PatsFans.com Article

Oddsmakers like the Broncos
By: John Morgan

Right now the Broncos have the best odds of any team to win the Super Bowl. Is that a product of the media's hype of Peyton Manning influencing NFL fans, or is Denver really the best bet to win it all?...

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Palm Beach Pats Fan

Right now it's looking like the game in Denver this weekend will have temps in the teens, light wind, no precipitation.

Manning has never won a single playoff game in sub-40 degree weather in his entire life.

Baltimore does indeed suck and may not get it done, but we will.

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dannydyn

From your mouth to God's ears...

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VinnyPatrollie

Plus, in his 11 trips to the postseason, he's been One and Done in the playoffs 7 times. SEVEN TIMES.

Rob0729

Odds makers set lines based on where they think the money will go, not on who they think will win.

BrainTrust66

From a bettors point of view, this in no way represents "good value" as picks go. Especially given The Forehead's postseason track record.

I know it's crazy to go against what Ashley Fox believes, but there you go...

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Ice_Ice_Brady

Based on those numbers:

Broncos- 25% chance to win it all
Patriots- 22.5% chance to win it all

Not exactly a big advantage to Denver from the oddsmakers.

kennyb

well given that they're 8 teams, they are favored by a good bit as are the pats. The average is 12.5%, of course.

PatriotSeven

Weren't we favored last year by them?

One game at a time. I just care about getting past Houston right now.

supafly

Yep we were, and likely in 2010 too, as they had the #1 seed both years.

The oddsmakers are simply creating the obvious choice of who has the #1 seed and HFA, since that is the team that a lot of "average" bettors and fans would be most likely to choose.

If we had the #1 seed this year, we'd have likely been the favorite too, of course where DEN ended up would certainly have mattered, and if they were #2 it may be closer than normal just due to all of the media hype + return of Manning stories that tend to reel in the general bettors and public.

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