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I ran the Pats-Ravens matchup through whatifsports.com's simulator 10 times, using the following weather conditions: 40 degrees, medium wind. Here were the 10 outcomes:
Game 1: Bal 41, NE 27 - Pats thoroughly dominated; Rice has 109 on the ground, Smith has 83 in the air.
Game 2: Bal 27, NE 24 - Ravens win on FG in OT; huge game from Flacco (350 yds).
Game 3: NE 6, Bal 3 - Defensive struggle; Flacco held to 7-20 for 121 yds.
Game 4: Bal 27, NE 20 - Flacco 16-20, 220, 3 td, 1 int; Smith 106 receiving yards and a TD.
Game 5: NE 31, Bal 12 - Welker has two long end-around TDs of 79 and 72 yds, plus a 17-yd TD reception.
Game 6: Bal 31, NE 28 - Rice 18 yd TD run with 16 seconds left for the comeback win.
Game 7: Bal 37, NE 24 - Suggs with 4 sacks; Rice with 120 rushing yds.
Game 8: NE 16, Bal 10 - Arrington with 3 INT.
Game 9: NE 31, Bal 23 - Pats come back from 23-21 deficit with 10 straight in 4th quarter; Brady with 276 yds passing, 3 td, 0 int.
Game 10: NE 34, Bal 21 - Brady with 205 yds passing and 3 td; Flacco also with a big game (221 yds, 3 td, 0 int).
So 10 games played, here are the final numbers:
Team Stats:
Points Per Game: NE 24.1, Bal 23.2
Rush Yds Per Game: NE 142.3, Bal 143.8
Pass Yds Per Game: NE 223.8, Bal 206.8
1st Downs Per Game: NE 18.5, Bal 18.9
So whatifsports.com projects this game to be incredibly close and very, very evenly matched.
For whatever that's worth (nothing, really).
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