Originally Posted by patchick
Interesting point...the conventional wisdom calls this a year where roughly #16-72 is a strong, even plateau. Which has led lots of people to suggest trading down to collect an extra player within that plateau. Assuming roughly equal quality, would you really rather have 2 players for 5 years than 3 players for 4 years?
I don't see why people are thinking the players between #16-72 are an even plateau. Consider the positions we'll most likely be looking at - LB (OLB probably, with DE/OLB tweeners getting a keen look), RB, and WR.
At RB, in the late first round will likely be Maroney, Williams, Lendell White, and Addai, with likely one of the four slipping into the second round - perhaps two, depending on team priorities. After those 4 - are you saying that the RBs going all the way back to pick #72 are of the same caliber as those 4? (who will be taken most likely between #16 and 36 or so)
Take OLB. Guys like Manny Lawson, Bobby Carpenter, Chad Greenway, and Ernie Sims will most likely all be late first round picks (#16-#32). Do you think there's no dropoff after them to the guys that will be picked in round 2?
How about WR? In the late first will likely be Chad Jackson and Santonio Holmes, who IMO are clearly considerably better than the second round WRs.
So, where is this view coming from that the players in the second round are as good as those in the late first?
I'd personally much rather have maybe Manny Lawson and DeAngelo Williams, than three or four 2nd rounders - as there seems to be a substantial dropoff.