01-05-2012, 06:57 PM
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#5
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All Pro Poster
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Northeastern Pennsylvania
Posts: 15,268
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Re: Rank The Patriots in likelyhood to win the SB
Quote:
Originally Posted by drew4008
You should structure the poll differently.
I'd guess we have a 60% chance to make it to the Super Bowl. And about a 40% chance to win that game. This is all dependent on opponents obviously, so it's hard to say, but those are my best guesses.
So 0.6 * 0.4 = 0.24 = 24% chance we win the Super Bowl. So 1/4 chance, right in line with the Vegas odds of 7:2 (which, by the way are inflated slightly due to the nature of our team/fanbase/media image)
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Not really
There are 12 teams in the playoffs
If you think NO,GB,Giants,Pitt and Atlanta are more likely to win it all the Pats would be ranked 6.....quite easy to understand
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