I like this format for identifying when position runs are likely to occur. Here is my take on the 1st two rounds for the Pats:
: The CB
position is really deep and all non-Claiborne prospects are flawed. These dynamics taken together should push the 2nd tier CBs down lower in the 1st round than they typically would be.
: Rush ends (OLB/DE
) will be flying off the board at this point. If by some chance Belichick actually is going to pull the trigger, he may be in prime position to do it.
: There are a good number of DT
(or bigger DE) prospects early in this draft class...but the pickin's may be slim by #27. Unless you like Still (and I don't) then a trade-up or a Wilfork-like slider may be needed.
: This is likely when the 2nd tier WR
s will start to go. Many are predicting it to be earlier but they always seem to slide a bit.
: The CB
run continues and this is the area of the draft where the Pats seem to go DB shopping.
: Teams looking for immediate OT
help better get some on the 1st day or the cupboard could be bare before too long on day 2. Best chance for a team looking to trade into this spot or #27.
: The shine has faded on several interior OL
prospects, but this is about when they start to look like a value again.
: A prime time for WR
: Better get your rush end
by this point. The leftovers will likely be projects and misfits. The CB
supply will also start drying up.
s should be mostly ignored to this point so it would be a good chance to get a jump on them.
: Should be the time for contenders to build depth on the OL
: By this point you are just shopping for potential at WR
. May be able to still find a CB
, but waiting any longer is a real risk.
- This draft class looks to be about 70-80 prospects deep before you start holding your nose as you fill out the draft card. Doesn't mean there won't be players after that point, but I wouldn't want to depend on finding them.
- Unless a DT that the Pats love (Fletcher Cox maybe?) falls to #27, I really see the Pats trading down to a team looking for OT help. Once you get past Adams, Martin and Massie, it gets scary. Atlanta at #55 is a likely partner IMO.
- The Pats seem to be solidly positioned to get outside pass rush (but that trick never works
), CB and interior OL help. Not so much for the DL.
- I expect the later picks (#93 and #126) to be fliers...sliders and injury reclamation projects. Assuming they aren't traded into 2013.