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Old 12-11-2007, 10:06 AM   #1
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Default Smith is out for season - Dilfer out this weekend

The 49er naugerjaut hurtles toward earth.
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Old 12-11-2007, 11:42 AM   #2
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Default Re: Smith is out for season - Dilfer out this weekend

This is probably their last best chance to win another game. They hosts the Bengals this week. I don't know if the Bengals will actually show up, but after that they have Tampa (who will need the game) and @ Cleveland (who will also need that game).
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Old 12-11-2007, 01:03 PM   #3
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Default Re: Smith is out for season - Dilfer out this weekend

The fact that it's a primetime game doesn't help. The Bengals will be up for the game and will be looking to save face on the season. Of course, the same theoretically applies to both teams, but the Bengals were jsut recently a brash and proud group of players.
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Old 12-11-2007, 04:06 PM   #4
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Default Re: Smith is out for season - Dilfer out this weekend

In case anybody's wondering about SF's #3: Shaun Hill is in his 6th year in the league, and last week threw his first pass.
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Old 12-11-2007, 05:21 PM   #5
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Default Re: Smith is out for season - Dilfer out this weekend

Quote:
Originally Posted by FreeTedWilliams View Post
This is probably their last best chance to win another game. They hosts the Bengals this week. I don't know if the Bengals will actually show up, but after that they have Tampa (who will need the game) and @ Cleveland (who will also need that game).
TB can clinch div. title this week. They are 8-5. NO is 6-7. TB has defeated NO 2x so they win all tiebreakers. TB may not need SF game following week if they win this week. Might be a chance for SF in that game. TB beat up. And, might give some guys a week off.
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Old 12-11-2007, 06:31 PM   #6
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Default Re: Smith is out for season - Dilfer out this weekend

good.. we are almost a lock at #2...
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Old 12-11-2007, 07:41 PM   #7
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Default Re: Smith is out for season - Dilfer out this weekend

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TB can clinch div. title this week.
They'll likely be fighting Seattle for the 3rd/4th seed. Admittedly it's not a huge difference but a higher seed gets them a little better chance at a home NFCCG if both top two seeds are beaten. It's worth playing for, however unlikely.
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Old 12-11-2007, 10:25 PM   #8
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Default Re: Smith is out for season - Dilfer out this weekend

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good.. we are almost a lock at #2...
I don't think we're a lock for #2 even if SF loses all their remaining games. There will be others also with a 3-13 record, and the opponents' strength of schedule tiebreaker that currently favors us could easily change. For example, if most of SF's 13 opponents win most of their remaining games, and most of the Jets' 13 opponents lose most of their remaining games, the Jets would move ahead of SF in draft order.

But we'll still be in the top 4 or 5 if SF loses all their games. But if they win one, we could slip to 8 or 9.
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Old 12-12-2007, 09:27 AM   #9
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Default Re: Smith is out for season - Dilfer out this weekend

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I don't think we're a lock for #2 even if SF loses all their remaining games. There will be others also with a 3-13 record, and the opponents' strength of schedule tiebreaker that currently favors us could easily change. For example, if most of SF's 13 opponents win most of their remaining games, and most of the Jets' 13 opponents lose most of their remaining games, the Jets would move ahead of SF in draft order.

But we'll still be in the top 4 or 5 if SF loses all their games. But if they win one, we could slip to 8 or 9.
SF is almost guarennteed the worst SOS.

From GBDR:

# Team W-L Opponents' W-L %

1 Miami 0-13 .548

2 New England (from San Francisco) 3-10 .481

3 St. Louis 3-10 .514

4 Atlanta 3-10 .519

5 New York Jets 3-10 .524


These are the SOS of all 16 opponents, No way that the Jets SOS goes down, as they have some team in their division that has yet to lose a game (and will not) . St, Louis and SF are in the same division so they play basically the same schedule EXCEPT TWO GAMES.

SF played the Giants and the Minnisota whereas..

St. Louis played Dallas and Green Bay.

So if the 49ers go 0-3. the pick will stay at #2.,
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Old 12-12-2007, 10:50 AM   #10
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Default Re: Smith is out for season - Dilfer out this weekend

Quote:
Originally Posted by FreeTedWilliams View Post
SF is almost guarennteed the worst SOS.

From GBDR:

# Team W-L Opponents' W-L %

1 Miami 0-13 .548

2 New England (from San Francisco) 3-10 .481

3 St. Louis 3-10 .514

4 Atlanta 3-10 .519

5 New York Jets 3-10 .524


These are the SOS of all 16 opponents, No way that the Jets SOS goes down, as they have some team in their division that has yet to lose a game (and will not) . St, Louis and SF are in the same division so they play basically the same schedule EXCEPT TWO GAMES.

So if the 49ers go 0-3. the pick will stay at #2.,
FWIW, the difference in records between SF and STL is 7 games (100-108 v. 107-101).

And, as someone else pointed out, the Pats will help out their own cause with respect to the JEST.
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