04-26-2009, 04:55 PM
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Fairfield County, CT
Re: Relative value: Punters vs. Place-kickers
Originally Posted by Fencer
I was originally in the camp who hoped that, with some luxury picks, the Pats would take the best available punter. As I write this, we're late in the sixth, and I wouldn't mind one here.
However, I checked, and punters are worth a LOT less than placekickers. Here's what I mean.
1) Most people would agree that the scoring part of a placekicker's job is more important than the kicking off part.
2) I suspect a punter's quality has no more of an effect on net return average than a kick-off guy's quality. (If I'm wrong, it's because punters are more differentiated inside the 20 than I think.)
3) Hanson seems to punt about half as often as Gost kicks off.
So unless I'm terribly mistaken, a punter's average impact on the game (holding for kicks aside) is less than 1/4 of a placekicker's, perhaps much less.
BTW, that valuation appears to be Pats-specific:
2009 K: 172
2009 P: 142 164
2008 K: 178 235
2008 P: 168
2007 K: 160 178 [Folk] 195
2007 P: 101 112 225
2006 K: 118 [Ghost] 188
2006 P: 203 239
2005 K: 47 [Nugent!] 202 239
2005 P: 99 210
2004 K: 65 [Kaeding] 137 229
2004 P: 87 188 224
"Momentum was quickly snatched away by New England, who once again proved that any Patriot, at any moment, can make a play." —Inside the NFL, Packers v. Patriots
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