Home Field Dis-Advantage so far - Page 2 - New England Patriots Forums

Amnorix · 01-11-2011, 08:56 AM

Home field advantage is still an advantage, but the reality is that the Wild Card teams were by and large better, substantially better, than those 3 and 4 seed division winners.

IIRC, the next round is historically won by 75% of the hosting teams. The combination of a week off and HFA and being a top 2 seed generally meaning that those teams ARE the best, means that they almost always win.

Dutchmaster617 · 01-11-2011, 09:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Disco Volante

Mark Sanchez (Foxboro Stats)
25/54 (46.2%)
1 TD
7 INTs
15.1 QB Rating

His QB rating is actually 30, and YPG is at 150. I don't see him topping a rating higher than 70 this weekend to be honest.

PatsSox363804 · 01-11-2011, 09:50 AM

As has been said, all of the wildcard teams had better records than the division winners they played so I don't think anything can be read into this past weekend with regards to home field advantage.

***PatriotsInGA*** · 01-11-2011, 09:51 AM

I don't think the Pats have ever lost a divisional or conference championship game at home under BB correct? I think the closest one was the Oakland game or the Tennessee game (Both divisional games). That being said, if they can beat the Jets, the past shows that the AFCCG should be somewhat of a breeze.

Then again, we don't play in the past

TheGodInAGreyHoodie · 01-11-2011, 10:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by patchick

I think wildcard weekend is unique that way, because the home teams routinely have worse records than the visitors. In fact, the weekend's only true upset was the game the home team won.

This.

An 11-5 team beat a 10-6 team
A 12-4 team beat a 10-6 team
A 10-6 team beat a 10-6 team.

Shock of shocks.

pherein · 01-11-2011, 11:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PatsChamp88

Well let's see... The better teams were away and won with the exception being the Saints but Seattle plays way better at home. I expect New England to excel at home as usual!

I wouldn't worry to much about it. We had a injury problem something N.E. dosnt suffer form. We had no more TE's or RB's left. Evans came in as a TE in the 3rd, and shockey,jj,davis,bush left. I don't see that happening to N.E. Your pretty healthy. I see very little chance the Jets can beat N.E. at home, even if woodchip does not play.

***Rob0729*** · 01-11-2011, 11:55 AM

As other have pointed out, wild Card weekend is the weekend of upsets and visitors getting wins. Just because you win the division doesn't mean you are better than either wild card team.

In the division round, the home team are always the two best teams during the regular season. Therefore there are fewer upsets.

PatsChamp88 · 01-11-2011, 06:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pherein

I wouldn't worry to much about it. We had a injury problem something N.E. dosnt suffer form. We had no more TE's or RB's left. Evans came in as a TE in the 3rd, and shockey,jj,davis,bush left. I don't see that happening to N.E. Your pretty healthy. I see very little chance the Jets can beat N.E. at home, even if woodchip does not play.

Yeah this season has been pretty good to us... I know those injuries really started stacking up for you guys when the playoffs rolled around which made you rely on Drew even more but I think the defense was a bigger let down.

D-Money · 01-11-2011, 06:47 PM

I think one of these home teams might lose.I just hope its not us.

I think the packers can beat the falcons but i dont think it will happen.The seahawks will beat the bears.

PatsFanInVa · 01-11-2011, 06:50 PM

Any team can win any game. That's the NFL.

The Pats are a better team, going into the game. That's just reality. If someone offers to bet on the Jets without taking points, well, in terms of pure probability, of course you take that bet.

The wavefront collapses Sunday, gentlemen. Until then, we are merely very likely to win.