Originally Posted by FlyingElvis75
It's not a question of semantics, it's a question of pretending to know what the hell you're talking about when you don't.
You have several serious problems aside from having your head up your ass.
, you are trying to prove that the Patriots ability to score touchdowns from inside their 20 is better than the average of the Colts, Steelers and Chiefs. Nearly everybody in this forum knows that, and with the exception of you they didn't need to perform a chi square test to do it.
The bogus statistic is the claim that New England scoring 78.5% of the time from within their own 20 is anything other than an anomaly caused by small sample size. You can not possibly demonstrate otherwise because it IS an anomaly caused by small sample size. But feel free to try.
, by performing a chi square test you are making all sorts of unwarranted assumptions. Let me use your own Methodology to demonstrate how ridiculous you are being:
Patriots inside their own 20: 11TDs, 3 Non-TDs
Patriots elsewhere: 27TDs, 38 Non-TDs
According to chi-squared (as utilized by you), this proves (likelihood of error a smidge more than 1%, well within the 5% that you expressed comfort with) that the Patriots are more likely to score touchdowns on drives starting from INSIDE their own 20, than on drives where they have good field position.
Which of the following would explain this result:
- The Patriots are more likely to score a TD on drives starting within their own 20 than when they have better field position
- The use of chi square in this instance (with your methodology) produces an erroneous result.
I think we can safely choose option number 2, but if you believe otherwise feel free to send BB and email and tell him to stop trying to return kickoff returns and punts beyond the 19.
, you assumed from my mangled terminology that:
- I don't know what I am talking about
- I can't perform a simple chi squared test
I won't bother pointing out that by combining the Colts, Steelers and Chiefs into one line you made a fundamental error in your implementation of the chi square test since
- nobody ever doubted that the Patriots are the best team inside of their 20 and
- it wouldn't have changed the ultimate result.