{"id":63794,"date":"2025-12-12T07:58:24","date_gmt":"2025-12-12T12:58:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/?p=63794"},"modified":"2025-12-12T07:58:24","modified_gmt":"2025-12-12T12:58:24","slug":"can-the-patriots-end-bills-reign-clinch-afc-east-this-sunday","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/2025\/12\/12\/can-the-patriots-end-bills-reign-clinch-afc-east-this-sunday\/","title":{"rendered":"Can Patriots End Bills\u2019 Reign and Clinch AFC East This Sunday?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Can the Patriots make it 11 wins in a row and lock up the AFC East division crown for the first time since 2019? Entering the week at 11-2, they are in an excellent position for their stretch run to secure the division and a top AFC seed.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But the Bills, who have won the division for the past five years, are not going to go gentle into that good night. Buffalo was on the ropes at home last week in the snow against Cincinnati before rallying behind Josh Allen and a defense that caused multiple turnovers in the fourth quarter.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Patriots will have their hands full in this matchup, as the Bills looked very good against the Bengals last week. They know that if the Patriots win, they sweep the season series and clinch the division.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Perhaps they discounted the Patriots in Week 5, during the first meeting in Buffalo. They won\u2019t this time.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This week&#8217;s game will be broadcast by CBS and can be seen locally on WBZ-TV Channel 4. Ian Eagle will handle play-by-play duties with J.J. Watt as the color analyst. Evan Washburn will provide analysis from the sidelines.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The game is also carried on 98.5 The Sports Hub. Bob Socci will call the action along with former Patriots quarterback Scott Zolak, who will provide color analysis. The games are produced by Marc Cappello.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">So, let&#8217;s quickly get to the matchups.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><b>Patriots RBs vs. Bills Front Seven <\/b><b>\u2014<\/b> <i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Edge New England<\/span><\/i><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Patriots&#8217; running game has struggled for much of the year. So has Buffalo\u2019s run defense. It is kind of a weakness-on-weakness this week, although the Bills\u2019 run defense has looked a bit better.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Look for Josh McDaniels to scheme up some plays, looking for some chunk yardage from TreVeyon Henderson, who has come on in the second half of the season. Rhamondre Stevenson has battled a toe injury, and the bye week hopefully did him some good.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Bills\u2019 defense misses Ed Oliver. But can the Patriots take advantage enough to dominate? Doubtful, but they will stick with the run to open up play-action passing.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><b>Patriots WRs vs. Bills Secondary <\/b><b>\u2014<\/b> <i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Edge New England<\/span><\/i><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Patriots&#8217; passing game has been excellent this season, as Drake Maye is an MVP candidate. He can attack all three levels of the field and can extend plays with his feet as well as scramble for yardage.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In the first matchup, the Bills played coverage in the first half and tried to blitz Maye in the second half, which was a mistake, as Maye carved them up for nearly 180 yards after halftime. Look for the Bills to drop seven into coverage and force Maye to hit his spots.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This seems like a Stefon Diggs, Hunter Henry-type game for the offense. My \u201cX\u201d factor in the passing game is Mack Hollins, who didn\u2019t have a catch (the only time this season) in the game and wasn\u2019t targeted.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Next up is the Bills offense.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><b>Bills RBs vs. NE Front Seven <\/b><b>\u2014<\/b> <i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Edge Buffalo<\/span><\/i><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Patriots&#8217; run defense is currently the #3 unit in the NFL. They have allowed only 89.5 yards per game, and should be getting Khyiris Tonga back this week.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Buffalo\u2019s running game is #1 in the league with James Cook and Josh Allen leading the way. They average 157.8 yards per game. The Bills love to run to the weak side of the formation, allowing Cook to cut back, allowing for big chunk plays at the second level.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Look for the Patriots to attack and try to penetrate the offensive line, especially on early downs, to take away the cutback lanes. Not having Milton Williams, who had a big game in Week 5 hurts, but getting Tonga back will surely help.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><b>Bills WRs vs. NE Secondary <\/b><b>\u2014<\/b><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Edge Buffalo<\/span><\/i><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Bills have the reigning MVP from a year ago, and against the Bengals, Allen looked the part. While the Bills passing game isn\u2019t as explosive as years past it is still a tough matchup because of their excellent pair of tight ends with Dawson Knox and Dalton Kincaid.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Buffalo likes to use them crossing the middle of the field, an area that the Patriots defense has struggled. However, with Christian Gonzalez, Carlton Davis, and Marcus Jones, the Patriots&#8217; secondary has the tools to lock up the receivers and slow down the passing game.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Of course, the pass rush has to have gap discipline in this one, if they rush past Allen, he\u2019ll take off and hurt them or extend plays with his legs.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><b>Special Teams <\/b><b>\u2014<\/b><b>\u00a0 <\/b><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Edge New England<\/span><\/i><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Patriots&#8217; special teams gets the slight advantage over the Bills here, especially being at home. Marcus Jones is the guy who can change the entire complexion of the game with his return ability. The Bills will be cognizant of his strengths and try to take that away.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The team should also get ace special teamer Brandon Schooler back for this week\u2019s game.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><b>Prediction:\u00a0<\/b><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Patriots have the opportunity to unseat the Bills as division champions for the first time since 2019 with a win on Sunday. This one should go right down to the wire again.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This one should be more high-scoring than the first one. Some interesting tidbits:, Josh Allen is 15-1 in his last 16 December games. Mike Vrabel\u2019s teams are 6-0 coming off the bye week. The Bills average 33.4 points scored at home, but that number falls to 23.7 on the road.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">I think both quarterbacks will excel in this one, but the Patriots (underdogs) will pull off the upset with a last-minute stop.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Patriots 31-27<\/b><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Follow me on Twitter @SteveB7SFG or email me at<\/span><\/i><a href=\"http:\/\/patspub.patsfans.com\/stevebpatsfans@gmail.com\"> <i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">stevebpatsfans@gmail.com<\/span><\/i><\/a><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Listen to our<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0 <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/patsfans.com\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">PatsFans.com<\/span><\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/podcasts.apple.com\/us\/podcast\/patriots-no-huddle-podcast\/id1810743829\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Patriots No Huddle <\/span><\/i><\/a><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">podcasts on Apple and YouTube as Derek Havens, Mike D\u2019Abate, and I discuss the latest Patriots news and game analysis<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p> This seems like a Stefon Diggs, Hunter Henry-type game for the offense. My \u201cX\u201d factor in the passing game is Mack Hollins<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":62949,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[23757,23296,23494,11],"tags":[254,46,23269,23398,2200,23466,2201,22857,1743,23704,22987,664,44,22588,23738],"class_list":["post-63794","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-2025-patriots-season","category-buffalo-bills","category-new-england-patriots","category-patriots-commentary","tag-afc-east","tag-buffalo-bills","tag-christian-gonzalez","tag-dalton-kincaid","tag-dawson-knox","tag-drake-maye","tag-ed-oliver","tag-james-cook","tag-josh-allen","tag-khyiris-tonga","tag-marcus-jones","tag-mike-vrabel","tag-new-england-patriots","tag-rhamondre-stevenson","tag-treveyon-henderson"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.5 (Yoast SEO v27.5) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Can Patriots End Bills\u2019 Reign and Clinch AFC East This Sunday?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"This seems like a Stefon Diggs, Hunter Henry-type game for the offense. 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