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Old 01-11-2011, 04:16 PM   #1
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Default Some light shed on just how bad Indy was - FootballOutsiders

32nd ranked special teams, 26th ranked defense and 7th ranked offense.

The Jets barely escaped with the W if not for a Colts meltdown at the end.

Life just got a whole lot tougher for the NY Jets no matter how their fans want to spin things. Unless the Pats come out beaten down like last post season (which I seriously doubt will happen given the bye week) NE will be facing off vs Baltimore or Pitt for the AFCC crown next week.

FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis | Week 18 DVOA Ratings
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Old 01-11-2011, 04:21 PM   #2
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Default Re: Some light shed on just how bad Indy was - FootballOutsiders

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Originally Posted by Triumph View Post
32nd ranked special teams, 26th ranked defense and 7th ranked offense.

The Jets barely escaped with the W if not for a Colts meltdown at the end.

Life just got a whole lot tougher for the NY Jets no matter how their fans want to spin things. Unless the Pats come out beaten down like last post season (which I seriously doubt will happen given the bye week) NE will be facing off vs Baltimore or Pitt for the AFCC crown next week.

FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis | Week 18 DVOA Ratings
One week at a time..
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Old 01-11-2011, 05:17 PM   #3
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Default Re: Some light shed on just how bad Indy was - FootballOutsiders

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One week at a time..

Yes, yes, yes... one week at a time for the players and the coaches.
You'll never see me refer to the Patriots as "we" - I ain't on the freakin team.

It's "My" team, in that I'm emotionally (but ultimately, vicariously) invested.

So I have no problem stating that I think the team I've rooted for since 1973 (5 years old), is going to kick the living shyt out of that mediocre menagerie of gum flappin' fools.
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Old 01-11-2011, 05:25 PM   #4
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Default Re: Some light shed on just how bad Indy was - FootballOutsiders

What many have missed this season is the abrupt turn of the Colts from top contenders to also rans for the next decade. Yes, as long as future HOF Peyton Manning lines up the Colts will be a gameday threat but their prominence as dangerous contenders for the SB is on the wane, and no I don't mean Reggie. The run game is moribund needing both a complete revamp of the OL and new RBs. Complicate this by on field OC Peyton's reluctance to use the run game when appropriate.

Unlike the revamped Patriots whose once great D went into decline late 2007 thru 20009, the Colts have not upgraded. Given that BB has 6 picks in the top 76 players in the 2011 draft, some of which will morph into top 2012 picks, the Colts are dangerous as long as Manning plays but no longer the Defcon 3 threat of the 1st decade of the 21st century.
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Old 01-11-2011, 05:29 PM   #5
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What many have missed this season is the abrupt turn of the Colts from top contenders to also rans for the next decade. Yes, as long as future HOF Peyton Manning lines up the Colts will be a gameday threat but their prominence as dangerous contenders for the SB is on the wane, and no I don't mean Reggie. The run game is moribund needing both a complete revamp of the OL and new RBs. Complicate this by on field OC Peyton's reluctance to use the run game when appropriate.

Unlike the revamped Patriots whose once great D went into decline late 2007 thru 20009, the Colts have not upgraded. Given that BB has 6 picks in the top 76 players in the 2011 draft, some of which will morph into top 2012 picks, the Colts are dangerous as long as Manning plays but no longer the Defcon 3 threat of the 1st decade of the 21st century.

Not to mention they now have an idiot for a head coach.
Caldwell is no Dungy.
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Old 01-11-2011, 05:33 PM   #6
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Default Re: Some light shed on just how bad Indy was - FootballOutsiders

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32nd ranked special teams, 26th ranked defense and 7th ranked offense.

The Jets barely escaped with the W if not for a Colts meltdown at the end.

Life just got a whole lot tougher for the NY Jets no matter how their fans want to spin things. Unless the Pats come out beaten down like last post season (which I seriously doubt will happen given the bye week) NE will be facing off vs Baltimore or Pitt for the AFCC crown next week.

FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis | Week 18 DVOA Ratings
You make a good point here about the Jets barely escaping the Colts.

The Jets actually should have had a much bigger (offensive) game than they actually did. Sanchez was throwing alley-oop passes to Yao Ming and not football passes to wide receivers. He missed a TD pass to Keller and overthrew another to Santonio Holmes. He had a live arm and no touch on the ball. He settled down in the second half and was able to move the team pretty well (albeit with a lot of running game help).

I doubt it's playoff jitters because of what he accomplished last year in the playoffs. It's either one of two things: His shoulder is worse than what is being told -or- the layoff he had between the Chicago game and the Colt game.

The last game vs. The Colts was the fourth time this season that Sanchez had more than a weeks' rest.

Regular season opener vs. The Ravens.
After the bye week vs. Green Bay.
10 day layoff before New England
A week of not throwing a pass before the game vs. The Colts.

He played poorly in all of those games.

No excuses though...he plays like this circa 4:30 EST on Sunday, Jets go home faster than Patriots fans forgot about Bill Belichick's Cleveland win/loss record.
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Old 01-11-2011, 05:33 PM   #7
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the Colts are dangerous as long as Manning plays but no longer the Defcon 3 threat of the 1st decade of the 21st century.
They still scare me more than the Jets, and I was glad to see them bounced out of the playoffs - even better that it was by their own hand (Caldwell's TO)
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Old 01-11-2011, 05:35 PM   #8
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Default Re: Some light shed on just how bad Indy was - FootballOutsiders

These stats do not surprise me.

My feelings on the Colts/Jets game were that the Colts defense and ST's are so decimated by injuries...If it wasn't for a few regulars out there...keeping the jets in check...a good offense would have picked them apart.

If the Pats play to the average level of play in the past 8 games...this game is going to be a blowout.

We might not put up 45 on them...but they are not going to score more than 10..maybe 13 on us.
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Old 01-11-2011, 05:38 PM   #9
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Sanchez was throwing alley-oop passes to Yao Ming and not football passes to wide receivers.
He threw high all night... and I've been watching the last few Jets game and he does that often. It's his left foot... he steps too far forward before the throw.

Maybe Rex can help him with controlling that foot.
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Old 01-11-2011, 05:45 PM   #10
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Not to mention they now have an idiot for a head coach.
Caldwell is no Dungy.
Shoot me now for neglecting to mention the Elephant In The Room

Folks in the gameday thread went ballistic when I asked the cogent and rhetorical question "Just WHAT does Caldwell DO?"
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