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Old 01-19-2009, 11:23 AM   #11
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Default Re: Solve a bet (NFL Coin Toss)

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Sure about that Deus? I thought you always had that option....

Hell, I know I did in video games...
A video game like Madden doesn't revisit the choice in the second half it just goes the opposite of what was used in the first half at least it did in the past with differing an option I don't know if they added that into the game too.

You are probably thinking college if you think that was how it was in the past.
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Old 01-19-2009, 11:32 AM   #12
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Default Re: Solve a bet (NFL Coin Toss)

So basically prior to this year you HAD to take the ball in the first half or else you would possibly not get it in the first or second half?


If that is true, I am curious what % of teams chose to get the ball in the first half or to defer this year? Anyone know that?
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Old 01-19-2009, 11:40 AM   #13
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Default Re: Solve a bet (NFL Coin Toss)

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So basically prior to this year you HAD to take the ball in the first half or else you would possibly not get it in the first or second half?

If that is true, I am curious what % of teams chose to get the ball in the first half or to defer this year? Anyone know that?
I think you could chose the Wind.....The other team would than have to decide if they wanted the Ball (which they obviously would).
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Old 01-19-2009, 11:45 AM   #14
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Default Re: Solve a bet (NFL Coin Toss)

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If that is true, I am curious what % of teams chose to get the ball in the first half or to defer this year? Anyone know that?
In college the overwhelming majority choose to defer, but NFL coaches are creatures of habit. Early in the season, at least, they were choosing to receive about half the time (15 out 32 games in the first 2 weeks of the season).
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Old 01-20-2009, 11:17 AM   #15
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Default Re: Solve a bet (NFL Coin Toss)

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Most teams defer to the second half.

I believe it's because you have a chance to get more possessions during the game.
No... the chances are still equal. Whoever gets the kick-off to begin a half will either have equal possessions or 1 more for that half. So both teams will get this opportunity of a 1-possesion advantage in a half, presuming the teams trade kick-offs in the two halves.

I think the reason teams like deferring to the second half is to avoid the chance of giving the other team suceeding possessions (to end the first half and start the second). This could be a huge momentum swing if that team scores in each of those drives. Deferring the kick-off to the second half eliminates this possibility for the team that wins the coin flip.
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Old 01-21-2009, 01:37 AM   #16
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Default Re: Solve a bet (NFL Coin Toss)

Anyone know what the % of teams choosing the ball or deferring to take it in the 2nd half was for the entire year?
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Old 01-21-2009, 02:16 PM   #17
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No... the chances are still equal. Whoever gets the kick-off to begin a half will either have equal possessions or 1 more for that half. So both teams will get this opportunity of a 1-possesion advantage in a half, presuming the teams trade kick-offs in the two halves.

I think the reason teams like deferring to the second half is to avoid the chance of giving the other team suceeding possessions (to end the first half and start the second). This could be a huge momentum swing if that team scores in each of those drives. Deferring the kick-off to the second half eliminates this possibility for the team that wins the coin flip.
i like when the pats defer and receive in the second half because that's when most games are won or lost.
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Old 01-21-2009, 02:38 PM   #18
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Default Re: Solve a bet (NFL Coin Toss)

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So basically prior to this year you HAD to take the ball in the first half or else you would possibly not get it in the first or second half?
yes, but more than possibly. there would have had to be to be tornadic winds for you to get it in the 2nd after not taking it in the first.
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Old 01-21-2009, 02:43 PM   #19
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Default Re: Solve a bet (NFL Coin Toss)

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No... the chances are still equal. Whoever gets the kick-off to begin a half will either have equal possessions or 1 more for that half. So both teams will get this opportunity of a 1-possesion advantage in a half, presuming the teams trade kick-offs in the two halves.

I think the reason teams like deferring to the second half is to avoid the chance of giving the other team suceeding possessions (to end the first half and start the second). This could be a huge momentum swing if that team scores in each of those drives. Deferring the kick-off to the second half eliminates this possibility for the team that wins the coin flip.
No, its because if you pick the wind first, then the other team chooses the ball. They get to pick in the second half, and they chose the ball again.

At this point, you can defer. When you defer, they have to chose to receive, or otherwise, you're going to be receiving in both halves. So you defer, they pick receive, you pick the wind. Second half, you receive, they chose the wind.


Previously, there was no way to chose the wind (if you won the toss) in the first half without kicking off to start both halves. Now, there is.
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Old 01-21-2009, 02:57 PM   #20
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Default Re: Solve a bet (NFL Coin Toss)

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Anyone know what the % of teams choosing the ball or deferring to take it in the 2nd half was for the entire year?
50 percent
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