{"id":60319,"date":"2025-05-16T12:57:42","date_gmt":"2025-05-16T16:57:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/?p=60319"},"modified":"2025-05-16T12:59:45","modified_gmt":"2025-05-16T16:59:45","slug":"morse-analysis-of-2025-patriots-schedule","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/2025\/05\/16\/morse-analysis-of-2025-patriots-schedule\/","title":{"rendered":"MORSE: Analysis of 2025 Patriots Schedule"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3><strong>Patriots Schedule Release <\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>The Patriots have a very favorable schedule, which is the 3<sup>rd<\/sup> best schedule based upon last year\u2019s winning percentage Strength of Schedule (SOS).\u00a0 The last two 4-13 seasons, the Patriots have had the worst SOS going into the seasons, which attributed to their overall record.<\/p>\n<p>Twelve of their games are at 1:00 (I Love 1:00 pm games).\u00a0 They are in Prime Time three times, one each on Thursday, Sunday and Monday nights.<\/p>\n<p>Unfortunately, they have a BYE week that is at the end of the BYE Week cycle in week 14.\u00a0 They will have many injuries that late in the season, and don\u2019t get as much of a boost to heal from injuries this late in season.\u00a0 The big benefit is they get the BYE the week before playing one of their tougher opponents, the Buffalo Bills, at home.<\/p>\n<p>Another point is the minimized travel schedule.\u00a0 The team has no games overseas nor do they travel to the West Coast.\u00a0 Their farthest road game is at New Orleans.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Schedule<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><strong>Pre-season Game #1<\/strong> Friday August 8th 7:30 home vs Washington Commanders.<\/p>\n<p>Look for The Pats to be hosting a joint practice with the Commanders prior to this game.\u00a0 I would expect the starters will play little or not at all because of the joint practice.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Pre-season Game #2<\/strong> Saturday August 19th 1:00 at Minnesota Vikings<\/p>\n<p>There was a rumor the Pats were interested in a joint practice with the Vikings, but I don&#8217;t think this will happen.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Pre-season Game #3<\/strong> Thursday August 21st 8:00 at NYG<\/p>\n<p>The traditional last preseason game against an opponent that they will face later in the season.\u00a0 Usually, starters don&#8217;t play in this game at all and its players who are trying to make the 53-man roster and other players that are trying to show their skills to be claimed by another team.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Week 1 September 7<sup>th<\/sup><\/strong> 1:00 CBS &#8211; They open at home against the Raiders, which is a very winnable game.\u00a0 We can call this the Josh McDaniels revenge game.\u00a0 Robert Spillane and Marcus Epps played for the Raiders.\u00a0 We will also see old friend WR Jacobi Meyers.\u00a0 Pete Carroll also returns to Foxboro.\u00a0 This should be a win to open the Vrabel era.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Week 2 September 14<sup>th<\/sup><\/strong> 1:00 CBS &#8211; The next game is at Miami in the heat of South Florida.\u00a0 Huge home advantage for Miami but would rather have this game in September and a home game in January in the cold of Foxboro.\u00a0 I would peg this as loss.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Week 3 September 21<sup>st<\/sup><\/strong> 1:00 &#8211; CBS has the Pats back home against the Steelers.\u00a0 This should be a win against a team that presently doesn\u2019t have a QB.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Week 4 September 28<sup>th<\/sup><\/strong> 1:00 FOX &#8211; is another weaker foe in the Carolina Panthers at home.\u00a0 This should be another win.\u00a0 A quick start at 3-1 at this point.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Week 5 October 5th<\/strong> 8:25 CBS &#8211; They travel to Buffalo for a Sunday Night matchup.\u00a0 A Prime-Time game with the team that has been in competition for the AFC Championships in the last few years.\u00a0 A good test for the young team.\u00a0 I gave this game to Buffalo.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Week 6 October 12<sup>th<\/sup><\/strong> 4:25 CBS &#8211; They travel to New Orleans for a game in the late afternoon time slot.\u00a0 New Orleans has a big QB problem to overcome, and I have the Pats winning this game.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Week 7 October 19<sup>th<\/sup><\/strong> 1:00 CBS \u2013 It\u2019s Mike Vrabel\u2019s return to Tennessee.\u00a0 This will be a fun game to watch and see how far Cam Ward has progressed.\u00a0 This is another game the Patriots should win.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Week 8 October 26<sup>th<\/sup><\/strong> 1:00 FOX &#8211; The Patriots are Home again versus the struggling Browns.\u00a0 I don\u2019t know how the Browns are going to be.\u00a0 Since they are at home, I am giving it to the Patriots.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Week 9 November 2<sup>nd<\/sup><\/strong> 1:00 CBS &#8211; has the Falcons visiting New England.\u00a0 This is another team the Pats should beat.\u00a0 I am interested in seeing how far Michael Penix has progressed.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Week 10 November 9<sup>th <\/sup><\/strong>1:00 CBS \u2013 The game at Tampa Bay will be a great test for the Patriots as the second half of the schedule is exceeding tougher than the 1<sup>st<\/sup> half. To this point they have only played one playoff team and that was at Buffalo.\u00a0 The Bucs are a very good team and play tough at home in the Florida heat.\u00a0 I have this in the loss column.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Week 11 November 13<sup>th<\/sup><\/strong> 8:15 PRIME &#8211; Thursday Night Football game is against the NY Jets at home.\u00a0 They are travelling back from Tampa Bay to play the short week game at home. \u00a0A rivalry game in which the Patriots should prevail. Then it\u2019s 10 days off before travelling to Cincinnati for a game.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Week 12 November 23<sup>rd<\/sup><\/strong> 1:00 CBS &#8211; The Patriots travel to Cincinnati after getting an extra three days off.\u00a0 I think the Patriots will battle the Bengals tough in this game but will fall short for another loss.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Week 13 December 1<sup>st<\/sup><\/strong> 8:15 ESPN &#8211; The Patriots are home for a Monday Night clash with New York Giants.\u00a0 This is another game where they come away as the victors.\u00a0 This game could be flexed out of Monday Night Football by the league if either or both teams are not competitive by this week.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Week 14 BYE<\/strong> \u2013 This is very late in the season.\u00a0 I think the Patriots are being punished because of their easy schedule.\u00a0 No other AFC East team has the BYE this late.\u00a0 This is the last BYE Week in the NFL schedule.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Week 15 December 14<sup>th<\/sup><\/strong> 1:00 CBS \u2013 They are at home hosting the Buffalo Bills.\u00a0 The Pats will have the advantage of having the BYE the week before the game with time to heal and game plan, ahead of this clash.\u00a0 This is another game in which I expect the Patriots to play tough but come up short.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Week 16 December 21<sup>st<\/sup><\/strong> 1:00 CBS \u2013 This is another tough game at the Baltimore Ravens.\u00a0 Overall, this may be their toughest game of the year.\u00a0 Baltimore is a very good running team and with my limited analysis of the Defense, I think the Patriots Defense may have difficulty against strong running teams.\u00a0 Will they be able to handle Lamar Jackson? \u00a0This is another loss.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Week 17 December 28<sup>th<\/sup><\/strong> 1:00 CBS \u2013 This has them travelling to the Meadowlands for a matchup with the Jets.\u00a0 I think the Jets season will be over already and they are just playing out the string.\u00a0 I have the Patriots winning this game.<\/p>\n<p>Week 18 January 3<sup>rd<\/sup> or 4<sup>th<\/sup> TBD, TBD &#8211; The regular season finale could be played on January 3<sup>rd<\/sup> or 4<sup>th<\/sup> as determined by the Leagues for the most favorable matchups for TV.\u00a0 The Dolphins have to travel North to Foxboro.\u00a0 It\u2019s well documented the Phins don\u2019t play nearly as well in the cold.\u00a0 I have this game going the Patriots way<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Projected Season Record<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>I don\u2019t believe I am predicting an 11-6 record and the Patriots making the Wild Card.\u00a0 \u00a0This is how the schedule lays out and the overall diminished abilities of the opponents.\u00a0 They will face a minimum of two and as many as four rookie QB\u2019s as well as a 2<sup>nd<\/sup> year QB in Michael Penix.\u00a0 The 3<sup>rd<\/sup> best SOS is playing heavily into my prediction.\u00a0 Anything worse than 9 wins, in my opinion, will be a failure for this team.\u00a0 \u00a0Only one team, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.patsfans.com\" title=\"New England Patriots at PatsFans.com\"><strong>New England Patriots<\/strong><\/a>, have not made the playoffs with 11 wins (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/new-england-patriots\/schedule\/2008\/\"><strong>2008 Patriots Season<\/strong><\/a>).\u00a0 The last 4 games will determine if they are contenders or pretenders!\u00a0 To that point they will have played a very easy schedule.\u00a0 They have back-to-back games versus playoffs teams in Buffalo and Baltimore.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Changes starting Amongst the Scouting Staff<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Josh Hinch, an Area Scout for the Southeast Region, has departed from the Patriots Scouting Department.\u00a0 I do not know if Hinch was let go, or if he left of his own accord. Hinch had been with the Patriots since 2021.\u00a0 The life of a scout is difficult, especially if they have a family.\u00a0 It\u2019s many days on the road interviewing people and gathering information on thousands of players.\u00a0 I found it refreshing that Eliot Wolf went out of his way to thank the scouts first before he said anything about the draft.<\/p>\n<p>Patrick Stewart, Pro Scouting Director left the team to take a Football Operations position at Nebraska.<\/p>\n<p>This article was started two weeks ago and what I wrote was \u201cThe Titans released three scouts, Corey Cooper, Michal Johnson and AJ Highsmith.\u00a0 Highsmith is the son of Patriots Senior Personnel Executive Alonzo Highsmith. This is the time of year that changes are made to the team\u2019s scouting staffs.\u00a0 Look for additional movement there&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>Wolf criticized his team\u2019s\u00a0free agency research\u00a0in 2024, claiming that \u201csome of the information that we got on some of the players wasn\u2019t as thorough as it needed to be.\u201d The hope will be that adding Highsmith helps address that issue\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>The Patriots announced they have in fact brought in Highsmith to replace Stewart as Pro Scouting Director.\u00a0 On the surface it looks like nepotism because of the relationship with his father.\u00a0 That is the only connection he has with the current Patriots organization.\u00a0 He was not a scout in Tennessee when Vrabel was there.\u00a0 AJ Highsmith has been in NFL scouting for 11 years already with increasing responsibilities working for Buffalo under Brandon Beane, in San Francisco under John Lynch and in Tennessee under Ran Carthon.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Cam Williams Leaves the Team <\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Williams was the Director of College Scouting in his 9 years for the Patriots in which he steadily increased his responsibilities for the team.\u00a0 Denver hired him for the position of Co-Director of Player Personnel.\u00a0 This is a promotion for Williams.\u00a0 Williams is the son of former Patriots D-lineman Brent Williams.\u00a0 In the videos of the team calling Will Campbell and TreVeyon Henderson, Williams was the 1<sup>st<\/sup> member of the scouting staff making the calls to the players.\u00a0 It\u2019s possible the team promotes from within, and Matt Evans, who succeeded Cam Williams as National Scout could be a candidate.<\/p>\n<p>From outside the organization, Corey Cooper and Michal Johnson, who I listed above would make sense as possible additions since they were recently let go from the Titans.\u00a0 Ryan Cowden and Mike Vrabel are familiar with these guys.<\/p>\n<p>Williams was seen as a Belichick guy and that may be the reason he chose to go for a promotion in another organization, something he wasn\u2019t going to get here.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Trayveon Williams Signed by Patriots<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>They signed the 6-year NFL running back who was a former 6<sup>th<\/sup> Round Draft pick in 2019 by the Cincinnati Bengals.\u00a0 He led the SEC in rushing in 2018, while earning a 1<sup>st<\/sup> team All-SEC.\u00a0 He gained 1,760 yards that year and accumulated 3,615 yards over his three-year career at Texas A&amp;M, averaging 6.0 yards per carry. \u00a0\u00a0In the NFL, he was used as a special team player in returning kickoffs.\u00a0 Williams stands 5\u20198\u201d 208-pounds and ran a 4.51 40-yard dash.\u00a0 In a subsequent move, the Patriots waived DT <strong>Eric Johnson<\/strong> whom they picked up on waivers last season from the Indianapolis Colts.\u00a0 Johnson had 11 Tackles in 11 games with the Patriots last season.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Patriots have a very favorable schedule which is the 3rd best schedule based upon last year\u2019s winning percentage Strength of Schedule (SOS).\u00a0 The last two 4-13 seasons, the Patriots have had the worst SOS going into the seasons, which attributed to their overall record.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":60279,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_pfeai_meta_description":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-60319","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-patriots-news"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.8 (Yoast SEO 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