{"id":43061,"date":"2022-09-29T05:00:40","date_gmt":"2022-09-29T09:00:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/?p=43061"},"modified":"2022-09-28T21:32:01","modified_gmt":"2022-09-29T01:32:01","slug":"week-4-preview-of-the-green-bay-packers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/2022\/09\/29\/week-4-preview-of-the-green-bay-packers\/","title":{"rendered":"Week 4 Preview: New England Patriots at Green Bay Packers"},"content":{"rendered":"

Green Bay comes into this game with a 14-game home unbeaten streak.\u00a0 It’s third to two Patriots records of 16 and 18 games.\u00a0 They are the 13th<\/sup> team to have three straight 13+ win seasons.<\/p>\n

Base Offense 3WR 1 TE<\/strong><\/p>\n

Aaron Rodgers is the stirrer that makes this cocktail delicious.\u00a0 Rodger is the 5th<\/sup> player in league history to win back-to-back MVPs.\u00a0 Through 3 games Rodgers has thrown 68 completions out of 94 attempts (72.3%) for 684 yards, 4 TDs, and 2 INTs.\u00a0 He has a 98.2 QB Rating and an average of 228 yards a game.\u00a0 Only three times has a QB not named Rodgers thrown 500 passes and had 4 or fewer Interceptions.\u00a0 As Rodgers goes so don\u2019t the Packers.<\/p>\n

Don\u2019t sleep on the two-headed monster running backs Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon.\u00a0 Jones is off to a great start on 32 carries he has 217 yards for 6.8 yards per carry.\u00a0 Add to that 9 catches out of the backfield for 76 yards and 8.4 yards per catch.\u00a0 Dillon the former BC Eagle is also off to a great start.\u00a0 In 40 carries he has 138 yards for 3.5 yards per carry.\u00a0 Toss in 8 receptions for 58 yards and a 7.3 yards per catch and you have no drop-off when he is in the game.\u00a0 Sometimes they play both at the same time.\u00a0 This way defenses can\u2019t key on one or the other.<\/p>\n

The wide receiver group is one of the worst Rodgers has had.\u00a0 He lost his longtime binky in Davante Adams.\u00a0 Now Rodgers throws to the open receiver.\u00a0 After three games rookie, Romeo Doubs is the leading pass catcher with 14 catches on 16 targets.\u00a0 That was for 137 yards, 9.8 average, and a TD.\u00a0 Next is Randall Cobb with 7 on 8 targets for 108 yards and a 15.4 average per catch.\u00a0 Sammy Watkins was 7 of 8 for 111 yards and an 18.5 average but he is on IR now. Rookie Christian Watson has been off to a slow start with 5 catches in 2 games.\u00a0 He is listed as Questionable for Sunday.\u00a0 Veteran Allen Lazard leads the team with 2 TD catches in 2 games.\u00a0 He has 6 catches in 9 targets.<\/p>\n

At Tight End, Robert Tonyan has been Rodgers’s favorite target with 11 catches on 14 targets for 84 yards and a 7.6 average.<\/p>\n

The Offensive line was decimated with injuries last year, but they are all back this season.\u00a0 David Bakhtiari is the anchor of the O-line, entering his tenth season as Green Bay\u2019s Left Tackle.\u00a0 When Bakhtiari was out of the lineup, Green Bay suffered.\u00a0 He has been 1st<\/sup> team All-Pro twice and 2nd<\/sup> team All-Pro three times.\u00a0 Right Tackle Elgton Jenkins also missed time last year. The 5th<\/sup> year Mississippi State product has locked down the right side. \u00a0That\u2019s a pair of formidable tackles. \u00a0The Left Guard is 4th<\/sup> year player out of Michigan John Runyan Jr.\u00a0 He isn\u2019t as big as his father who played in the league for 14 years mostly with Philadelphia. He is a road grader just like his dad.\u00a0 Right, Guard, has Royce Newman manning the position.\u00a0 A 2020 4th<\/sup> round draft pick of the Packers, Newman played in the SEC for Ole Miss.\u00a0 Rounding out the O-line, Josh Meyers is the Center. \u00a0The Patriots were said to have an interest in Meyers, the Ohio State Center.\u00a0 I loved the two O-linemen they drafted, Zach Tom of Wame Forest and Sean Rhyan of UCLA.\u00a0 I wouldn\u2019t be surprised to see one or both starting by the year\u2019s end. \u00a0I really like fourth-rounder Tom and he just might be the steal of the draft.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
<\/td>\nSTARTER<\/strong><\/td>\n2ND<\/strong><\/td>\n3RD<\/strong><\/td>\n4TH<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
QB<\/td>\nAaron Rodgers<\/td>\nJordan Love<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
RB<\/td>\nAaron Jones<\/td>\nAJ Dillon Q<\/td>\nPatrick Taylor<\/td>\nKylin Hill O<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
WR<\/td>\nAllen Lazard Q<\/td>\nChristian Watson Q<\/td>\nSammy Watkins IR<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
WR<\/td>\nRomeo Doubs<\/td>\nAmari Rodgers<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
WR<\/td>\nRandall Cobb<\/td>\nSamori Toure<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
TE<\/td>\nRobert Tonyan<\/td>\nMarcedes Lewis Q<\/td>\nTyler Davis<\/td>\nJosiah Deguara<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
LT<\/td>\nDavid Bakhtiari Q<\/td>\nYosh Nijman<\/td>\nRasheed\u00a0Walker<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
LG<\/td>\nJon Runyan<\/td>\nZach Tom<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
C<\/td>\nJosh Myers<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
RG<\/td>\nRoyce\u00a0Newman<\/td>\nJake Hanson<\/td>\nSean Rhyan<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
RT<\/td>\nElgton Jenkins Q<\/td>\nRoyce\u00a0Newman<\/td>\nZach Tom<\/td>\nCaleb Jones Q<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

 <\/p>\n

Base Defense 3-4<\/strong><\/p>\n

This per Warren Sharp \u201cKenny Clark has been the rock in the middle of the Green Bay defensive line for years and his 2020 extension has him under contract through 2024. Last season, he ranked 13th among defensive tackles in pressure rate, per SIS. Clark played 72% of the defensive snaps, but the biggest concern was who was lining up next to him, which wasn\u2019t much. \u00a0Jarran Reed was brought in as a free agent on a one-year deal. With the Chiefs last season, Reed was 50th among defensive tackles in pressure rate at the position but he\u2019s been able to be a disruptive force inside throughout his career. Dean Lowry has been the other constant on the interior and had a career-high five sacks in 2021 but 2022 is the final year of his contract.\u201d<\/p>\n

The big Georgia DT Devontae Wyatt was the best interior lineman I saw in the draft and at the Senior Bowl.\u00a0 Daniel Jeremiah had him in his top Ten players at the Senior Bowl.\u00a0 He is presently listed as a backup but that won’t be for long.\u00a0 Rashan Gary had a breakout season last year.\u00a0 It is a progression of improved play over three seasons that now has him playing 68% of the defensive snaps (Sharp).\u00a0 Gary ranked sixth in pressure rate among edge rushers per SIS. Preston Smith ranked 50th among edge rushers in pressure rate and spent more time rushing the passer than he had in previous years with a 90% rush rate. Smith is locked in through 2026 with a four-year extension just signed this offseason. Fifth-round pick Kingsley Enagbare could slide in as a rookie.<\/p>\n

De\u2019Vondre Campbell was a pleasant surprise in a breakout season that had him playing at an All-Pro level. After coming in on a cheap one-year deal, the Packers re-signed Campbell on a five-year contract. Campbell was 23rd among linebackers in yards allowed per coverage snap while he played 91.6% of the defensive snaps. The Packers played dime at the sixth-highest rate in the league (24%), which kept Campbell on the field and lessened the load on other linebackers. Krys Barnes has flashed when he\u2019s been on the field and can be a serviceable No. 2. That role now is likely to go to first-round pick Quay Walker.<\/p>\n

The secondary is ranked #1 in the league by Sharp.\u00a0 Jaire Alexander missed a significant amount of time last season and only played 20% of the defensive snaps in the regular season, but was still a plus corner when he returned. Alexander has been a top corner and his versatility to play inside adds another element to his game that opens up possibilities for the rest of the secondary and received a massive extension this offseason. Eric Stokes played well for a rookie corner, something that is difficult to do. Stokes was 44th among 93 qualified cornerbacks in Adjusted Yards allowed per coverage snap last season. He should continue to develop in Year 2. The biggest surprise was the play of Rasul Douglas, who wasn\u2019t signed until October. Douglas ranked fifth in Adjusted Yards allowed per coverage snap last season and he was re-signed for three more years.<\/p>\n

Adrian Amos and Darnell Savage have formed one of the better safety duos over the past few seasons and neither of them comes off the field. In 2021, Amos played 97% of the defensive snaps and Savage played 96%. Backup at Safety may be a bit shaky.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
<\/td>\nSTARTER<\/strong><\/td>\n2ND<\/strong><\/td>\n3RD<\/strong><\/td>\n4TH<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
LDE<\/td>\nDean Lowry<\/td>\nDevonte Wyatt<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
NT<\/td>\nKenny\u00a0Clark<\/td>\nT.J. Slaton<\/td>\nJonathan\u00a0Ford<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
RDE<\/td>\nJarran\u00a0 Reed<\/td>\nDevonte Wyatt<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
WLB<\/td>\nPreston\u00a0Smith<\/td>\nJonathan Garvin<\/td>\nTipa Galeai<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
LILB<\/td>\nDe’Vondre\u00a0Campbell<\/td>\nKrys Barnes\u00a0IR<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
RILB<\/td>\nQuay\u00a0Walker<\/td>\nIsaiah McDuffie<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
SLB<\/td>\nRashan Gary<\/td>\nKingsley Enagbare<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
LCB<\/td>\nJaire\u00a0Alexander Q<\/td>\nRasul Douglas<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
SS<\/td>\nAdrian Amos<\/td>\nDallin Leavitt<\/td>\nTariq Carpenter<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
FS<\/td>\nDarnell Savage<\/td>\nRudy\u00a0Ford<\/td>\nVernon\u00a0Scott IR<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
RCB<\/td>\nEric Stokes<\/td>\nKeisean\u00a0Nixon<\/td>\nShemar Jean-\u00a0Charles<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

 <\/p>\n

Special Teams<\/strong><\/p>\n

Mason Crosby has been as consistent as they come, especially since he kicks in Green Bay where the elements can be a huge factor.\u00a0 The Packers went out and got Amari Rodgers to return kicks and he has delivered so far ranking 13th<\/sup> in the league with an 8.3 average return.\u00a0 Pat O\u2019Donnell has started the year off showing a big leg, punting for 49.2 yards a kick, good enough for 8th<\/sup>.\u00a0 Overall the Packers Special Teams are ranked 22nd<\/sup> in the league.\u00a0 The Patriots are ranked #4.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
<\/td>\nSTARTER<\/strong><\/td>\n2ND<\/strong><\/td>\n3RD<\/strong><\/td>\n4TH<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
PK<\/td>\nMason Crosby<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
P<\/td>\nPat O’Donnell<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
H<\/td>\nPat O’Donnell<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
PR<\/td>\nAmari Rodgers<\/td>\nRomeo Doubs<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
KR<\/td>\nAmari Rodgers<\/td>\nRomeo Doubs<\/td>\nChristian Watson Q<\/td>\nKylin Hill O<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
LS<\/td>\nJack Coco<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

 <\/p>\n

Leftovers from the Sunday\u2019s Notebook<\/strong><\/p>\n

    \n
  • Josh Uche just got 5 snaps in the game. Uche stopped in his pursuit of Jackson when he should have had a sack.\u00a0 I wonder if that play had anything to do with his lack of playing time.<\/li>\n
  • The Patriots are -4 in the Takeaway\/Giveaways. That is ranked 27th<\/sup> in the league.\u00a0 So unlike a Patriots Bill Belichick-coached team.<\/li>\n
  • Pro Football Focus has Jonathan Jones ranked as the #1 cornerback in the league with an 85.6 rating. His pass coverage rating is 90.4.<\/li>\n
  • The Patriots and the Falcons are tied with the highest Yards Per Play at 7.1<\/li>\n
  • Per Mark Daniels of the Providence Journal, Mac Jones has averaged 262 yards passing (I know a small sample size) per game for the 1st<\/sup> three games. Only 9 2nd<\/sup> year QBs in NFL history have thrown for more.<\/li>\n
  • The Offense is ranked 10th<\/sup> in yards but 25th<\/sup> in points scored<\/li>\n
  • The Defense is ranked 11th<\/sup> in yards but 22nd<\/sup> in points. This is completely the opposite of Patriots teams.<\/li>\n
  • Mike Reiss had some issues with the officiating, stating the two calls on Isaiah Wynn were ticky-tac calls (lining up too deep from Line of Scrimmage and a hold). Yet they let Baltimore hold Matthew Slater on the big Devin Duvernay Punt Return.<\/li>\n
  • Campbell should have been called for roughing the passer on the play Jones was hurt on. The rule states \u201cA defensive player must not unnecessarily land on top of a passer who is in a defenseless posture with all or most of his body weight.\u201d<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

     <\/p>\n

    Morse\u2019s Morsels<\/strong><\/p>\n

    Brian Hoyer will sub in for Mac Jones after his high ankle sprain.\u00a0 As of this writing, Wednesday, Mac Jones was at odds with the Patriots on how to proceed on his injured ankle.\u00a0 Dr. Jessica Flynn has chimed in with an opinion that Jones needs the surgery and that he has a tear. \u00a0I have confidence in Hoyers’ ability to manage the team and give them a chance to win.<\/p>\n

    Davante Parker had 5 catches for 152 yards, his best output of the season.\u00a0 However, he was only 5 catches on 10 targets and is 6 for 14 on the season.\u00a0 He is directly involved in 4 of the 5 Jones interceptions.\u00a0 It appears that he ran the wrong route on the INT in the end zone.\u00a0 Mac Jones can be seen seething on the bench yelling \u201cit’s cover 4\u201d.\u00a0 Parker ran under his defender blowing up the play.\u00a0 Personally, I think Jones should have seen Parker blanketed inside and out and gone to another receiver.\u00a0 On that play, the Slot Cornerback blitzed.\u00a0 Jones didn\u2019t recognize this pre-snap and hit the hot receiver Agholor who was open on a slant.\u00a0 The play may or may not have resulted in a TD, but it would have given the team a chance to score an FG.\u00a0 Jones has had a big problem with pre-snap reads this season and I put the blame on the position coach Joe Judge who is not helping him.<\/p>\n

     <\/p>\n

    Injury Report<\/strong><\/p>\n

    Patriots<\/p>\n

    Jones\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0DNP<\/p>\n

    Guy\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 DNP<\/p>\n

    Bledsoe\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 Limited<\/p>\n

    Cajuste\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0Limited<\/p>\n

    Dugger\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 Limited<\/p>\n

    Godchaux\u00a0 Limited<\/p>\n

    McMillan\u00a0 \u00a0 Limited<\/p>\n

    Meyers\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 Limited<\/p>\n

    Mills\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 Limited<\/p>\n

    Philips\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 Limited<\/p>\n

     <\/p>\n

    Packers<\/p>\n

    Jenkins\u00a0 \u00a0 DNP<\/p>\n

    C. Jones\u00a0 \u00a0DNP<\/p>\n

    Alexander\u00a0 Limited<\/p>\n

    Bakhtiari\u00a0 \u00a0 Limited<\/p>\n

    Dillon\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0Limited<\/p>\n

    Garvin\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 Limited<\/p>\n

    Lazard\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 Limited<\/p>\n

    Lewis\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0Limited<\/p>\n

    Watson\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0Limited<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Green Bay comes into this game with a 14-game home unbeaten streak.\u00a0 It’s third to two Patriots records of 16 and 18 games.\u00a0 They are the 13th team to have three straight 13+ win seasons.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":39537,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43061","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-patriots-news"],"yoast_head":"\nWeek 4 Preview: New England Patriots at Green Bay Packers<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Green Bay comes into this game with a 14-game home unbeaten streak.\u00a0 It's 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