Are You Smarter Than an NFL "Expert"? - New England Patriots Forums

slam · 01-02-2012, 09:52 PM

Do you know more about the NFL than people paid to cover the NFL? Here's how to check.

Did you participate in an NFL Pick 'Em pool this year? One without point spreads, just plain winners and losers?

Check to see how you did against the noted field below.

Code:

Silver			176	80	68.75%	Yahoo
Yahoo Users		175	81	68.36%	Yahoo	
Accuscore		174	82	67.97%	ESPN	
Pick 'em		172	84	67.19%	ESPN	
Judge			170	86	66.41%	CBS Sports
Carpenter		170	86	66.41%	Yahoo	
Richard			168	88	65.63%	CBS Sports
Schlereth		167	89	65.23%	ESPN	
Wickersham		167	89	65.23%	ESPN	
Allen			165	89	64.96%	ESPN
Freeman			166	90	64.84%	CBS Sports
Jaworski		155	85	64.58%	ESPN	
Breer			161	90	64.14%	NFL.COM
Hoge			162	93	63.53%	ESPN
Cole			162	94	63.28%	Yahoo
Golic			161	95	62.89%	ESPN
Prisco			161	95	62.89%	CBS Sports
Schefter		158	98	61.72%	ESPN	
Mortensen		155	101	60.55%	ESPN	
Brinson			155	101	60.55%	CBS Sports

Perhaps unsurprisingly, but you'd be better going with popular opinion such as "yahoo users" and ESPN's "pick em" consensus than by most of these experts. Most of them would have come in last in the pool I participated in, including know it alls like Breer, Hoge, and Prisco.

PATRIOTSFANINPA · 01-02-2012, 10:01 PM

I participate in Mohegan Sun's football contest here in PA every week where you just pick the winning teams.

I have no idea of how many I got right this year but I did struggle a few weeks and know I was nowhere near those numbers

If you pick 201 or more right out of the 244 games played you win $1,000,000 dollars from the Sun

In thier pool last season, I picked 181 right for the season...so close,yet so far away

PatsFan24 · 01-02-2012, 10:09 PM

No. I only go to MIT.

***patchick*** · 01-02-2012, 10:23 PM

Back in grad school, we had a big season-long NFL pool. Weekly winners, with part of the pot put aside for the season champ. Lots of serious football fans in the group...plus my husband, who could not care less about football. Here's how he made his choices:

"Seahawks? There's a football team called the Seahawks? Seriously? No chance!"
"Lions vs. Cardinals? That's easy, a lion would totally eat a cardinal."

Needless to say, he won by a landslide.

Football wins/losses is just a lousy play for a serious gambler.

PatsFanSince74 · 01-02-2012, 10:24 PM

I didn't track my picks this year, but in the past I've always thought that 171 (on Win or Lose and not against the spread) and above was pretty darn good (2X as many right than wrong or around 11--5 in an average full schedule week). Consistently getting 12 right (or 3X as many right than wrong) is stratospheric...192 right.

Looks like the mediots don't do any better than what I'd expect of a typical, well-informed fan, i.e.,in the 160's. Anything below 160 for these guys is kind of embarrassing IMO.

DisgruntledTunaFan · 01-02-2012, 10:28 PM

Yes, anyone who bothers to do their own research will find out they end up knowing more than the average "expert".

PatsFanSince74 · 01-02-2012, 10:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PatsFan24

No. I only go to MIT.

Then I'm sure he'll be happy to explain it very slowly for you.

***ausbacker*** · 01-02-2012, 11:34 PM

I tipped 170 which appears reasonable.

PatriotFan77 · 01-02-2012, 11:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by slam

Code:

Silver			176	80	68.75%	Yahoo
Yahoo Users		175	81	68.36%	Yahoo	
Accuscore		174	82	67.97%	ESPN	
Pick 'em		172	84	67.19%	ESPN	
Judge			170	86	66.41%	CBS Sports
Carpenter		170	86	66.41%	Yahoo	
Richard			168	88	65.63%	CBS Sports
Schlereth		167	89	65.23%	ESPN	
Wickersham		167	89	65.23%	ESPN	
Allen			165	89	64.96%	ESPN
Freeman			166	90	64.84%	CBS Sports
Jaworski		155	85	64.58%	ESPN	
Breer			161	90	64.14%	NFL.COM
Hoge			162	93	63.53%	ESPN
Cole			162	94	63.28%	Yahoo
Golic			161	95	62.89%	ESPN
Prisco			161	95	62.89%	CBS Sports
Schefter		158	98	61.72%	ESPN	
Mortensen		155	101	60.55%	ESPN	
Brinson			155	101	60.55%	CBS Sports

I actually did the Yahoo picks this year but only from week 5 on because I didn't know about it until then. From week 5 thru week 17 I had a better record than Silver, Cole, Carpenter, and the Yahoo users. Yay me.

PatsFan24 · 01-02-2012, 11:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PatsFanSince74

Then I'm sure he'll be happy to explain it very slowly for you.

Even the jocks at MIT have a 4.0