BlueThunder

In all scenarios except one - Defense - The Pats make the playoffs as #1 or #2 seed....

Will be interesting how it plays out as the next 6 games unfold....

Jets only found in one scenario as a low seed.....

2011 NFL Playoff Machine - Simulate Matchups and Scenarios - ESPN

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37Harrison

Also, interesting to note... the same scenario (defense) in which the Pats don't make the playoffs, the Packers make it as the #6 seed at 10-6. Which means the Packers don't win one more game the rest of the way.

These rankings are stupid.

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everlong

You can also pick the individual games.

Interestingly the Jets can go 5-1 and as long as the Bengals beat the Cardinals at home and the Rams on the road which they should and then find a way to beat one of Houston (home), Baltimore (home) and Pitt (away) the Jets are out. That's also contingent on Baltimore and Pitt going no worse than 3-2 but I don't see that as an issue.

The other scenario if the Bengals fade is both Denver and the Raiders finishing at 10-6 to keep them out.

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jmt57

2011 NFL Playoff Machine - Simulate Matchups and Scenarios - ESPN

It's a fun exercise, but overly simplistic in my opinion. You can choose one, and only one of six criteria to predict winners in all of the remaining games:

• team with better current winning percentage wins
• home team wins
• road team wins
• team with higher offensive rank (yards) wins
• team with higher defensive rank (yards) wins
• team with higher power ranking wins

It would be nice if you could take those criteria, add a few more (e.g., turnover ratio; points scored; points allowed; point differential; penalty yard rankings; red zone offense; red zone defense etc.) and then allow the user to assign a percentage to each. For example one might give 10% to home team, 20% to turnover differential, 20% to point differential, 30% to W-L record, etc.

TheGodInAGreyHoodie

Right now we have the #1 seed. But the season isn't ending today.

That same site also points out that we don't control our own destiny. If both us and the Raven win out, the Ravens have the number one seed.

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PatsGirl2011

I don't think its a big deal being the 1 or 2 seed because as history has shown, it does not matter in terms of the AFC title game. However, I think its a big deal in regards to the bye..The less this team plays, the better!

supafly

Exactly, and let's not forget about Pittsburgh either, who has the same record and currently holds the tiebreaker over us too.

So in all reality, we'd need to not only:

1. Run the table, winning every game
2. Have Baltimore lose at least once
3. Have Pittsburgh lose at least once
4. Likely have Houston lose at least once too, since they'd probably gain the better opponents' winning percentage

Seeing as how ALL of these scenarios would need to play out, I think this whole thread is pretty much a joke at the moment.

Certainly no disrespect intended to the OP, or anyone else who is excited, as that is not the point. I love the enthusiasm and the aspect of being optimistic. I just don't see it as a very realistic possibility, at least with almost 1/2 a season to be played.

I am hoping for the #2, which is much more likely. The question remains, who will we be pushing for to be the #1? In all likelihood, it probably doesn't matter to much, as it will be very tough no matter what.

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DaBruinz

When people talk like this, it becomes patently clear they don't understand how the scheduling has worked. The schedule was set years in advance for 14 of the 16 games. It's been on the same rotation since 2002.

Just because the teams that the Steelers have played haven't lived up to their potential doesn't mean that the league purposely game the Steelers and easy schedule..

juny

Everyone should be rooting for the Niners this Thursday.

I messed with ESPN's playoffs simulator and could not get the Pats to overtake the Ravens if they end up with the same record. I guess the SOV gap is too big.

I know there is a whole lot of games left, but it was fun messing with the different scenarios.

D-Money

I give the niners a good chance to win on thursday.Alex Smith has surprised alot of people this year.