{"id":45176,"date":"2023-01-13T09:28:44","date_gmt":"2023-01-13T14:28:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/?p=45176"},"modified":"2023-01-13T09:28:44","modified_gmt":"2023-01-13T14:28:44","slug":"morse-2022-patriots-season-post-mortem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/2023\/01\/13\/morse-2022-patriots-season-post-mortem\/","title":{"rendered":"MORSE: 2022 Patriots Season Post Mortem"},"content":{"rendered":"

Post Season Analysis<\/strong><\/p>\n

Now that we have regurgitated the end of the 2022 season we can start to look at the reasons why the season was in such turmoil, what can be done to address those problems, and the turnover of personnel!<\/p>\n

Bob Kraft sent out the notices for the season ticket renewal last week.\u00a0 In that notice was a letter from Kraft.\u00a0 In it, he said how displeased he is with the results the team has generated over the last few years.\u00a0\u00a0 Here is a quote from the letter:<\/p>\n

\u201cWe can assure you that no one in our organization is satisfied with the results from this past season. In the weeks ahead, we will be making critical evaluations of all elements of our football operation as we strive to improve and return to the playoffs next year.\u201d<\/p>\n

Changes are coming.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Every year the roster turns over by 30%.\u00a0 That is just how Bill Belichick operates.\u00a0 This season it was 37%.\u00a0 Next year it may be more. The Patriots have 11 draft picks and the 4th<\/sup> most room under the cap.\u00a0 Let\u2019s start by looking at those players entering Free Agency.<\/p>\n

Offense<\/strong><\/p>\n

Nelson Agholor, Jakobi Meyers, Damien Harris, Yodny Cajuste \u2013 RFA, James Ferentz, Conor McDermott, Kristian Wilkerson \u2013 ERFA, Marcus Cannon, Isaiah Wynn
\n
\nDefense<\/strong><\/p>\n

JoeJuan Williams, Jonathan Jones, Mack Wilson, Jabril Peppers, Raekwon McMillan, Carl Davis, Daniel Ekuale, Myles Bryant \u2013 RFA<\/p>\n

Special Teams<\/strong><\/p>\n

Cody Davis, Joe Cardona<\/p>\n

Of these players, I would like to see the Pats sign Jon Jones, Jakobi Meyers, and Joe Cardona.\u00a0 I think that Cody Davis can be re-signed at a vet minimum as he rehabs from knee surgery.\u00a0 He will be 33 for the 2023 season.\u00a0 Jones and Meyers will require market-value contracts.<\/p>\n

Jon Jones \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 2 years $25M\u00a0\u00a0 AAV $12.5\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Age 29\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Agent Andy Simms<\/p>\n

Jakobi Meyers\u00a0 \u00a0 4 years $50M\u00a0\u00a0 AAV $12.5\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0Age 26\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 Drew Rosenhaus<\/p>\n

Pay your own players that you know, that you have developed, and show the other players on the team that its possible to play here for more than one contract.<\/p>\n

Next week I will start examining the team position by position.<\/p>\n

What went wrong?<\/strong><\/p>\n

The inexperience of the offensive coaching staff killed the team this year.\u00a0 As I stated back in May when I predicted the Patriots to go 6-11, you can\u2019t lose as many offensive coaches as the Pats did and expect to win.\u00a0 They lost 5 offensive coaches Josh McDaniel, OL coach Carmen Bracillo, WR Coach Mick Lombardi, QB coach Bo Hardegree, and RB coach Ivan Fears retired.\u00a0 The team is still not set on replacing Dante Scarnecchia as the O-line coach.\u00a0 It was Scarnecchia that was credited for getting the most out of the lackadaisical Trent Brown.\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0You don\u2019t have such a brain drain and expect to replace it and be functional.<\/p>\n

TE Coach Nick Caley was blocked from leaving the team and joining Josh McDaniels in Las Vegas.\u00a0 Caley was not given the title of Offensive Coordinator but was passed over.\u00a0 I guarantee he will be gone soon, as his contract is up this year.<\/p>\n

The \u201chiring\u201d of Matt Patricia and Joe Judge as offensive coordinator(s), QB Coach, and Offensive Line coach was a complete disaster.\u00a0 The Patriots dumbed down the offense, not for the players, but for the inexperienced coaches.\u00a0 They instituted a new blocking scheme incorporating the stretch block utilized by the Shanahan system.\u00a0 From the start, this didn\u2019t work and it caused issues between the coaches and the players.\u00a0 Move Patricia back to his consulting role, similar to that of Ernie Adams.\u00a0 Take away his play calling and Offensive Line coach duties and hire a qualified O-line coach.\u00a0 Former Patriot and veteran offensive lineman Billy Yates did as much as he could, but he only has 3 years of experience.\u00a0 Go out and get an offensive coordinator.\u00a0 Several good candidates are available such as Bill O\u2019Brien, Kliff Kingsbury, and Zac Robinson.<\/p>\n

Mac Jones play declined in year 2<\/strong><\/p>\n

What team changes their offense when you have a 2nd<\/sup> year QB?\u00a0\u00a0 That is absolutely insane.\u00a0 They said they were simplifying the complex offense that Josh McDaniel had made too complex.\u00a0 That is bullcrap.\u00a0 They dumbed down the offense because the two coaches they entrusted the playcalling to had never coached on offense.\u00a0 The second part of that is there was no one in the organization that knew the Ron Earhardt\/Ray Perkins offense of the 1970s.<\/p>\n

I found this description from the Baltimore Sports and Life by Mike Randall, Jan 17, 2014, “Erhardt-Perkins is named after two men. Ron Erhardt and Ray Perkins, who ran the offense under Patriots head coach, Chuck Fairbanks in the 1970s. The object of the system was to maximize efficiency in cold weather. They placed emphasis on the run game and the short passing game by showing the defense multiple looks, formations, and combinations of personnel while running simple plays found in all playbooks. Simple to learn, simple to run, easy to call on the fly, and hard to defend. \u00a0It has evolved over the years from coaches Bill Parcells, Marty Schottenheimer, Bill Cowher, Bill Belichick, and all his disciples. Consider the fact that Charlie Weis turned Brady Quinn and Jimmy Claussen into 1st<\/sup>\u00a0and 2nd<\/sup> round picks with this system at Notre Dame.”<\/p>\n

Weis taught it to McDaniel.\u00a0 The only offensive coach left is Nick Caley and the Patriots blocked him from leaving but wouldn\u2019t make him the Offensive Coordinator.\u00a0 \u00a0I expect Caley to leave this off-season.\u00a0 The Patriots are notorious for underpaying assistants and working long hard hours.\u00a0 They also have one of the smallest coaching staff in the league.<\/p>\n

Jones struggled with this offense from the start and the frustration boiled over several times during the season with Jones openly voicing his displeasure on the field with gestures and pouting.\u00a0 He was acting like a spoiled brat.\u00a0\u00a0 Jones has still maintained a 65% completion percentage in each of his 1st<\/sup> two seasons despite being the most blitzed QB in the league the last two years.\u00a0 I don\u2019t believe there has been another QB to do this in his 1st<\/sup> two years.\u00a0 Tua Tagovailoa came close with 64.8 as a 1st-year\u00a0player.<\/p>\n

This is according to Evan Lazar of Patriots.com:<\/p>\n

2022\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 2021<\/p>\n

PFF * Grade\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a067.5 (24th<\/sup>)\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 80 (12th<\/sup>)<\/p>\n

Total QBR\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 35.9 (28th<\/sup>)\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 56.9 (16th<\/sup>)<\/p>\n

* Pro Football Focus<\/p>\n

16-16 record for career<\/p>\n

Play action passing 16th<\/sup> in 2021 to 30th<\/sup> in 2022 (offensive play calling)<\/p>\n

The Patriots only used motion 10% of the time.\u00a0 Tua Tagovailoa used it 44.5% of the time.<\/p>\n

According to PFF, if Jones is given a clean pocket, he completes passes at a grade of 89 passing grade, 5th<\/sup> highest in the league.<\/p>\n

Offensive Line <\/strong><\/p>\n

Mac Jones was under constant pressure from a porous offensive line.\u00a0 In 2022 they gave up 41 sacks as compared to 28 in 2001.\u00a0 Bill Belichick gave away Shaq Mason in a cost-cutting move and got little in return.\u00a0 He also blew the negotiations with starting LG Ted Karras over $1M.\u00a0 Same thing the year before with All-Pro LG Joe Thuney.\u00a0 He could pay $12M for a bum WR like Nelson Agholor but couldn\u2019t pay one of their own, a player they had drafted and developed for the $15M open market price.\u00a0\u00a0 That was $1M more than the Franchise tag number they paid him in 2020.<\/p>\n

The Patriots were forced to draft a Guard Cole Strange in the 1st<\/sup> round of the 2022 draft.\u00a0 This pick was panned at the time as most Draft pundits felt he could have been taken in the 3rd<\/sup> round.\u00a0 Strange struggled all season but did show signs of improvement over the last two games, giving up only one QB pressure during those games.<\/p>\n

Isaiah Wynn decided that football wasn\u2019t important to him and committed the most penalties of any lineman on the team and perhaps in the league.\u00a0 Trent Brown was inconsistent and at times lazy.\u00a0 The only offensive line coach to motivate Brown was Dante Scarnecchia.\u00a0 Matt Patricia held the title of Offensive Line coach but he was too busy as an Offensive play caller to pay attention to correcting the faults of the Oline.\u00a0 He left that up to assistant Billy Yates.\u00a0 He is only in his 3rd<\/sup> year of coaching.\u00a0 Cole Strange struggled, especially when David Andrews was out of the lineup with an injury.<\/p>\n

I predicted a 6-11 record<\/strong><\/p>\n

These were the same reasons I predicted a 6-11 record back in May when the schedule came out.\u00a0 I was wrong and the Patriots played much better than I predicted.\u00a0 They were much better on Defense and they kept them in games and even contributed to the scoreboard with 7 defensive TDs.\u00a0 The hope would be that the Defense would keep them in the game until the Offense got up to speed.\u00a0 Unfortunately, that didn\u2019t happen until week 18.\u00a0 The Offense looked good, the best they had looked all year, but three Mac Jones Interceptions (you could say that all three were not his fault) and the special teams giving up two kickoff returns TDs doomed the Pats against Buffalo.\u00a0 The Patriots were in almost every game they played and easily could have won three more games for an 11-6 record.\u00a0 Don\u2019t get me wrong, they would not have been a good 11-6 team, but they easily could have had that record.<\/p>\n

End-of-year meeting between Kraft and Belichick<\/strong><\/p>\n

According to Tom Curran Kraft and Belichick have already met and Belichick admitted that changes are needed.\u00a0 It\u2019s not like Belichick to hold a press conference and announce the moves he has made on the staff.\u00a0 Moves need to be made.\u00a0 Patricia and Judge need to move from their present duties.\u00a0 I would like to see Judge back on Special Teams.\u00a0 They need a full-time O-line coach.\u00a0 It appears that several candidates have emerged that could be the offensive coordinator.\u00a0 Bill O\u2019Brien, Kliff Kingsbury, and Zac Robinson’s names have been mentioned.\u00a0 Matt LaFleur was relieved of his duties with the Jets. \u00a0The Denver Broncos have asked permission from the team to interview Matt Patricia for their Head Coaching job.\u00a0 \u00a0We expect that Jerod Mayo will get interviews for head coaching positions.\u00a0 The Cleveland Browns have already asked permission to interview Mayo for their Defensive Coordinator position.\u00a0 Nick Caley may get an interview with Houston as their Offensive Coordinator.\u00a0 Caley is close with former Patriots Player Development chief Nick Caserio, the Texans GM.<\/p>\n

Patriots Coaches will coach at the East \/ West Shrine game <\/strong><\/p>\n

It was announced today that the Patriots coaches including Bill Belichick will coach one of the teams at the East \/ West Shrine game on February 2nd,<\/sup> 2023.\u00a0 The game will be televised on NFL Network at 8:30.\u00a0 \u00a0Last year the Patriots selected 4 players that played in this game, WR Tyquan Thornton, CB Jack Jones, RB Pierre Strong, and DT Sam Roberts.<\/p>\n

The Senior Bowl is the same week and played on Sat Feb 4th at 1:30.\u00a0 Broadcast will be on NFL Network.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Now that we have regurgitated the end of the 2022 season we can start to look at the reasons why the season was in such turmoil, what can be done to address those problems, and the turnover of personnel!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":45045,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45176","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-patriots-news"],"yoast_head":"\nMORSE: 2022 Patriots Season Post Mortem<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Now that we have regurgitated the end of the 2022 season we can start to look at the reasons 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My earliest memories of the Patriots were attending as a child with my dad, the off-season practice at Phillips Academy. I was at the Patriots game at Harvard Stadium in 1970 where Bob \u201cHarpo\u201d Gladieux was called out of the stands by the stadium announcer over the PA to play in the game. 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