{"id":4664,"date":"2016-01-24T10:00:40","date_gmt":"2016-01-24T15:00:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/?p=4664"},"modified":"2016-01-24T10:00:40","modified_gmt":"2016-01-24T15:00:40","slug":"patriots-need-to-improve-third-down-defense-against-broncos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/2016\/01\/24\/patriots-need-to-improve-third-down-defense-against-broncos\/","title":{"rendered":"Patriots need to improve third down defense against Broncos"},"content":{"rendered":"

For most of the season the topic of conversation in regards to the New England Patriots<\/strong><\/a> has centered on the performance of the offensive line. While that unit has at times deserved scrutiny, the return of Sebastian Vollmer has seemed to have stabilized the group. Overlooked has been what may be the real Achilles heel for this squad as they battle the Denver Broncos on Sunday: the team’s third down defense.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Last week the Chiefs converted on an astounding 12 out of 20 third down attempts. Add in a fourth down conversion, and Kansas City was able to stay on the field 65% of the time on third down against the Pats. To put that in perspective the New York Giants, with an atrocious pass defense that led to the exit of Tom Coughlin, had the NFL’s worst third down defense in 2015 – and opponents converted on only 47% of their third down opportunities. Logan Ryan in particular had a rough day, with opposing players catching eight out of ten passes thrown his way, plus committing a penalty that resulted in a first down and led to a touchdown on the next play.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

To be fair we are comparing the small sample size of one game (against a playoff caliber team) versus a defense’s entire season, but every New England fan watching last week’s game had to be very frustrated watching KC convert over and over, after the Patriot defense won first and second down to set up third and long. Considering the opponent, some of that should not have been totally unexpected<\/a> also. The Patriots’ defensive game plan was to contain Alex Smith and force him to beat the Pats through while limiting his runs. Smith averaged 5.9 yards per carry and quietly rushed for 498 yards and 30 first downs in 2015. Rather than bringing an aggressive pass rush, Matt Patricia’s group focused on gap integrity and setting the edge to contain Smith.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

In addition the secondary was in zone coverage more often than usual; that should change Sunday. Peyton Manning simply cannot get the ball downfield with any velocity at this point in his career. Pittsburgh made a critical defense with their game plan last week, positioning their defenders as if Manning could still throw the football like he did five or ten years ago. Although Bill Belichick stated that he would never underestimate Manning<\/a>, I am sure that he saw the same thing I did. Belichick game plans to take away an opponent’s strength and dares them to beat his team with a weaker asset – in this case, that is Manning having to throw the ball deep or outside the numbers.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

The good news for the Patriots is that Denver’s offense struggled mightily against a Steeler defense that is not nearly as proficient as New England’s. The Broncos were a woeful 2-12 on third down last week, and also failed to convert on two fourth downs. Some of that can be attributed to Pittsburgh’s defense being much better against the run (3.8 yards per carry, 6th in 2015; 91 yards per game, 6th) than they are in pass defense (7.5 yards per pass attempt, 18th; 64.3% completion rate, 22nd; 272 yards per game, 30th). Gary Kubiak wanted to run the ball (33 rushing attempts in the game) even if that was playing to Pittsburgh’s strength. The Denver head coach counted on his team’s defense being able to contain Pittsburgh without Antonio Brown, Le’Veon Bell and DeAngelo Williams. It was a smart game plan, figuring that the Steelers’ best chance to pull off an upset was if Manning threw a couple of wounded ducks that ended up as pick-sixes. Facing Tom Brady, Rob Gronkowski and Julian Edelman this week, he won’t have that luxury.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

In regards to the previous meeting between the Patriots and Broncos this season, I believe the most important factor that many (especially in Denver) are overlooking is that Jamie Collins did not play, and Dont’a Hightower left early with an injury. The game took a huge change when Hightower went out; once that happened the Broncos were suddenly able to run the ball. The absence of Jerod Mayo is relatively minor; he was on the field for just 36.1% of the defense’s snaps, and many of those came when Collins and Hightower missed time earlier this season. As for Denver fans that counter that the Broncos were equally distressed by having to start Brock Osweiler at quarterback, that argument does not hold water. The reality is that based on how he was performing, the removal of Manning was an improvement, not a downgrade.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Kansas City Chiefs Offensive 3rd Downs vs New England Patriots<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Drive #1 – with score Patriots 7, Chiefs 0<\/span><\/strong>
\n17 plays, 64 yards in 8:31
\n3rd and 7 at KC 33 (8:14 – 1st)
\nAlex Smith pass to short middle to Jeremy Maclin to KC 44 for 11 yards (Logan Ryan)
\nFirst Down<\/p>\n

3rd and 3 at NE 49 (6:15 – 1st)
\nAlex Smith pass to short middle to Travis Kelce to NE 44 for 5 yards (Rob Ninkovich)
\nFirst Down<\/p>\n

3rd and 13 at NE 47 (4:52 – 1st)
\nAlex Smith scrambles off left tackle to NE 32 for 15 yards (Jabaal Sheard)
\nFirst Down<\/p>\n

3rd and 4 at NE 26 (3:27 – 1st)
\nCharcandrick West off left end to NE 20 for 6 yards (Justin Coleman)
\nFirst Down<\/p>\n

3rd and 6 at NE 16 (2:03 – 1st)
\nAlex Smith pass incomplete, thrown away from outside the pocket to short left [Jamie Collins]
\nStop forces KC to settle for a field goal<\/p>\n

Drive #2 – with score Patriots 7, Chiefs 3<\/span><\/strong>
\n7 plays, 25 yards in 3:22
\n3rd and 2 at NE 48 (13:39 – 2nd)
\nCharcandrick West up the middle to NE 45 for 3 yards (Alan Branch)
\nFirst Down<\/p>\n

3rd and 7 at NE 42 (11:40 – 2nd)
\nAlex Smith pass incomplete to short middle to Travis Kelce
\nPenalty on KC, Illegal Use of Hands; declined
\nStop forces KC to punt<\/p>\n

Drive #3 – with score Patriots 7, Chiefs 3<\/span><\/strong>
\n3 plays, minus-1 yard, 1:38
\n3rd and 12 at NE 38 (9:51 – 2nd)
\nAlex Smith pass to short right to Travis Kelce to NE 37 for 1 yard (Patrick Chung; Dont’a Hightower)
\nStop forces KC to punt<\/p>\n

Drive #4 – with score Patriots 14, Chiefs 3<\/span><\/strong>
\n11 plays, 52 yards in 3:11
\n3rd and 7 at NE 46 (2:00 – 2nd)
\nAlex Smith pass to deep right to Jason Avant to NE 20 for 26 yards (Devin McCourty)
\nFirst Down<\/p>\n

3rd and Goal at NE 9 (0:21 – 2nd)
\nPenalty on KC – Alex Smith, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at NE 9
\nNo Play<\/p>\n

3rd and Goal at NE 14 (0:21 – 2nd)
\nAlex Smith pass incomplete to short left to Chris Conley
\nStop forces KC to settle for field goal<\/p>\n

Drive #5 – with score Patriots 14, Chiefs 6<\/span><\/strong>
\n8 plays, 44 yards in 4:29
\n3rd and 10 at KC 25 (14:13 – 3rd)
\nAlex Smith pass to short right to Jeremy Maclin, ran out of bounds at KC 37 for 12 yards
\nFirst Down
\nDrive ended when the Patriots recovered a fumble.<\/p>\n

Drive #6 – with score Patriots 21, Chiefs 6<\/span><\/strong>
\n12 plays, 80 yards in 6:12
\n3rd and 7 at KC 23 (7:39 – 3rd)
\nAlex Smith pass to deep left to Jason Avant to KC 49 for 26 yards (Logan Ryan)
\nFirst Down<\/p>\n

3rd and 3 at NE 29 (4:51 – 3rd)
\nAlex Smith scrambles off right end, ran out of bounds at NE 22 for 7 yards
\nFirst Down<\/p>\n

3rd and 3 at NE 15 (2:50 – 3rd)
\nAlex Smith pass incomplete to short left to Chris Conley (Justin Coleman)<\/p>\n

4th and 3 at NE 15 (2:45 – 3rd)
\nAlex Smith pass short to left to Jason Avant to NE 11 for 4 yards (Logan Ryan)
\nPenalty on NE (Akiem Hicks), Illegal Use of Hands, 5 yards, enforced at NE 15
\nFirst Down
\nResult of drive: touchdown<\/p>\n

Drive #7 – with score Patriots 24, Chiefs 13<\/span><\/strong>
\n3 plays, minus-8 yards in 2:20
\n3rd and 10 at KC 20 (13:24 – 4th)
\nAlex Smith sacked at KC 17 for -3 yards (Chandler Jones)
\nStop forces KC to punt<\/p>\n

Drive #8 – with score Patriots 27, Chiefs 13<\/span><\/strong>
\n8 plays, 29 yards in 2:52
\n3rd and 1 at KC 29 (9:16 – 4th)
\nAlex Smith pass to short right to Albert Wilson to KC 37 for 8 yards (Malcolm Butler)
\nFirst Down<\/p>\n

3rd and 10 at KC 49 (7:45 – 4th)
\nAlex Smith pass incomplete to deep left to Chris Conley (Devin McCourty)<\/p>\n

4th and 10 at KC 49 (7:28 – 4th)
\nAlex Smith pass to deep right intended for Albert Wilson: intercepted by Duron Harmon at NE 23.
\nThe Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was reversed.
\nAlex Smith pass incomplete to deep right to Albert Wilson (Duron Harmon)
\nStop forces ball to be turned over on downs.<\/p>\n

Drive #9 – with score Patriots 27, Chiefs 13<\/span><\/strong>
\n16 plays, 80 yards in 5:16
\n3rd and 8 at KC 22 (5:52 – 4th)
\nAlex Smith pass to short left to Chris Conley to KC 38 for 16 yards (Justin Coleman)
\nFirst Down<\/p>\n

3rd and 8 at KC 40 (4:51 – 4th)
\nAlex Smith pass incomplete to short left to Knile Davis<\/p>\n

4th and 8 at KC 40 (4:42 – 4th)
\nAlex Smith pass to short middle to Jason Avant to NE 47 for 13 yards (Logan Ryan)
\nFirst Down<\/p>\n

3rd and Goal at NE 3 (1:22 – 4th)
\nAlex Smith pass incomplete to short right to Jason Avant.
\nPenalty on NE (Logan Ryan), Defensive Pass Interference, 2 yards, enforced at NE 3
\nFirst Down
\nDrive results in a touchdown.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

For most of the season the topic of conversation in regards to the New England Patriots has centered on the performance of the offensive line. While that unit has at times deserved scrutiny, the return of Sebastian Vollmer has seemed to have stabilized the group. Overlooked has been what may be the real Achilles heel for this squad as they battle the Denver Broncos on Sunday: the team’s third down defense.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":4112,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[11,255],"tags":[185,460,743,784,253,792,34,796,277,154,614,288,153,276,83,49,44,8,682,487,545,270,329,201,556,479,797],"class_list":["post-4664","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-patriots-commentary","category-patriots-stat-breakdowns","tag-2015-nfl-season","tag-2015-patriots","tag-2015-playoffs","tag-2016-nfl-playoffs","tag-afc","tag-afc-championship-game","tag-bill-belichick","tag-defense","tag-denver-broncos","tag-donta-hightower","tag-gary-kubiak","tag-jamie-collins","tag-jerod-mayo","tag-kansas-city-chiefs","tag-logan-ryan","tag-matt-patricia","tag-new-england-patriots","tag-patriots","tag-patriots-2015-opponents","tag-patriots-opponents","tag-patriots-stats","tag-pats","tag-peyton-manning","tag-pittsburgh-steelers","tag-sebastian-vollmer","tag-stats","tag-third-down"],"yoast_head":"\nPatriots need to improve third down defense against Broncos<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Last week the Chiefs converted on an astounding 12 out of 20 third down attempts. 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