I've taken a look at your project, the issue as I see it revolves around two draft theories: rook's Value Grouping or Patriot Reign's Targeted Player.
Let's assume BB wants another OT for their versatility; the three most athletic at the Combine where Darryn Colledge, Eric Winston, and Guy Whimper. GBN's most recent mock draft has them all going off the board in the 2nd round. Basing your decisions on GBN's projections:
- if you used Value Group theory, you wouldn't have to try and trade down from 21 to gain extra picks, just wait and take Whimper at 52.
- if you used targeted theory, sticking with rook's values, you target Colledge for his 32" (Combine) or 35" (Pro-Day) vertical jump, take him at 21 and don't get fancy.
- before moving on, what if you used a second value group of RT prospects? After all, BB has 5 LTs under contract now. Whitworth, Scott, Joseph, Spencer, and Toledo are all capable of playing RT or a G slot, and all could be LTs in an emergency. Is the drop off in value that great? I don't think so, you can go all the way to 58 before you had to cut bait.
LB is a popular choice this year, again using GBN:
- if you use a value group you get Greenway, Carpenter, Lawson with late first/early second grades. Here is where you start trading down in the first and try to snatch the last one in the early second.
- rook's targeted value was Greenway, GBN already has him going to NE in the first.
- but before you leave LB behind, what is the drop off between the first value group and a second with Tapp, Haralson, and Brandon Johnson whom GBN has late second/early third? I'm not so sure there is a significant drop off and you could easily wait for one of them.
CB is another popular choice:
- I'm still working on my CB board, but players who I'm looking at for Patriot skill sets include Jimmy Williams, Ashton Youboty, Richard Marshall, and Charles Gordon. Williams is a trade up so he doesn't meet your criteria, but you can wait into the third round and take Gordon (who probably has the most upside of them all).
- if you target one then take your pick of Youboty or Marshall at 21.
- there is no second layer of CBs in the GBN mock.
- you have a value group of Pope, Byrd, Fasano, Klopfenstein, and Scheffler. You can wait and get one in the 3rd round.
- targeted, I like Klopfenstein best, bundle Baltimore's 3rd with NE's 5th and 6th to entice Houston with extra picks and go get him.
The only safety I like in GBN's first day is Stanford LB Jon Alston (4.44 40 at 223, a faster Rodney, he might even be smart
), take him at 52.
The WRs I like are Stovall, take him with Baltimore's 3rd or Avant, take him with NE's 3rd.
What I see is great value without needing to move much, rook's Value Group theory makes a lot of sense in this draft. Assuming AdamJT13 has correctly guessed our 2 comp picks in the 6th round, BB will have 11 picks with two each in the 3rd, 4th, 5th, and three in the 6th round to scoop up bulk talent.
You want quality over quantity, but if you use GBN's mock as your base, you could take Manny Lawson at 21 and still have your pick of Toledo, Whimper, and Spencer at 52 for O-line depth, grab CB Gordon with Baltimore's 3rd and WR Avant or RB Drew with NE's 3rd. No trades.
Or, you could take Colledge at 21 and still have your pick of Tapp, Haralson, and Brandon Johnson at 52, then grab the same third round above or use NE's 6th and Baltimore's 3rd to move up for TE Scheffler, then take your pick of Avant or Drew.
Or, you could take Colledge at 21 and Klopfenstein at 52 and still have you pick of Gocong, Anderson, Wyche, and Dumervil in the fourth. The drop off just isn't that significant - in some cases it doesn't exist (for me).
Let's assume BB wants a RB badly, he can take Addai at 21 and still get O-line depth at 52. He can bundle NE's 6th with Baltimore's 3rd and get TE Scheffler, and still take WR Avant with NE's 3rd. An all offense first day in a defense dominated draft.
This exercise needs to wait for free agency before the shopping list clarifies, for now, you can shop in just about any aisle of the grocery store and get what you need without buying generic brands.