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Old 10-02-2009, 03:50 PM   #11
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Default Re: The Big Patriots-Ravens Nuggetpalooza!

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Originally Posted by The_Man View Post
I have to tell you that your depiction of Baltimore's offense this year isn't very accurate. They've actually passed a little more than they've run (104 to 101).

Last week they had drives of 16 plays (82 yards, including 9 passes), 12 plays (68 yards, 8 passes), and 8 (80 yards, 7 passes). Vs. SD it was drives of 11 plays for 78 yards (5 passes) and 9 plays for 68 yards (4 passes). Vs. KC, it was 13 plays for 70 yards (8 passes) 9 for 76 (5 passes), and 11 for 64 (4 passes).

This is a much different Ravens team than you've seen in the past. They have great run-pass balance on offense. On defense, they're playing a lot of 4-3 now, and are blitzing less than ever before. Part of that is they don't trust the CBs to hold up, and part of is they have so much confidence in their offense that they don't want to gamble and give up easy points.

I'm looking for a game where the Pats pass 50+ times and are successful in moving the ball between the 20s, with their short passing game taking the place of a running game. The Ravens will hang back in coverage and give up the short stuff, then clamp down in the red zone and limit the Pats to FGs. On offense, I look for the Ravens to pass first, especially vs. the Pats base D, then go to the running game if/when NE subs in a nickel package.

This game is not going to look like the Pats-Jets game in any fashion. Just my prediction!
im not talking about balance, i knew BAL has that, im talking about the passing game of the team specifically...

BAL passes to 1. get a 1st down on usually 3rd and long or 2. for the big gain, or big pass play

if we take away the big pass play, which is one of our forte's, than the ravens will have to look for short to med pass plays, which is not usually their aim when passing the ball....
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Old 10-02-2009, 04:07 PM   #12
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Default Re: The Big Patriots-Ravens Nuggetpalooza!

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im not talking about balance, i knew BAL has that, im talking about the passing game of the team specifically...

BAL passes to 1. get a 1st down on usually 3rd and long or 2. for the big gain, or big pass play

if we take away the big pass play, which is one of our forte's, than the ravens will have to look for short to med pass plays, which is not usually their aim when passing the ball....
Flacco has passed 42 times on first down so far this year, 31 times on second, and 31 on third.

Last week, he threw 18 times on first down, but only 8 times on third down. Flacco throws an unbelievable ball on the horizontal routes - it's out of his hand on-time and it arrives in a big hurry - and the Ravens have been incredibly effective moving the ball on first down this way. His first down QB rating is 126.7.

Belichick knows this kind of stuff, and I'm guessing he won't just sit there in his base run D on first down and let Flacco go to town like most ordinary NFL defensive coaches would. I'll be very interested to see what he comes up with and won't be at all surprised if the Pats come out with some nickel packages on first down.

If that happens, the Ravens will have to establish the run first -- that's what they did all last year, but they've been a pass first-team to date this season.
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