{"id":44391,"date":"2022-11-15T09:53:38","date_gmt":"2022-11-15T14:53:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/?p=44391"},"modified":"2022-11-15T09:57:47","modified_gmt":"2022-11-15T14:57:47","slug":"second-half-predictions-how-the-patriots-could-get-to-11-wins","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/2022\/11\/15\/second-half-predictions-how-the-patriots-could-get-to-11-wins\/","title":{"rendered":"Second Half Predictions: How the Patriots Could Get to 11 Wins"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.patsfans.com\" title=\"New England Patriots at PatsFans.com\"><strong>New England Patriots<\/strong><\/a> got back to work on Monday, with their bye week coming essentially at the halfway mark after they beat the Indianapolis Colts in Week 9 to improve to 5-4 on the season.<\/p>\n<p>They were idle this past weekend, which saw both the Buffalo Bills and Los Angeles Chargers go down during two tough losses for each club.\u00a0 However, their misery ended up working out in New England&#8217;s favor as all of a sudden, the team&#8217;s postseason outlook changed a bit.\u00a0 Those two losses resulted in the Patriots sliding into the final Wild Card slot in the AFC, which now has them in the playoff hunt as they get set to resume their season this weekend against the New York Jets.<\/p>\n<p>The Jets were also idle over the weekend after they upset the Bills the previous week, which was the first of two-straight losses for Buffalo after they lost 33-30 to Minnesota on Sunday. New England now has an opportunity to potentially knock the Jets down to the bottom of the AFC East this weekend, which would be a solid first step for a team that definitely has had a less-than-smooth road to get to this point.<\/p>\n<p>With eight games left to play, here are some thoughts on how things might play out over the final month and a half.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Week 11: vs New York Jets &#8211; <\/strong>Coming off a tough loss against New England a couple of weeks ago, the Jets were pretty bitter over that one as Zach Wilson stood at the podium, having thrown three interceptions, and started talking about the rematch.\u00a0 So far, the Patriots have had his number, which has seen them come out on the right side of those meetings while Wilson has been at quarterback.\u00a0 Still, the biggest question heading into Sunday is going to be whether or not Mac Jones and New England&#8217;s offense will take a step forward or if it will be another struggle.\u00a0 Fortunately, this one is at least at Gillette Stadium, which has seen the Patriots outscore New York 82-27 combined over their last two meetings.\u00a0 While it&#8217;s probably unlikely New England puts up 54 like they did last year, they should still win this one. &#8211; <strong>Win<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Week 12: at Minnesota &#8211; <\/strong>This one kicks off the first of four-straight night games, with this one coming on a short week on Thanksgiving.\u00a0 The Vikings have proven to this point they&#8217;re a contender, with Minnesota having won seven-straight games, and it&#8217;s a team that is currently one of just two clubs in the NFL with an 8-1 record.\u00a0 What&#8217;s sort of crazy is the fact despite their record, Minnesota is in the middle of the pack statistically in most categories on offense, sitting at #18 in total yards (3202yds), 11th in yards per game (355.8), 16th in yards per play (5.4) along with being 17th in 3rd down efficiency (40.5%).\u00a0 However, they&#8217;re currently second in the league in turnover differential with a +8, which has been a big key for them.\u00a0 That being said, the Patriots defense is good enough to make life difficult on Kirk Cousins and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/2022\/09\/02\/2022-patriots-season-prediction-how-they-get-to-13-wins\/\"><strong>while I didn&#8217;t like this game prior to the start of the season<\/strong><\/a>, if Jones can do enough and not give the Vikings the football, they should have a shot. &#8211;\u00a0<strong>Win<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Week 13: vs Buffalo &#8211; <\/strong>The schedule makers didn&#8217;t do the Patriots many favors as New England plays its second of two-straight Thursday night games.\u00a0 This one comes against the Bills, who at least are on an even playing field having also played on Thanksgiving in a match-up in Detroit against the Lions.\u00a0 The biggest question by this time should be the health of Josh Allen, who got beat up pretty well in their loss to Minnesota over the weekend.\u00a0 The Bills limited him heading into that game, and that seems to be their plan moving forward, although Allen has suddenly become turnover prone after having thrown multiple interceptions in three-straight games.\u00a0 As a result, it&#8217;s going to be interesting to see where he&#8217;s at by the time these two clubs meet.\u00a0 If the Patriots are still playing good defense by then and the offense has turned the corner, New England should be competitive enough with this year&#8217;s group to pull off the upset.\u00a0 I still believe the home crowd at Gillette Stadium should be electric if this one&#8217;s close, and I think they pull off the upset. &#8211; <strong>Win<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Week 14: at Arizona &#8211; <\/strong>This game is the third-straight night game and the second of two west coast games against a pretty good Cardinals football team that, like Minnesota, is in the middle of the pack offensively.\u00a0 Despite their 4-6 record, they&#8217;re a team that has played in a fair amount of close games this year, and they&#8217;re currently 5th in the NFL in turnover differential.\u00a0 However, they&#8217;re dealing with a fair amount of turmoil, with their head coach on the hot seat and a quarterback in Kyler Murray who is reportedly dealing with an injured hamstring.\u00a0 Murray sat out Sunday&#8217;s game in Los Angeles as the Cardinals beat the Rams 27-17, and the feeling out there is that it should be McCoy for however long it takes for Murray to get healthy.\u00a0 If he&#8217;s healthy, which by this time he probably will be, given New England&#8217;s issues against running quarterbacks, this will probably be a tough one.\u00a0 If he plays well and New England gets behind, I don&#8217;t know if Jones is at the point where he could get them back into it.\u00a0 This one might snap New England&#8217;s three-game winning streak. &#8211; <strong>Loss<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Week 15: at Las Vegas &#8211;<\/strong>\u00a0Back at the beginning of the season, I felt like this would be another game where a former coach gets the better of the Patriots, especially with what we saw during their last match-up at the end of the preseason.\u00a0 Instead, things have gone badly for Josh McDaniels, who may not even be the head coach by the time these two teams play despite<a href=\"https:\/\/profootballtalk.nbcsports.com\/2022\/11\/14\/mark-davis-josh-mcdaniels-is-doing-a-fantastic-job\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong> having recently received a vote of confidence<\/strong><\/a> from Raiders owner, Mark Davis.\u00a0 McDaniels needs to get his club turned around, and this one truthfully is going to come down to how each of the two teams is playing at this point.\u00a0 If New England has gotten on track and is playing good football, this defense is good enough to shut down a Las Vegas team that just hasn&#8217;t been able to do much of anything.\u00a0 I&#8217;d have to give the edge to Belichick and I think the Patriots beat them.\u00a0 However, raise your hand if you think it would be ironic if a Raiders loss results in McDaniels being let go after this game. &#8211; <strong>Win<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Week 16: vs Cincinnati &#8211;<\/strong> Nothing like a tough match-up on Christmas Eve, but that&#8217;s essentially what New England faces this week.\u00a0 This one comes against the Cincinnati Bengals, who currently sit at 5-4.\u00a0 It&#8217;s tough to say what kind of team they&#8217;ll be at this point, especially given the kind of uneven year they&#8217;ve had.\u00a0 At the same time, they&#8217;ve started playing a little better football as of late, having gone 3-2 over their last five games.\u00a0 While they&#8217;re not quite yet where they&#8217;d probably like to be, they&#8217;re still among the top teams in most categories offensively, as well as sitting in the top 10 for turnover differential.\u00a0 This match-up is obviously quite a ways off, but it&#8217;s a team that will likely be trying to make its own playoff push by the time these two clubs face off.\u00a0 However, the edge in this one would have to go to New England&#8217;s defense, especially if they can get pressure on Joe Burrow.\u00a0 Team&#8217;s have had success when they&#8217;ve been able to get after him, and this is another game where playing at Gillette Stadium sways my thinking a bit.\u00a0 I think they get this one, albeit it may be one of the wildest match-ups we witness all year. &#8211; <strong>Win<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Week 17: vs Miami &#8211;\u00a0<\/strong>Another holiday game, with this match-up falling on New Year&#8217;s Day at Gillette Stadium.\u00a0 Considering how the season started and where things are at this point, it should be interesting to see how New England fares in the rematch.\u00a0 Tua Tagovailoa has been playing some of his best football as of late, which is pretty incredible given how things looked for him health-wise back at the start of the season.\u00a0 The first match-up between these two teams was obviously frustrating, especially given the turnovers committed by New England&#8217;s offense.\u00a0 Those miscues ended up being big keys in Miami&#8217;s win, which, as many remember, was a big talking point coming out of that match-up.\u00a0 But overall, the Patriots defense did a good job in that game.\u00a0 The biggest mistake that day came on the big play to Jaylen Waddle, which many seem to forget came just seconds after New England lost Adrian Phillips to an injury.\u00a0 His loss had Ja&#8217;Whaun Bentley playing out of position, which also saw Kyle Dugger take a bad angle after Waddle blew past Bentley.\u00a0 This time around, this one should be a different story and it likely sets up some interesting scenarios heading into the final week of the season. &#8211; <strong>Win<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Week 18: at Buffalo &#8211;\u00a0<\/strong>At the start of the season, many thought this one would potentially be an easy win for New England, provided Buffalo had things sewn up by this point and were resting its starters.\u00a0 Given the turn they&#8217;re currently taking, the Bills seem to have a crack in the armor, and it&#8217;s probably more likely that they&#8217;ll have lost a couple of additional tough games ahead of this one.\u00a0 In fact, it&#8217;s entirely possible, especially after last week&#8217;s predicted win over Miami, that this game comes down to the Division between these two teams.\u00a0 The fact the Patriots would even be in this position seems hard to imagine, but don&#8217;t get too excited.\u00a0 After looking back on last year&#8217;s playoff loss, this one feels like a similar situation where the Bills are just amped up, and everything feels like a grind.\u00a0 With this one being played in their place, I think Buffalo takes this one, which is obviously frustrating.\u00a0 The best chance the Patriots can hope for at this point is that another team knocks the Bills off in the posteason so that unlike last year, they&#8217;ll hopefully avoid a rematch. &#8211; <strong>Loss<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>FINAL Record: <\/strong>11-6<\/p>\n<p>We&#8217;ll see how things play out.\u00a0 Again, the<a href=\"https:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/2022\/09\/02\/2022-patriots-season-prediction-how-they-get-to-13-wins\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong> previous season prediction<\/strong><\/a> was based on them picking up on where they left off last year and building off of it.\u00a0 Instead, things have clearly been a mess, and any of the above is still based on Jones and the offense figuring things out.\u00a0 If that doesn&#8217;t happen, it may simply end up being a long eight weeks.<\/p>\n<p>Let&#8217;s hope the latter doesn&#8217;t happen and cross our fingers that they&#8217;ll be playing better football over this final stretch.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>With eight games left to play, here are some thoughts on how things might play out for the New England Patriots over the final month and a half.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":44263,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[23151,23152],"tags":[44,23192],"class_list":["post-44391","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-2022-patriots-season","category-pf","tag-new-england-patriots","tag-patriots-predictions"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.4 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Second Half 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