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Baltimore is our best bet, they have Pittsburgh, Dallas, Jax, and Washington. If Pitt and Dallas take them out, which is entirely possible, and we win out we're in.
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There is no perfectly fair system, obviously, but I would think under my hypothetical scenario it would be far more likely that a 11-5 Patriots team would be more playoff-worthy than a 7-9 Bronchos team. You play with the games you are given, but it should be important how many of them you win.
The concept of divison rivalries is already augmented by the home-and-home division opponent scheduling. I don't see the logic in automatically guaranteeing a playoff spot, especially now with many 4-team divisions. It just makes it more and more likely to have sub-0.500 playoff teams, making the NFL look like the NBA or NHL, where crappy teams looking to next year and lamenting their awful season sometimes make the playoffs.
That doesn't seem to be good for the NFL, but I suppose it would take a few 7-9 or even 6-10 teams making it to the playoffs and losing 49-7 to get the rules changed.
IF that is the case..have NO divisions...16 teams...and take the top 6....PART of this is the BEST FROM THAT division if it sucks they still have a team in...
Let me see. The in-depth analysis says an 81.9% chance if the Pats go 4-0; the off-the-cuff bluster of PatriotsFanInPA says 100%. What should I believe?
How many 11-5 teams failed to make the playoffs, genius?
How about never?
Think before you post next time
EDIT: There was ONE team in NFL history to miss the playoffs at 11-5 The Dener Broncos did and ironically enough,The Pats were the team that knocked them out.
Last edited by PATRIOTSFANINPA; 12-03-2008 at 05:51 PM..
If the Patriots win their last 4 (unlikely but possible) and go 11-5 they ARE GUARANTEED to get in the playoffs and probably the #6 seed...
Period,end of story - NO Chance an 11-5 team misses out as history shows
But it's not guaranteed. The possibility exists that the Colts, Ravens, and Jets win out as well, putting them each at 12-4 and keeping the Patriots out at 11-5.
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all i know is that we have to go 3-1 to have a chance, but may need to go 4-0 because of the tie-break situation. unfortunately, most of our losses have come to AFC teams, and that is what essnetially is the tie break. gotta get hot. at least our schedule isnt impossible. but even so, dont you want to win the hard games? I know i do. shows the true character of a team. when we have won championships, we have beaten the good teams in the regular season. not this year
But it's not guaranteed. The possibility exists that the Colts, Ravens, and Jets win out as well, putting them each at 12-4 and keeping the Patriots out at 11-5.
I think what PATRIOTSFANINPA is trying to say is that if the Pats simply worry about their four games and win out, and let the chips fall where they may, the more likely scenario, as history has pointed out, is that they will be in the fantastic tournament that is the NFL playoffs.
Also, if Baltimore wins out with that schedule they deserve to be in the playoffs. I don't see it happening, especially with a rookie QB, but if they do it will be impressive. I actually think they will go 1-3 down the stretch here in December, call it a hunch that they have a December swoon.
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Re: Odds of making the playoffs: 18.7%
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