01-03-2013, 04:56 PM
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#3
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Rookie
Join Date: Nov 2012
Posts: 42
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Re: 2014 Lottery Ticket (Clowney)
Quote:
Originally Posted by Metaphors
If the Pats restart the stockpiling of future 1st round picks, which team gives them the best chance to have a shot at Jadeveon Clowney in 2014? My thoughts:
- Throw out division and AFC rivals, as well as teams that obviously suck and won't trade a #1
- Bears look to have a tough schedule, questionable depth, a volatile QB and a new coaching situation. The trade down (32 to 51) would be enough to warrant a 2014 #1.
- Vikings also have the same schedule, an overachieving team not wanting to slide backward and a boatload of holes that should be on fully display this weekend. Similar trade down situation as well.
- Colts don't have a 2nd round pick so they could be active traders. They are winning with smoke and mirrors and have to be fearful of taking a giant step back next year. They look to have a workable schedule though.
- Saints need to bounce back in a big way and may not have a 2nd round pick (pending if they have been naughty or nice). Their defense sucks soooooooo bad but their offense is good enough to keep them from a top 5 pick.
- Redskins are another team winning sooner than expected. I suspect the league will catch up with them after an off-season of film study. DC fans really don't like their team not meeting expectations. They don't have a 1st rounder so they will be antsy sitting on their hands for all of day 1.
My thinking is that the Vikings are the best targets to get a potential Clowney ticket for 2014. They are one Peterson injury from being absolutely terrible. Any other teams look like good trade partners for pick #32 this year?
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There is another potential category -- teams that performed poorly this year and believe it's an aberration, but whose management needs to perform well or they're out the door. Thus, my candidate -- Detroit.
Jim Schwartz and Martin Mayhew survived the axe this year but are on the hot seat. Teams in this situation have been known to trade the future for today -- on the theory that if it doesn't work out, it's not their problem since they'll be canned. On top of that, Schwartz and Belichick have a history which may make it easier to be potential trading partners.
The ultimate question is whether their 2012 drop-off really was an aberration, and if an extra 1st rounder in 2013 will put them in playoff contention again? If the answer to that is yes, it may not be worth it unless the Pats get pick 65. Otherwise, trading 32 (fingers crossed) for 99 and their 2014 1st rounder may make sense and be feasible.
Last edited by Hammer of Thor; 01-03-2013 at 04:57 PM..
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