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Old 12-17-2010, 05:33 PM   #31
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Originally Posted by Deus Irae View Post
There are still people who think that site's analysis is worth something?
Shalise@Globe. The Globe is a paying customer, apparently.
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Old 12-17-2010, 05:55 PM   #32
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I'm currently having an argument with ProFootballFocus on Twitter about Brady.

Saying he had a +1.1 game vs Chicago which is just above an average QB game.

Why? Because he should have been picked off a few times.

Ridiculous. Rivers should have been picked off at least 4 times last night but it was dropped.

And like Brady, he recovered from the poor throws immediately to score a TD.
Recovering and making a good throw is the sign of a great QB...But you can't dismiss the fact that Brady should have been picked off 3 times in the Bears Game. He was lucky that the Bears defenders couldnt hang onto the ball. Brady was NOT as sharp as we're used to seeing, but he got away with some mistakes, thank goodness. He was able to make up for it by taking advantage of the mistakes made by the Bears defense.
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Old 12-17-2010, 05:57 PM   #33
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Originally Posted by patriotscpfc View Post
I'm currently having an argument with ProFootballFocus on Twitter about Brady.

Saying he had a +1.1 game vs Chicago which is just above an average QB game.

Why? Because he should have been picked off a few times.

Ridiculous. Rivers should have been picked off at least 4 times last night but it was dropped.

And like Brady, he recovered from the poor throws immediately to score a TD.
Their QB ratings are complete garbage, and they don't seem to care they they correlate with nothing of interest to anyone but themselves. Owslek has pointed out how their system is oblivious to the value of good decision making, which is inane when evaluating QB play. I pointed out to them that their system actually scores QB's higher for making decisions that decrease the likelihood of winning. Utter insanity.

Since they use broadcast tape for their evaluations, their ratings of anything in the passing game except pass protection are nearly useless as they're necessarily incomplete in an unknowable way.

It's only with OL, DL, and LB play against the run that they have enough information to even attempt to fairly score player's performance. They are at least potentially useful there, especially as statistical scoring of those very players is meaningless -- unlike with skill position players.

Even for those "unskilled" positions, their scoring is opaque and arbitrary. I don't think they even know what a sensitivity analysis is, let alone having any notion of a success correlation to measure against. They've never even discussed the arbitrary weightings they use, let alone try to justify them.

They don't even divide what scoring they do per play, so their scores as reported are inherently not even useful for comparative purposes.

They use a subjective scoring system subject to "Russian Judge" problems, and I see no evidence they have made any attempt to even normalize their scorers vs each other.

It's such a shame, really, because the put so much effort into it, and done properly it could be a unique and useful service, especially for league-wide comparisons of players in non-skill positions, who are very poorly served by pure statistical systems like the NFL's official stats or Football Outsiders' system.

So in my book, they get an A for the effort that they claim, but a D- for the execution they demonstrate. Until they put all their work behind a paywall, I would have given them a C- for the (limited) utility they provide, but that's a fail now too.

And I'm one of their biggest supporters here

Last edited by Kasmir; 12-17-2010 at 06:07 PM..
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Old 12-17-2010, 06:10 PM   #34
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Neil Hornsby - the site's founder and the guy who just graded the Pats-Bears game - is literally just a businessman from the UK.

That should tell you all you need to know about the site.

Last edited by BradyManny; 12-17-2010 at 06:10 PM..
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Old 12-17-2010, 06:21 PM   #35
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Neil Hornsby - the site's founder and the guy who just graded the Pats-Bears game - is literally just a businessman from the UK.

That should tell you all you need to know about the site.
Hmm... UK Pats fans, is there a Association Football website analogous to Pro Football Focus?
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Old 12-17-2010, 06:23 PM   #36
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Shalise@Globe. The Globe is a paying customer, apparently.
If so this just reenforces the well supported conclusion that the dinosaur media is clueless in how to discriminate and deal with the new media. The NYT and its Boston serf can't die quickly enough for me.
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Old 12-18-2010, 06:48 AM   #37
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Hmm... UK Pats fans, is there a Association Football website analogous to Pro Football Focus?
We have ratings of our players from various sites for the top 4 leagues

I don't like it because a lot of players do things that you can't recognise
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Old 12-18-2010, 06:50 AM   #38
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Neil Hornsby - the site's founder and the guy who just graded the Pats-Bears game - is literally just a businessman from the UK.

That should tell you all you need to know about the site.
I agree other than the UK part means absolutely nothing. We know and watch as much as what Americans do
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Old 12-18-2010, 08:56 AM   #39
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Good grief. Another jewel from the site.

When passer rating and reality collide: Tom Brady vs. the Bears | ProFootballFocus.com
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Old 12-18-2010, 09:12 AM   #40
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I agree other than the UK part means absolutely nothing. We know and watch as much as what Americans do
Certainly - as fans, it has absolutely no bearing. But to run that site, and charge for it, he should be more than just a fan of the game.

I was merely pointing out the fact that he has no experience in football in his entire life. He's literally a businessman, with a day job, who likes football. Just like everyone else who scouts on that site. They've never played football, never coached it, never scouted it. Just like most of the posters here - save for some of our guests that actually do have experience and knowledge in football. And often, we defer to their analysis, and rightfully so.

Anyone here on this site is capable of the analysis PFF provides (and as I said, a few here are capable of providing much, much, much more), the difference is, we don't get paid for our patch-work analysis, and they do.

Last edited by BradyManny; 12-18-2010 at 09:14 AM..
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