This may seem a bit far fetched, but I think there is a serious possibility of Philadelphia trading #21 and #28 (and possibly a bit more thrown in, such as the #159 pick they got from New England) to KC for the #3 pick.
At first blush, this seems ridiculous. The #3 pick is valued at 2200 points. #21 + #28 are valued together at 1440 points, or a 760 point difference. The #159 pick from New England would still leave Philly over 700 points short.
So, why does this still seem possible?
1. This year even more than others, teams are likely to be willing to accept a sub-optimal offer to trade out of the top 5. Mike Mayock has suggested that the value point of this draft is around pick 22, and that you can get as good a player at 20 as in the top 10. Philly picks 21 and 28, two picks in the sweet spot of the first round. Mayock has also suggested that teams at the top of the draft will be willing to settle for as little as half of what the traditional draft value chart suggests in order to trade down.
2. Scott Pioli is known for liking trading down and finding value later in the first round. KC has been interviewing a host of prospects who are not likely to be suitable with the #3 pick, such as Connor Barwin and James Laurinaitis. KC has no #2 pick, having traded it to NE. At 21 and 28, KC could likely pick up a 3-4 OLB at 21 such as Barwin (who they are rumored to love, scooping the Pats at 23) and an OT such as Beatty or Britton at 28. Or trade down further and get a 3-4 DT like Ron Brace.
3. Philly has no LT and is desperate to get one. They need someone who can potentially start at LT day 1 this season, which rules out someone like Beatty or Britton who should be available at 21. That leaves them with Jason Smith, Eugene Monroe, and possible Andre Smith or Michael Oher, all of whom should be gone by 13. According to CNNSI, "Eagles general manager Tom Heckert said yesterday that the team didn't know who will be the starting left tackle when the season starts Sept. 13 against the Carolina Panthers. But Heckert suggested coach Andy Reid will know by the end of next weekend's NFL draft. More likely, Reid will know by the completion of the first round. Three tackles have top-10 potential in this draft -- Baylor's Jason Smith, Virginia's Eugene Monroe, and Alabama's Andre Smith. The Eagles have the 21st and 28th picks in the first round, so they have means to make a trade. Heckert said that if the Eagles want a rookie left tackle who can start in 2009, they probably have to get one of the elite guys." NFL | Truth&Rumors | FanNation
The Eagles have reportedly had both Eugene Monroe and Andre Smith in for visits, neither of whom should be available at 21.
If KC is willing to take a discount, I see Philly trading up to #3 and taking either Eugene Monroe or Jason Smith at OT. KC would have a wide range of value picks at #21 and #28, much more to Scott Pioli's liking, and consistent with some of the prospects they are eyeing. I'm personally not thrilled about this, as the Chiefs would pick just ahead of the Pats twice (21 vs. 23 and 28 vs. 34) and could swipe 2 players of prime interest to us. But I think it's a realistic possibility.