Deus Irae

I thought it might go up to 10. The country bets the Patriots, and the Ravens have won ugly.

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condon84

The line tells me that the general betting public thinks the Pats are gonna roll them. Vegas thinks giving the Ravens 9.5 points is the only way people will bet. There's no other explanation.

Brady_to_Moss

not last week...looks at the previous meetings of these teams...9.5 is a lot

Sorry i wouldn't bet the pats at 9.5...didn't know i would offend this many people

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VJCPatriot

I'm betting that Vegas thinking is that the Pats fast break offense will wear out the Ravens, leading to a blowout victory. This scenario is certainly possible. But according to Vegas to them it is likely. I am thinking a lot of people will bet money on the Ravens because 10 points is a lot to cover in a football game unless the other team is totally outclassed.

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Deus Irae

Earlier this year, with the Patriots struggling out of the gate (they lost to Arizona the week before), it was a pick'em game decided by a last second field goal, and that was in Baltimore. The Patriots have gotten much better since then, and the game's in New England. So, you add in the home field bump, and I'm not sure why you think 9.5 is particularly high.

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wistahpatsfan

1. It doesn't matter what these teams did to each other over the years. Players come and go. Wierd things happen (just ask Ravens special teams of 2012) and players are missing on IR. There is no trend that counts Sunday.

2. Vegas exists to make money and will set whatever spread they think will benefit them the most. It is not necessarily a reflection on the actual score difference...especially 5 days before the game. The true spread, which the bookies are incredibly accurate on most of the time, is the one you get 1 hr before kickoff.

3. 9 1/2 is not crazy unless you don't think the Pats -right now- aren't a touchdown and a fieldgoal better than this Ravens roster. I think they definitely are.

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patsfanincleveland

since the OP asked the question, ya might want to ask him why he doesn't get it.

He's just answering the question.

aluminum seats

What do you mean by "the true spread?"

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denverpatsfan

The line is down to 9 points with my bookie.

Even with the cold weather and altitude the Ravens played better than the Broncos during the 2nd half and overtimes of that game. I really don't think "old and slow" is a valid description of this Ravens team. They have always given the Pats a tough game.

If you want bet and think the Ravens have a chance then take the money line. +320

You could win $320 with a $100 bet if the Ravens win.

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aluminum seats

You might be right, but I don't think the OP was saying he doesn't understand point spreads. I think the question is why is the spread 9.5, when I think most would have honestly guessed before the line was announced that it would be at least a couple of points less than that. (Now that it's out, everyone's an expert and would have pegged it within a half point of that, of course.)

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