12-25-2007, 10:10 AM
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#4
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Second Team and Threatening Starter's Job
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 1,464
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Re: Opening Vegas Line NE vs NYG 14.5 points
Quote:
Originally Posted by stcjones
I found this kind of interesting since most of our lines have been in the 20's as of recent.......It will be interesting also to see how much the starters of the Gints will play in this game........I don't believe they can make up any more ground in the seedings right?
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The spread is set to discourage lopsided betting, and with a large betting population in NYC they are "figuring" how to distribute the money.
Please, don't delude yourself into thinking that the spread has anything to do with the expected results of the game. That number could be their expected target, but only coincidentally, only if that number is the same as the number needed to discourage lopsided betting.
The spread is nothing more than a reflection of better expectations. It's the bookmakers' expectations of the bettors' expectations, and in a sense, is totally meaningless except for manipulating bettors, whose expectations are built upon a lack of data, and a whole bunch of pipe dreams.
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