ivanvamp

I ran the Pats-Ravens matchup through whatifsports.com's simulator 10 times, using the following weather conditions: 40 degrees, medium wind. Here were the 10 outcomes:

Game 1: Bal 41, NE 27 - Pats thoroughly dominated; Rice has 109 on the ground, Smith has 83 in the air.

Game 2: Bal 27, NE 24 - Ravens win on FG in OT; huge game from Flacco (350 yds).

Game 3: NE 6, Bal 3 - Defensive struggle; Flacco held to 7-20 for 121 yds.

Game 4: Bal 27, NE 20 - Flacco 16-20, 220, 3 td, 1 int; Smith 106 receiving yards and a TD.

Game 5: NE 31, Bal 12 - Welker has two long end-around TDs of 79 and 72 yds, plus a 17-yd TD reception.

Game 6: Bal 31, NE 28 - Rice 18 yd TD run with 16 seconds left for the comeback win.

Game 7: Bal 37, NE 24 - Suggs with 4 sacks; Rice with 120 rushing yds.

Game 8: NE 16, Bal 10 - Arrington with 3 INT.

Game 9: NE 31, Bal 23 - Pats come back from 23-21 deficit with 10 straight in 4th quarter; Brady with 276 yds passing, 3 td, 0 int.

Game 10: NE 34, Bal 21 - Brady with 205 yds passing and 3 td; Flacco also with a big game (221 yds, 3 td, 0 int).

So 10 games played, here are the final numbers:

Team Stats:
Points Per Game: NE 24.1, Bal 23.2
Rush Yds Per Game: NE 142.3, Bal 143.8
Pass Yds Per Game: NE 223.8, Bal 206.8
1st Downs Per Game: NE 18.5, Bal 18.9

Individual Stats (total):
Passing
- Brady: 147-249 (59.0%), 2357 yds, 16 td, 6 int, 102.1 rating
- Flacco: 153-239 (64.0%), 2155 yds, 15 td, 8 int, 99.9 rating

Rushing
- Ridley: 180-623 (3.5), 1 td
- Woodhead: 60-289 (4.8), 5 td
- Vereen: 42-196 (4.7), 1 td
- Welker: 8-154 (19.3), 2 td
- Rice: 163-835 (5.1), 7 td
- Pierce: 79-294 (3.7), 2 td

Receiving
- Woodhead: 12-189 (15.8), 4 td
- Vereen: 4-105 (26.3)
- Welker: 52-743 (14.3), 6 td
- Lloyd: 36-717 (19.9), 6 td
- Branch: 14-222 (15.9), 1 td
- Hernandez: 25-330 (13.2)
- Rice: 23-240 (10.4)
- Leach: 8-104 (13.0), 1 td
- Smith: 29-556 (19.2), 4 td
- Boldin: 40-559 (13.9), 4 td
- Jones: 18-254 (13.9), 3 td
- Pitta: 29-352 (12.1), 3 td

So whatifsports.com projects this game to be incredibly close and very, very evenly matched.

For whatever that's worth (nothing, really).

Brady_to_Moss

just simulate it in madden on your xbox...same thing

ivanvamp

If I had an xbox......

chasa

woodhead is out for the playoffs.

Also no way flacco averages 65%passing. career, hes barely over 60, and for 2012 hes under 60%

PatsDeb

I'll go with Door No. 10, please!

Brady_to_Moss

No he isn't

chasa

hes going to play with a broken thumb?

ivanvamp

Joe Flacco's career games vs. the Patriots:

1/10/10 - 4-10, 34 yds, 0 td, 1 int (in their 33-14 romp)
10/17/10 - 27-35, 285 yds, 2 td, 0 int
1/22/12 - 22-36, 306 yds, 2 td, 1 int
9/23/12 - 28-39, 382 yds, 3 td, 1 int

TOTALS - 81-120 (67.5%), 1007 yds, 7 td, 3 int, 102.3 rating

So yes, it's not at all difficult to think that he could complete 65% of his passes on Sunday.

PlainOldEd

He was at prctice today with a brace on his thumb. Where did you hear that it was definitely broken?

Steve:Section 102

The Blitz with Jeff Howe & Karen Guregian | Boston Herald

on a different note, I went over there and ran 10 sims. 5-5 for each team, and no 54-17 Isaiah blowout.

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