bucky

Just did some quick math on strength of schedule, which is the first tiebreaker for draft order. The Raiders had a pretty easy schedule, so they "win" the tiebreaker against everyone except the Rams and Jags. Thus, here are the best and worst case scenarios:

Best Case:
Raiders lose to KC
Redskins beat Giants
Vikings beat Lions
Titans beat Colts
Dolphins result irrelevant in this scenario.

Raiders finish 7-9 and pick 12th due to "winning" tiebreaker vs. Redskins, Dolphins, Vikings and Titans.

Worst Case:
Raiders beat KC
Pats beat Dolphins
Texans beat Jags.

Raiders finish 8-8 and pick 17th due to "losing" tiebreaker to Jags.

ALP

17th isnt all that bad


and 12th is quite good

but so long as we have pick number 32, i really dont care too much between 12-17th

__________________
Last time I lived in New England the Pats became a Dynasty

Then I moved away and they haven't won since

...now I'm moving back, and a Lombardi I predict

strngplyr

Who cares about this pick, given our history who the hell sees us using it this decade? Call me back when it's moved #1 overall in 2023.

bucky

If you don't care about this pick, you shouldn't use the word "our" to talk about the Patriots organization.

smg93

I was trying to figure this out earlier as well. Thanks for posting this. A pick in the 12 to 17 range is pretty good.

bucky

That's a very good point. I just think knowing the scenarios might give some added meaning to a bunch of otherwise meaningless games.

onegr8om

I CARE!! And i bet a lot of other fans here do too. I love draft stuff. It makes football THAT much more fun and creates a rooting interest in games i otherwise wouldn't care about. Great job to the OP! Would LOVE to have the 12th pick. I also obviously want to pick 32, but why can't we have BOTH?

And the possibilities with #33 are SO fun to think about. I'm thinking that its going to be traded and net us a #1 in 2012 and someones #2 this year, minimum!

arubin

I am super excited someone figured this out. I was going to do the math, but now I don't have to. Thank you for posting.

strngplyr

Its hard to get excited about the Patriots draft day, because BB almost never drafts anyone the fans could ever think of, and rarely goes for the flashy guy everyone wants. People end up confused and disappointed on draft day. I'm completely ignoring how they play on day 1, but until the season starts (when we're usually pleasantly surprised) most people are usually left shaking their head.

I care little about where the raiders pick ends up, because it most likely will not be used at that spot, and whether its 12, 13, 17, whatever, BB will still rob someone blind of that picks value and manage 13 picks in the first 4 rounds next year.

If you get excited about draft position as a Pats Fan (with the exception of 32) you're alittle strange. wait until he's done trading it and see who he finally picks to get excited.

NewFeep

I care also. It matters a great deal. #12 to #18 is right in the "sweet spot" of the draft. BB can get an impact player on defense for years to come. A blue DE/OLB would pay dividends for years. I've been feeling like it's gonna end up at #14 or #15 for several weeks now and that is a very nice place to be.