0%/1462/6.7/11/2)= 93.9
3. Hasselbeck (125/231/ 54.1%/1433/6.2/10/10)= 69.4
4. Grossman (96/190/50.5%/1098/5.8/6/9)= 59.1

BelichickFan

Wow, so the cream really does rise as the playoffs approach - never would have guessed Good stuff.

Mack Herron

Great post. And as Brady goes so go the Pats. Something few have discussed is that the Patriots trajectory is pointing up, while the Chargers took a little dip. It's all about Sunday.

ironwasp

Wow. Grossman at 59?? I realised the guy was playing poorly, but seeing it there in black and white really kind of brings it home.

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5 Rings for Brady!!

How about playoff stats? Methinks Brady pulled a little gap over Manningchokeonballs.

Oswlek

Just in case anyone wants to come back with a "better pass defenses" excuse, don't even bother. NE faced teams with an average PRA of 80.2 while SD faced teams with an average PRA of 80.8. Not much of a difference there.

That said, TDs do count for quite a bit on the passer rating and LDT scoring as frequently as he does will bring down Rivers' figure even if he was crucial to getting to the goal line in the first place.

NE has a lot of TDs from their RBs too, but it isn't on the level that San Diego has.

Oswlek

If I were a SD fan, instead of passer rating I would be concerned about comp %.

During Brady's 65.6% streak he faced teams that allow an average of 59.8%, an improvement of 5.8%.

By comparison Rivers has completed 54.8% of his passes against teams that allow an average 62.2% comp rate, or 7.4% worse than average. Only one of the the 8 opponents allowed a completion % below what NE's opponents averaged, and that was only by 0.5%

Since NE and SD are right around each other defensively with regard to % comp allowed (56.8 & 57.1 respectively) it would follow that Brady would be around 62% and Rivers anywhere from 50-55%.

I suppose a case could be made that, due to SDs awesome run game Rivers takes more downfield chances, but that is not my impression.


Edit: I should probably just look at the original chart. 6.8 ypa (Brady) vs. 7.0 (Rivers) means that Rivers was only attempting slightly longer passes.

Brownfan80

Very interesting post, Oswlek, as usual for you.

I knew that Brady was playing well over the past few weeks, but I didn't realize it was that well. That's including the Miami game?? If so, wow.

You'd think that goose would pull him down a bit more.

Oswlek

Brady has been the Brady of old since that Miami game, maybe even better. The whole passing offense is finally clicking. These are his numbers in the last three games:

65 - 97 (67%) 686yds 4 0

I have no idea how to calculate passer rating, but I am sure that this has to be near 100. The teams faced, btw average allowing 59.6% comp and 76.9 PR. San Diego? 57.1 and 77.1 respectively.

Lastly, Brady has averaged 99.6 PR in away games this year.

Edited to add that two of the three teams faced played poorly for 1/2 the season and very well for 1/2 and NE faced both at their peaks and Brady still torched them.

Brownfan80

If the Pats can handle the pass rush, this bodes well.

If they can't.. well, then I get flashbacks of @Miami.