Odds of each AFC playoff team upsetting the Pats - New England Patriots Forums

sanvara · 01-01-2008, 09:58 PM

Full article here: Link

Colts 2-1
Chargers 10-1
Jaguars 20-1
Steelers 25-1
Titans 70-1

MRBLAZE · 01-01-2008, 10:03 PM

Chargers are 10-1, while Jacksonville is 20-1?

Jacksonville is more dangerous than San Diego is. Think that's overvaluing SD and undervaluing Jacksonville.

BoTown · 01-01-2008, 10:05 PM

Odds of Pats not getting upset by any of them should be much better.

***ALP*** · 01-01-2008, 10:12 PM

well, i guess LT had it wrong then....he should have said

"we play them 10 times, we win 1"

sanvara · 01-01-2008, 10:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ALP

well, i guess LT had it wrong then....he should have said

"we play them 10 times, we win 1"

This is a different Patriot's team. This year's team would kill last year's team.

sanvara · 01-02-2008, 06:20 PM

Fox Sports have posted their odds of an upset of the Pats with an article:

Colts, Chargers are best bets vs. Patriots

Colts 4-1
Chargers 8-1
Cowboys 10-1
Jaguars 12-1
Packers 20-1
Bucs 30-1
Giants 30-1
Seahawks 75-1
Redskins 75-1
Steelers 100-1
Titans 150-1

FirstAndGoal · 01-02-2008, 06:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sanvara

This is a different Patriot's team. This year's team would kill last year's team.

and last year's Chargers team would kill this years Charger team.

Actually, LdT said it about this year's team.

sanvara · 01-02-2008, 06:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by FirstAndGoal

and last year's Chargers team would kill this years Charger team.

At the start of the season sure, but this Chargers team is completely different than the one that started the season. They are playing playoff caliber football right now.

Last five games:

5-0
Points scored per game: 30
Points allowed per game: 12
Defensive turnovers: 18 (Chargers defense leads the league in turnovers created)

They won't be an easy out.

tombonneau · 01-02-2008, 06:43 PM

I'm assuming those odds are in a vacuum and constitute the odds SD could beat us, not beat us in the 2007 playoffs.

IMO, SD's odds would be *much* higher bc they would have to win the wild card round, *then* travel to Indy and win and *then* win in Foxboro.

In fact for that reason, I would give the 4, 5 & 6 seeds in the AFC higher odds of beating NE than SD.

tombonneau · 01-02-2008, 06:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sanvara

At the start of the season sure, but this Chargers team is completely different than the one that started the season. They are playing playoff caliber football right now.

Last five games:

5-0
Points scored per game: 30
Points allowed per game: 12
Defensive turnovers: 18 (Chargers defense leads the league in turnovers created)

They won't be an easy out.

Paper tigers. Who did they play in that stretch? No one.

The one playoff team they faced -- Titans -- they barely managed to get to OT to win the game, and that's only bc Tennessee gave it away. (And I don't believe Haynesworth was playing either, could be wrong though.)

As a Pats fan I'm really bummed they got the 3 seed, was hoping they'd be 4 so NE could wax them in round 2.