LloydBraun

I predict:

1- a move up for Gholston, move just ahead of NY. KC would still likely get their man and another pick;

2- they draft Keith Rivers;

3- Sedrick Ellis, or;

4- they trade down.

#'s 1 or 4 are the most likely IMO.

JoeSixPat

Adrian Peterson was drafted at #7 last year and while I don't know the true breakdown of his contract it was announced at @ $40 mil over 5 years with $17 mil guaranteed.

For arguments sake let's say the guarantee is frontloaded and the salary backloaded with minimal salaries for the first few years - so you could be looking at something as low as $4 million a year on the salary cap for the first few years.

Personally I fully expect a flurry of expectations that the Pats will trade UP leading up to the draft. Not that you can trust any of the information but even if Belichick isn't actually interested in leapfrogging the Jets to grab, say an LB he likes, he's likely to spook MangIdiot into expending some draft picks and significant salary cap monies to move up himself to counter a potential Belichick move.

MangIdiot knows this of course, as he was here when we spooked the Jets to move up to #4 to grab Ferguson - which was likely all a bluff - so therein lies the poker game and bluffs of the draft. Should be interesting.

Bottom line on the Patriots pick - I could see a few positions as possibilities - LB primarily, then CB or S - but it will all come down to whether BB thinks the players available can be major contributors in his system. He won't waste a pick on a LB if he has any doubt he fits in the system. So while need is a factor, at #7 the Best Player Available factor is paramount.

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BradyManny

Neither will Asante, its a backloaded deal, he might never see the final years.

So with that in mind, let's look at last year's #7 pick compared to Asante.

AP = 40 mill over 6 years

Samuel = 57 mill over 6 years

AP = number inflated, a lot of incentives, initial cap hit is small
Samuel = number inflated, back loaded deal, huge initial cap hits, likely won't see all that money


The 7th pick is going to be expensive, as is Asante Samuel, albeit he is more expensive, particularly at the start of the deal. Asante has played in the Pats system his whole career and would have zero learning curve.

So if the Pats don't even contemplate bringing Asante back for a deal in the range of what the Eagles gave him, then I see no evidence they would truly think of spending the #7 pick on a cornerback.

When it comes down to it, even Gholston presents a great deal of risk for the price of #7, granted he also presents a high reward. I'd love to get him, but I believe, like most folks, that they are going to look to shop this pick and move down. If they get two picks in the 10-40 range, then they can add some combo of linebacker (highest priority) and cornerback (next priority) in whichever way they see fit. LBs being Groves, Rivers, Avril and CBs being Cason, Porter, Flowers. Or they can even use later picks for Chevis Jackson and Trae Williams. Truly, CB at #7 doesn't make sense when they can grab a couple of guys later on that might end up being better CBs in the Patriots system them McKelvin, DRC or any of the highly touted guys.

patsox23

The Patriots feel this draft is deep at corner. Therefore I suspect that they'll go for a particular LB at #7 or trade down to the middle of the 1st round (if they can) and take a CB or lesser LB. I suspect we'll see a CB in round 2 or 3, as well.

tuckeverlasting

ah, 'tis the season of disinformation. i love it and i love the draft. unfortunately, it looks like there are 6 premium players and we've got lucky #7. fortunately, it's belioli building this team and not me.

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jeffbiologist

Great job! I agree! If we go into it needing a LB/CB 1/2 I am sure they are wieghing their options....Fewer but bigger impact LBs, more CBs, but ALOT more teams needing one in the 62 picks before our 2nd. Most are predicting 10 CBs in the first 2 rounds. I can see them packaging 7 and 62 for another teams 1,2 and likely future considerations. Our 1/2 add up to 1784, this translates to a trade back with 10-11th position(#10/42). I have been thinking about the trades and the more I think of it, the more I figure that where we are at 7, teams need MORE picks, and wont likely do a 2 for 1(#7 for #14&45).
I am thinking a trade with Cinci could work well for both of us, especially if they are targeting Ellis. But lots of different scenarios, lets just take OLB first though.....

ayjackson

The Pats may have felt that they couldn't afford Asante, Randy and the #7 pick going forward, so they let Samuel get away knowing the draft class was a good one for CB.

The Pats don't have the luxury of assuming that they can trade out of #7. They have to do their homework. If they can't trade out, I'd expect the Longs and Gholston to be gone, at which point, they'll be looking at Clady, McKelvin, Groves or Harvey at #7, in my opinion.

HEY BRO! WHAT UP?

Matt Mosely apparently has never seen what the Pats do before and during the draft. Yeah, the Pats are really going to come out and say who their going to draft with the #7 overall pick? Sure . I'm sure this guy has never played poker either. What a douche.

363839

With all the bodies we have at db, I would think
a higher priority in this draft would be TE and G/T
I agree that linebacker has to be addressed before any
of these positions.

ayjackson

We have four TEs on the roster and dozens of Olinemen. Granted, these positions can still be upgraded, but so can the defensive backfield.