{"id":9036,"date":"2016-11-05T18:30:53","date_gmt":"2016-11-05T22:30:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/?p=9036"},"modified":"2016-11-13T12:15:03","modified_gmt":"2016-11-13T17:15:03","slug":"nfl-week-9-predictions-picks-spread","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/2016\/11\/05\/nfl-week-9-predictions-picks-spread\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL Week 9 Predictions and Picks Against the Spread"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Welcome to November and the half way point of the NFL 2016 regular season. Although Week 9 loses some luster due to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.patsfans.com\" title=\"New England Patriots at PatsFans.com\"><strong>New England Patriots<\/strong><\/a> being off with a bye, there are still some interesting games worth viewing. There are also four games with favorites facing the challenge of winning on the road. Atlanta was the the first to complete that task Thursday, blowing out the Buccaneers in the second half en route to a 43-28 victory.<\/p>\n<p>The best game features the reigning Super Bowl champs versus a team that hasn&#8217;t been to the playoffs for 14 years. Denver travels to Oakland in a battle of AFC West rivals on Sunday night. Both clubs are 6-2, tied for the division lead &#8211; and one game behind the Patriots for home field in the AFC playoff race. The Raiders won the last meeting in December to snap an eight game losing streak to the Broncos.<\/p>\n<p>Corner Aqib Talib has been ruled out due to a back injury and his backup, Kayvon Webster, is questionable with a hamstring ailment. That could open things up for Oakland&#8217;s receiving corps. Amari Cooper (52 receptions for 787 yards, 15.1 yards per catch) and Michael Crabtree (47 receptions for 569 yards, six touchdowns) can cause problems for any defense, and are more than capable of exploiting a depleted secondary.<\/p>\n<p>Week Nine features four other rivalry games in the early time slot that will impact division races. Minnesota has lost two in a row and hosts Detroit. A win by the Lions would create a logjam in the NFC North. The Giants host the Eagles; both clubs are 4-3, two games behind Dallas in the NFC East. Pittsburgh gets Ben Roethlisberger back just in time for their biannual bloodbath with the Ravens. The Steelers are clinging on to a half game lead over the Bengals and a one game lead over Baltimore in the AFC North. Also on tap early is Miami hosting the Jets. Although neither team has a realistic chance at a division crown both are still in contention for a wild card playoff berth.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>NFL Week 9 Early Games on FOX<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000080;\"><strong>???<\/strong><\/span> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>4-4 Detroit Lions at 5-2 Minnesota Vikings<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nSunday, November 6 at 1:00 pm ET; <em>Kenny Albert, Daryl Johnston and Laura Okmin<\/em>.<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #000080;\">Vikings -6\u00bd . . . . over\/under 41 . . . . MIN -260, DET +220<\/span><br \/>\nBroadcast in Alaska, Fort Myers FL, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Topeka KS, Louisville KY, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, Toledo OH, South Dakota and Wisconsin.<\/p>\n<p>After losing their first game of the season two weeks ago, I thought for sure that the Vikings would rebound with a big win against a 1-6 Bears team. Minnesota looked awful, managing to make a pathetic Chicago club look good. Games are still won and lost in the trenches, which is bad news for the Vikes. Their offensive line has not been getting the job done, particularly at both tackles.<\/p>\n<p>All that led to the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.detroitnews.com\/story\/sports\/nfl\/lions\/2016\/11\/04\/vikings-new-offensive-coordinator-work-field\/93311262\/\">sudden resignation of Viking offensive coordinator Norv Turner this week<\/a>. Pat Shurmur was Sam Bradford&#8217;s OC in St. Louis, and replaces Turner. Expect a shift to a quick-release passing game with short routes to help keep the pressure off Bradford. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.footballoutsiders.com\/dvoa-ratings\/2016\/week-8-dvoa-ratings\">Detroit&#8217;s defense ranks last in DVOA<\/a>, which is just what Minnesota needs to get their offense back on track.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000080;\"><strong>Prediction: Vikings 24, Lions 13<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nVikings -6\u00bd (one unit) . . . . . under 41 . . . . . Minnesota -260<\/p>\n<p><em>Final Score: Lions 22, Vikings 16 (OT) x<br \/>\nVikings -6\u00bd <strong>x<\/strong> . . . . under 41 ? . . . . Vikings -260 x<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000080;\"><strong>????<\/strong><\/span> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>4-3 Philadelphia Eagles at 4-3 New York Giants<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nSunday, November 6 at 1:00 pm ET; <em>Joe Buck, Troy Aikman, Erin Andrews<\/em>.<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #000080;\">Giants -2\u00bd . . . . over\/under 43 . . . . NYG -140, PHI +120<\/span><br \/>\nBroadcast in New England, DC, parts of Florida (Ocala, Orlando, West Palm Beach), Atlanta GA, Salisbury MD, New York, Pennsylvania (except Pittsburgh), Norfolk VA, West Virginia and Seattle WA.<\/p>\n<p>Philadelphia began the season 3-0 thanks in large part to their +6 turnover differential. After zero giveaways in those three games Philly has turned the ball over seven times since, winning just one of their last four games. The Eagle offensive line has struggled and the play calling has become overly conservative. The Giant defense has improved over last year. New York is allowing only 3.6 yards per carry (6th) and 6.3 yards per pass attempt (4th).<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000080;\"><strong>Prediction: Giants 24, Eagles 17<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nGiants -2\u00bd (one unit) . . . . . under 43 . . . . . New York -140<\/p>\n<p><em>Final Score: Giants 28, Eagles 23 ?<br \/>\nGiants -2\u00bd <strong>?<\/strong> . . . . under 43 x . . . . Giants -140 ?<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000080;\"><strong>???<\/strong><\/span> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>6-1 Dallas Cowboys at 0-8 Cleveland Browns<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nSunday, November 6 at 1:00 pm ET; <em>Thom Brennaman, Charles Davis, Chris Spielman and Peter Schrager<\/em>.<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #000080;\">Cowboys -7 . . . . over\/under 49 . . . . DAL -300, CLE +250<\/span><br \/>\nBroadcast in Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, Colorado, parts of Florida (Panama City, Tallahassee, Tampa), Hawaii, Idaho, Kansas (except Topeka), Kentucky (except Louisville), Las Vegas NV, New Mexico, Ohio (except Toledo), Oklahoma, Oregon, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Richmond VA, Washington (except Seattle), West Virginia and Wyoming.<\/p>\n<p>The Browns are surrendering 8.4 yards per pass attempt (31st) and 4.8 yards per rush (29th). Cleveland keeps finding unique ways to lose each week. Dallas on the other hand took a step forward in Week 8. The Cowboys found a way to come back late and win, despite a rather weak performance through the first three quarters.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000080;\"><strong>Prediction: Cowboys 28, Browns 14<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nCowboys -7 (two units) . . . . . under 49 . . . . . Dallas -300<\/p>\n<p><em>Final Score: Cowboys 35, Browns 10 ?<br \/>\nCowboys -7 <strong>??<\/strong> . . . . under 49 ? . . . . Cowboys -300 ?<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>NFL Week 9 Early Games on CBS<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000080;\"><strong>??<\/strong><\/span> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>2-5 Jacksonville Jaguars at 5-2 Kansas City Chiefs<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nSunday, November 6 at 1:00 pm ET; <em>Spero Dedes and Solomon Wilcots<\/em>.<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #000080;\">Chiefs -7\u00bd . . . . over\/under 44 . . . . KAN -300, JAC +250<\/span><br \/>\nBroadcast in northern Florida (Gainesville, Panama City, Tallahassee), southern Georgia (Albany, Savannah), Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska, Fargo ND, Oklahoma and South Dakota.<\/p>\n<p>Nick Foles replaces Alex Smith (head injury) at quarterback for the Chiefs. KC is also down to Charcandrick West at running back since Spencer Ware (concussion) is out and Jamaal Charles (knee) was paced on IR a week ago. Despite that Kansas City is favored by a touchdown, which led me to think that I should pounce on the Jaguars plus the points. On closer inspection the line actually does make sense when you look at Andy Reid&#8217;s opponent.<\/p>\n<p>The Jaguars may play with a bit more intensity this week after seeing offensive coordinator Greg Olsen fired. The Jags rank last in third down conversions (30.3%), penalty yards per game (91.3) and takeaways (5, or 0.7 per game). The Jacksonville offensive line can&#8217;t open up any holes, resulting in a running game that is averaging just 3.8 yards per carry and 73 yards per game. With TJ Yeldon and Chris Ivory being unproductive the play calling has become predictable. Jacksonville owns the NFL&#8217;s most unbalanced offense, with only 19.1 runs per game (last) and the highest percentage of pass plays (69.6%). Tamba Hali and the rest of the Kansas City defensive front seven should dominate this game.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000080;\"><strong>Prediction: Chiefs 27, Jaguars 13<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nChiefs -7\u00bd (one unit) . . . . . under 44 . . . . . Kansas City -300<\/p>\n<p><em>Final Score: Chiefs 19, Jaguars 14 ?<br \/>\nChiefs -7\u00bd <strong>x<\/strong> . . . . under 44 ? . . . . Chiefs -300 ?<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000080;\"><strong>??<\/strong><\/span> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>3-5 New York Jets at 3-4 Miami Dolphins<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nSunday, November 6 at 1:00 pm ET; <em>Greg Gumbel, Trent Green and Jamie Erdahl<\/em>.<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #000080;\">Dolphins -3\u00bd . . . . over\/under 44 . . . . MIA -185, NYJ +165<\/span><br \/>\nBroadcast in western New England, New York and southern Florida (Fort Myers, Miami, Tampa, West Palm Beach).<\/p>\n<p>The Jets struggled to beat the winless Browns last week. Now they face a rested Dolphin team that defeated Pittsburgh and Buffalo in their last two games. Jay Ajayi began the year in the doghouse, inactive for one game and totaling just 18 carries through week four. Aided by a healthier Dolphin offensive line, Ajayi has rushed for 418 yards in his last two games and is now averaging a whopping 6.3 yards per carry.<\/p>\n<p>The Jet secondary has regressed mightily but their defensive front seven is still solid. Defensive ends Leonard Williams and Mo Wilkerson, along with linebackers David Harris and Sheldon Richardson are capable of controlling any game. The Jet defensive line versus the Miami offensive line should determine the outcome. Or at least the lead until Ryan Fitzpatrick throws a pick six.<\/p>\n<p>Looking ahead, both teams teams have interesting second half schedules. Miami plays the Chargers, Rams, Niners, Ravens, Cardinals and Jets before hosting New England in what will probably be a meaningless week 17 game for the Patriots. The challenge for the Dolphins will be that five of their next seven games are on the road. The Jets are on the road just twice the rest of the way, and one of those games is at San Francisco. However, Gang Green has to play the Patriots twice.<\/p>\n<p>Whichever team loses on Sunday will see their already slim chances of a wild card playoff spot shrink dramatically. The AFC West will likely send three teams to the playoffs this year.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000080;\"><strong>Prediction: Dolphins 23, Jets 20<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nJets +3\u00bd . . . . . under 44 . . . . . Miami -185<\/p>\n<p><em>Final Score: Dolphins 27, Jets 23 ?<br \/>\nJets +3\u00bd x . . . . under 44 x . . . . Dolphins -185 ?<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000080;\"><strong>????<\/strong><\/span> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>4-3 Pittsburgh Steelers at 3-4 Baltimore Ravens<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nSunday, November 6 at 1:00 pm ET; <em>Ian Eagle, Rich Gannon, Evan Washburn<\/em>.<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #000080;\">Steelers -2 . . . . over\/under 43\u00bd . . . . PIT -130, BAL +110<\/span><br \/>\nBroadcast in all markets with the exceptions of western New England, Florida, southern Georgia (Albany, Savannah), Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, New York, Fargo ND, Oklahoma and South Dakota.<\/p>\n<p>My first inclination was that I must be missing something. The Steelers should be favored here with or without Ben Roethlisberger, right? Pittsburgh has not looked good at all in their last two road games though, losing to Philadelphia and Miami by a combined score of 64-18. In the past Big Ben has been so-so in his first game back from an injury, but Baltimore&#8217;s defense is banged up and may not be able to generate much of a pass rush. The Steelers get DE Cameron Heyward back, which should resolve many of their problems on defense.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000080;\"><strong>Prediction: Steelers 24, Ravens 20<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nSteelers -2 . . . . . over 43\u00bd . . . . . Pittsburgh -130<\/p>\n<p><em>Final Score: Ravens 21, Steelers 14 x<br \/>\nSteelers -2 x . . . . over 43\u00bd x . . . . Steelers -130 x<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>NFL Week 9 Late Games on FOX<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000080;\"><strong>??<\/strong><\/span> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>3-4 New Orleans at 1-6 San Francisco 49ers<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nSunday, November 6 at 4:05 pm ET; <em>Chris Myers, Ronde Barber, Jennifer Hale<\/em>.<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #000080;\">Saints -4 . . . . over\/under 52\u00bd . . . . NOR -200, SFO +170<\/span><br \/>\nBroadcast in northern California, Louisiana (except Shreveport) and Mississippi.<\/p>\n<p>The Saints are 1-2 outside the loud and friendly confines of the Mercedes Dome, but let&#8217;s not overthink this. The Forty Niners are horrible. There is no valid reason to be placing any money on a team that is as bad as San Francisco is if you are getting less than double digit points.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000080;\"><strong>Prediction: Saints 34, Niners 20<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nSaints -4 (three units) . . . . . over 52\u00bd . . . . . New Orleans -200<\/p>\n<p><em>Final Score: Saints 41, Niners 23 ?<br \/>\nSaints -4 <strong>???<\/strong> . . . . over 52\u00bd ? . . . . Saints -200 ?<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000080;\"><strong>??<\/strong><\/span> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>2-5 Carolina Panthers at 3-4 Los Angeles Rams<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nSunday, November 6 at 4:05 pm ET; <em>Kevin Burkhardt, John Lynch and Pam Oliver<\/em>.<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #000080;\">Panthers -3 . . . . over\/under 44\u00bd . . . . CAR -155, LAR +135<\/span><br \/>\nBroadcast in southern California, Jacksonville FL, Miami FL, Georgia (except Atlanta), Baltimore MD, Kansas City MO, Springfield MO, North Carolina, Pittsburgh PA, South Carolina and Roanoke VA.<\/p>\n<p>When healthy the Ram defensive line can cause nightmares, with too many capable players to block. Carolina had a nice win last week, but that was against an Arizona team traveling cross country after an overtime game. It&#8217;s just too difficult to put much faith in Jeff Fisher and the LA offense to wager on this game though.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000080;\"><strong>Prediction: Rams 20, Panthers 17<\/strong><\/span> x<br \/>\nRams +3 . . . . . under 44\u00bd . . . . . Los Angeles +135<\/p>\n<p><em>Final Score: Panthers 13, Rams 10<br \/>\nRams +3 -push- . . . . under 44\u00bd ? . . . . Rams +135 x<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>NFL Week 9 Late Games on CBS<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000080;\"><strong>????<\/strong><\/span> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>3-5 Indianapolis Colts at 4-3 Green Bay Packers<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nSunday, November 6 at 4:25 pm ET; <em>Jim Nantz, Phil Simms and Tracy Wolfson<\/em>.<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #000080;\">Packers -7 . . . . over\/under 54\u00bd . . . . GNB -320, IND +260<\/span><br \/>\nBroadcast in all markets with the exceptions of Huntsville AL, Yuma AZ, southern California, San Francisco CA, Bowling Green KY, Tupelo MS, Cape Girardeau MO, Reno NV, Eugene OR and Tennessee.<\/p>\n<p>Green Bay&#8217;s pass coverage could not stop Mohamed Sanu nor Taylor Gabriel in last week&#8217;s loss to the Falcons. Now they get to face T.Y. Hilton and Donte Moncrief. Hilton looked bad last week due to a hamstring injury, so the Pack may catch a break there. Green Bay has injury concerns as well, with RB James Starks and TE Jared Cook out, and WR Randall Cobb dealing with his own hamstring injury. If Nick Foles and the KC receivers could make Indy&#8217;s pass defense look as bad as they did last week, I&#8217;ll bank on Aaron Rodgers being able to do the same.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000080;\"><strong>Prediction: Packers 28, Colts 17<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nPackers -7 (two units) . . . . . under 54\u00bd . . . . . Green Bay -320<\/p>\n<p><em>Final Score: Colts 31, Packers 26 x<br \/>\nPackers -7 <strong>xx<\/strong> . . . . under 54\u00bd x . . . . Packers -320 x<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000080;\"><strong>??<\/strong><\/span> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>4-4 Tennessee Titans at 3-5 San Diego Chargers<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nSunday, November 6 at 4:25 pm ET; <em>Kevin Harlan and Dan Fouts<\/em>.<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #000080;\">Chargers -4\u00bd . . . . over\/under 47 . . . . SDG -200, TEN +170<\/span><br \/>\nBroadcast in Huntsville AL, Yuma AZ, southern California, Bowling Green KY, Tupelo MS, Cape Girardeau MO, Reno NV, Eugene OR and Tennessee.<\/p>\n<p>Both of these defenses have vastly improved since last year. Rookie Joey Bosa has been a positive influence for the Chargers. Tennessee is allowing 4.0 yards per carry (10th) and 83 rushing yards per game (5th), though their pass defense still has a ways to go. That&#8217;s not good when going on the road to face Philip Rivers, Tyrell Williams and Travis Benjamin.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000080;\"><strong>Prediction: Chargers 27, Titans 17<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nChargers -4\u00bd (one unit) . . . . . under 47 . . . . . San Diego -200<\/p>\n<p><em>Final Score: Chargers 43, Titans 35 ?<br \/>\nChargers -4\u00bd <strong>?<\/strong> . . . . under 47 x . . . . Chargers -200 ?<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>NFL Week 9 Sunday Night Football on NBC<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000080;\"><strong>?????<\/strong><\/span> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>6-2 Denver Broncos at 6-2 Oakland Raiders<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nSunday, November 6 at 8:30 pm ET; <em>Al Michaels, Cris Collinsworth and Michele Tafoya<\/em>.<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #000080;\">Raiders -1\u00bd . . . . over\/under 43\u00bd . . . . OAK -125, DEN +105<\/span><br \/>\nBroadcast in all markets.<\/p>\n<p>A rare treat for NFL fans: two teams well above .500 in prime time. Denver has the better defense, Oakland the better offense. With Aqib Talib out I like the Raiders here.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000080;\"><strong>Prediction: Raiders 27, Broncos 24<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nRaiders -1\u00bd . . . . . over 43\u00bd . . . . . Oakland -125<\/p>\n<p><em>Final Score: Raiders 30, Broncos 20 ?<br \/>\nRaiders -1\u00bd ? . . . . over 43\u00bd ? . . . . Raiders -125 ?<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>NFL Week 9 Monday Night Football on BSPN<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000080;\"><strong>????<\/strong><\/span> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>4-4 Buffalo Bills at 4-2-1 Seattle Seahawks<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nMonday, November 7 at 8:30 pm ET; <em>Sean McDonough, Jon Gruden and Lisa Salters<\/em>.<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #000080;\">Seahawks -7 . . . . over\/under 43\u00bd . . . . SEA -300, BUF +250<\/span><br \/>\nBroadcast in all markets.<\/p>\n<p>Seattle&#8217;s defense is not as strong as in years past. Could they get caught looking ahead to next week&#8217;s game at New England?<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000080;\"><strong>Prediction: Seahawks 20, Bills 17<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nBills +7 . . . . . under 43\u00bd . . . . . Seattle -300<\/p>\n<p><em>Final Score: Seahawks 31, Bills 25 ?<br \/>\nBills +7 ? . . . . under 43\u00bd x . . . . Seahawks -300 ?<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>NFL Week 9 Byes<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.patsfans.com\" title=\"New England Patriots at PatsFans.com\"><strong>New England Patriots<\/strong><\/a>, Arizona Cardinals, Chicago Bears, Cincinnati Bengals, Houston Texans and Washington Redskins.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>NFL Week 9 Thursday Night Football<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>With two bad defenses, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/2016\/11\/01\/nfl-week-10-early-advanced-look-ahead-betting-lines-patriots-favored-7-5-vs-seahawks\/\">I expected this to be a high scoring game<\/a>. It did not start out that way, but the Falcon passing game gashed Tampa Bay from the last drive of the first half on. Atlanta being a road team on the short week was not a factor in large part due to the relatively short distance that needed to be traveled. Sweeping a division rival is always difficult, but the biggest factor was that Atlanta is simply a far superior (and healthier) team right now.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000080;\"><strong>Prediction: Falcons 35, Buccaneers 24<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nFalcons -3\u00bd (one unit) . . . . over 50\u00bd (three units) . . . . Atlanta -175<\/p>\n<p><em>Final Score: Falcons 43, Buccaneers 28 ?<br \/>\nFalcons -3\u00bd <strong>?<\/strong> . . . . over 50\u00bd <strong>???<\/strong> . . . . Falcons -175 ?<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline; color: #000000;\"><strong>3-Team Parlay (one unit)<\/strong><\/span>: <strong>x<\/strong><br \/>\nSaints -4 at Niners ?<br \/>\nCowboys -7 at Browns ?<br \/>\nPackers -7 vs Colts x<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline; color: #000000;\"><strong>4-Team 6-Point Teaser (one unit)<\/strong><\/span>: <strong>?<\/strong><br \/>\nSaints +2 at Niners ?<br \/>\nCowboys -1 at Browns ?<br \/>\nBills +13 at Seahawks ?<br \/>\nGiants +3\u00bd vs Eagles ?<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>Tale of the Tape<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>Last week was one of those rare instances where everything just fell in to place. I had full confidence that the Patriots would continue their history of soundly defeating a team they had lost to earlier in the season. In my first five-unit play of the year the Pats came through, winning easily and covering the spread by 9\u00bd points.<\/p>\n<p>Similarly I took the Broncos (only -4 at home) for three units to beat San Diego in a revenge game. Things looked dicey when Philadelphia was still up by 10 in the fourth quarter though. I not only had two units on Dallas -4\u00bd, I also had two units on the Cowboys in a parlay and two more on a teaser. Dallas not only rallied, but rather than win by a field goal (and not cover the spread) they forced overtime. The Cowboys then perfected the comeback by winning with a touchdown to cover those 4\u00bd points.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline; color: #000000;\"><strong>Week 8 Results<\/strong><\/span>:<br \/>\n8-4-1 Straight Up<br \/>\n8-5 Against the Spread<br \/>\n7-6 Over\/Under<br \/>\n5-unit plays: 1-0, +500<br \/>\n3-unit plays: 2-0, +600<br \/>\n2-unit plays: 3-1, +380<br \/>\n1-unit plays: 3-1, +190<br \/>\n3-Game Parlay: 2u, 1-0, +1200<br \/>\n4-Game Teaser: 2u, 1-0, +600<br \/>\n27 units invested<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>11-2, +3470<\/strong><\/span> on $2970 risk<br \/>\n116.8% ROI<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline; color: #000000;\"><strong>Year to Date Results<\/strong><\/span>:<br \/>\n67-51-2 Straight Up<br \/>\n67-50-3 Against the Spread<br \/>\n66-54 Over\/Under<br \/>\n5-unit plays: 1-0, +500<br \/>\n3-unit plays: 4-5-1, -480<br \/>\n2-unit plays: 20-11, +1630<br \/>\n1-unit plays: 29-12-1, +1570<br \/>\nParlays: 2-4, +1360<br \/>\nTeasers: 4-2, +2070<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>60-34-2, +6760<\/strong><\/span> on original $2310 risk.<br \/>\n292.6% ROI on original $2310 bankroll.<br \/>\n38.7% ROI on $17,490 (159 units) of total weekly investments.<\/p>\n<p>11-2, +3470 on 27 units (+116.8%) in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/2016\/10\/30\/nfl-week-8-predictions-and-picks-against-the-spread\/\">Week 8<\/a>.<br \/>\n3-6, -480 on 12 units (-36.4%) in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/2016\/10\/23\/nfl-week-7-predictions-and-picks-against-the-spread\/\">Week 7<\/a>.<br \/>\n9-3-1, +1300 on 17 units (+69.5%) in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/2016\/10\/16\/nfl-week-6-predictions-and-picks-against-the-spread\/\">Week 6<\/a>.<br \/>\n7-7, +50 on 22 units (+2.1%) in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/2016\/10\/08\/nfl-week-5-predictions-and-picks-against-the-spread\/\">Week 5<\/a>.<br \/>\n9-2, +1910 on 18 units (+96.5%) in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/2016\/10\/01\/nfl-week-4-predictions-and-picks-against-the-spread\/\">Week 4<\/a>.<br \/>\n3-9-1, -1280 on 22 units (-58.2%) in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/2016\/09\/25\/nfl-week-3-predictions-picks-spread\/\">Week 3<\/a>.<br \/>\n9-3, +950 on 20 units (+43.2%) in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/2016\/09\/17\/nfl-week-2-predictions-and-picks-against-the-spread\/\">Week 2<\/a>.<br \/>\n9-2, +840 on 21 units (+36.4%) in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/2016\/09\/11\/nfl-week-1-predictions-picks-spread\/\">Week 1<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>The views and opinions expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of the publisher of this website. Neither the author nor this website promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, please call 1-888-ADMIT-IT or 1-888-GA-HELPS.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong><span style=\"color: #800000;\">Follow on Twitter<\/span> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AllThingsPats\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">@AllThingsPats<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The best game features the reigning Super Bowl champs versus a team that hasn&#8217;t been to the playoffs for 14 years. Denver travels to Oakland in a battle of AFC West rivals on Sunday night. Both clubs are 6-2, tied for the division lead &#8211; and one game behind the Patriots for home field in the AFC playoff race. The Raiders won the last meeting in December to snap an eight game losing streak to the Broncos. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":4272,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_pfeai_meta_description":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":true,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1198,1],"tags":[1066,253,254,321,323,315,260,46,318,271,368,277,375,122,306,478,141,45,656,307,303,47,470,176,706,705,70,328,259,379,201,374,252,308,1185,510],"class_list":["post-9036","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl-commentary","category-uncategorized","tag-2016-nfl-season","tag-afc","tag-afc-east","tag-afc-north","tag-afc-west","tag-baltimore-ravens","tag-betting-line","tag-buffalo-bills","tag-bye-week","tag-cbs","tag-dallas-cowboys","tag-denver-broncos","tag-detroit-lions","tag-espn","tag-fox","tag-green-bay-packers","tag-indianapolis-colts","tag-miami-dolphins","tag-minnesota-vikings","tag-nbc","tag-new-york-giants","tag-new-york-jets","tag-nfc","tag-nfc-east","tag-nfc-north","tag-nfc-south","tag-nfl","tag-oakland-raiders","tag-odds","tag-philadelphia-eagles","tag-pittsburgh-steelers","tag-seattle-seahawks","tag-television","tag-tv","tag-vegas","tag-week-9"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.7 (Yoast SEO v27.7) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>NFL Week 9 Predictions and Picks Against the Spread<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Welcome to November and the half way point of the NFL 2016 regular season. The best game features the reigning Super Bowl champs versus a team that hasn&#039;t been to the playoffs for 14 years. Denver travels to Oakland in a battle of AFC West rivals on Sunday night. Both clubs are 6-2, tied for the division lead - and one game behind the Patriots for home field in the AFC playoff race. 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