{"id":42664,"date":"2022-09-09T07:00:39","date_gmt":"2022-09-09T11:00:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/?p=42664"},"modified":"2022-09-08T14:48:09","modified_gmt":"2022-09-08T18:48:09","slug":"morse-week-1-preview-patriots-at-dolphins","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/2022\/09\/09\/morse-week-1-preview-patriots-at-dolphins\/","title":{"rendered":"MORSE: Week 1 Preview: Patriots at Dolphins"},"content":{"rendered":"

As we start the season I will produce weekly analysis of the opponent for that week.<\/p>\n

Miami has been a house of horrors for the Patriots.\u00a0 During Bill Belichick’s tenure as head coach, the Patriots have gone 9-13 in South Beach.\u00a0 The weather has played a huge factor in these games.\u00a0 This is not an excuse but a fact.\u00a0 Even if the games were played in December, the heat and humidity in South Florida sapped the strength of Patriots players.\u00a0 Bill Belichick took his team down to Florida 5 days ahead of the game to get assimilated to the weather.\u00a0 The Patriots also practiced in Las Vega with 100-degree weather.\u00a0 \u00a0This summer in Foxboro has been exceptionally warm, so the team should be in good shape to handle the heat.<\/p>\n

Let’s start with the Offense Depth Chart (via ESPN)<\/p>\n

Offense – 3WR 1TE<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
<\/td>\nSTARTER<\/td>\n2ND<\/td>\n3RD<\/td>\n4TH<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
QB<\/td>\nTua Tagovailoa<\/td>\nTeddy Bridgewater<\/td>\nSkylar Thompson<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
RB<\/td>\nChase Edmonds\u00a0 Q<\/td>\nRaheem Mostert<\/td>\nMyles Gaskin\u00a0 Q<\/td>\nSalvon Ahmed\u00a0 Q<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
WR<\/td>\nTyreek Hill<\/td>\nTrent Sherfield<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
WR<\/td>\nJaylen Waddle\u00a0 Q<\/td>\nErik Ezukanma<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
WR<\/td>\nCedrick Wilson<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
TE<\/td>\nMike Gesicki<\/td>\nDurham Smythe<\/td>\nHunter Long<\/td>\nCethan Carter<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
FB<\/td>\nAlec Ingold\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Q<\/td>\nJohn Lovett\u00a0\u00a0 IR<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
LT<\/td>\nTerron\u00a0 Armstead<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
LG<\/td>\nLiam Eichenberg<\/td>\n<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
C<\/td>\nConnor\u00a0Williams<\/td>\nMichael Deiter<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
RG<\/td>\nRobert\u00a0Hunt<\/td>\nRobert Jones<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
RT<\/td>\nAustin Jackson<\/td>\nGreg Little<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

The Shanahan system is coming to South Beach.\u00a0 New Head Coach Mike McDaniel was Kyle Shanahan\u2019s Offensive Coordinator in San Francisco and is well versed in the zone-blocking scheme this offense featured.\u00a0 He is well equipped to be the teacher of this system.\u00a0 From pre-season reports, the Dolphins have adopted this change very well.<\/p>\n

According to Warren Sharp, NFL Analyst for FOX Sports, this season (switching from NBC) the Dolphins have had a difficult time with their Wide Receivers separating from coverage.\u00a0 They were the worst in the league for the last two years.\u00a0 Devante Parker was the worst in the league; 2021-127 of 127, 2020 -132 of 132, 2019 -123 of 125.\u00a0 So the Dolphins got rid of Parker and replaced him with Tyreek Hill and Cedrick Wilson.\u00a0 Yeah, that\u2019s the same Parker the Patriots acquired.<\/p>\n

The lack of separation forced young QB Tua Tagovailoa to force throws into tiny windows.\u00a0 This \u201caggressiveness\u201d led to more INTs and very little YAC.\u00a0 Tagovailoa was tops in the league in the Aggressiveness category.\u00a0 Parker is now on the Patriots and is Mac Jones’s problem.<\/p>\n

These are the numbers from last year in regards to WR Separation:<\/p>\n

Hill \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 14th<\/sup><\/p>\n

Wilson\u00a0 20th<\/p>\n

Waddle 35th<\/sup><\/p>\n

How does the switch to a San Fran style of offense look in regards to separation (2020 7th<\/sup>, 2021 10th<\/sup>)?<\/p>\n

Miami invested heavily in the Offensive line, during Free Agency adding Terron Armstead from New Orleans at Left Tackle and Connor Williams at Center.\u00a0 Armstead Entering his 10th<\/sup> year in the league is a 3 time Pro Bowl selection, twice second-team All-Pro.\u00a0 He will lock down the left side.\u00a0 Left Guard Liam Eichenberg from Notre Dame, was a 2nd<\/sup> round selection in 2021 and has started 16 of 17 games in his rookie year.\u00a0 Center Connor Williams is the second upgrade via free agency.\u00a0 The Former 2018 2nd<\/sup> round selection of the Dallas Cowboys has started 51 of 57 games in his career.\u00a0 In 2019 he had a torn ACL but has come back from that injury.\u00a0 Right Guard Robert Hunt was a 2nd<\/sup> round pick by Miami, in 2020, and had started 28 of 33 games.\u00a0 Having failed as a Left Tackle, Austin Jackson, the former USC Trojan and 2020 1st<\/sup> round selection by the Phins is moving to Right Tackle.\u00a0 That makes all 5 linemen taken in the 1st<\/sup> three rounds, with Armstead the lone 3rd<\/sup> rounder.\u00a0 O-Line is their biggest question mark.\u00a0 Can they learn the new system?\u00a0 Armstead has been good, but he didn\u2019t play a down in pre-season games.<\/p>\n

Let’s take a look at the Tight End Group led by Mike Gesicki, a 2018 2nd<\/sup> round selection from Penn State. \u00a0\u00a0He had a big jump in receptions last season with 73, 20 more than his previous high.\u00a0 However, his yards per catch went down.\u00a0 Rumors swirled that Gesicki was on the trading block this pre-season.\u00a0 Durham Smythe is a reliable if unspectacular player.\u00a0 His blocking is superior to Gesicki, who never lines up in a true TE, in-line position.<\/p>\n

At Running back they had an overstock of capable players.\u00a0 They cut Sony Michel, but he didn\u2019t last long on the free agent market as he signed on with the LA Chargers to be their #2 back.\u00a0 Chase Edmonds comes from Arizona after 4 seasons there.\u00a0 He leads the RB room and will get 1st<\/sup> crack to lead this team.\u00a0 Where did Edmonds play his college ball \u2026 if you said the Fordham Rams you would be correct.\u00a0 He had over 5862 yards rushing in his career, 67 TDs rushing and another 7 receiving.\u00a0 He ranks 5th<\/sup> all-time in FCS. \u00a0Edmonds will flourish in this type of offense, and he is only 26.\u00a0 Raheem Mostert comes over from San Fran under Mike McDaniels and will easily be the 3rd<\/sup> down back.\u00a0 They still have Salvon Ahmed and Myles Gaskins.\u00a0 \u00a0Solid group.<\/p>\n

Teddy Bridgewater is the backup and rookie Skylar Thompson had a great Training camp and Pre-season.<\/p>\n

Defense – Base 3-4 <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
<\/td>\nSTARTER<\/td>\n2ND<\/td>\n3RD<\/td>\n4TH<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
LDE<\/td>\nChristian\u00a0Wikins<\/td>\nZach Sieler<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
NT<\/td>\nRaekwon Davis<\/td>\nJohn Jenkins<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
RDE<\/td>\nEmmanuel Ogbah<\/td>\n<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
WLB<\/td>\nMelvin\u00a0Ingram<\/td>\nAndrew Van Ginkel<\/td>\nDarius\u00a0Hodge IR<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
LILB<\/td>\nElandon\u00a0Roberts<\/td>\nSam Eguavoen<\/td>\nCalvin Munson\u00a0IR<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
RILB<\/td>\n\u00a0Jerome Baker<\/td>\nDuke\u00a0Riley<\/td>\n<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
SLB<\/td>\nJaelan\u00a0Phillips<\/td>\nTrey\u00a0Flowers<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
LCB<\/td>\nXavien\u00a0Howard<\/td>\nKeion Crossen<\/td>\nJustin Bethel<\/td>\nKader Kohou<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
SS<\/td>\nBrandon\u00a0Jones<\/td>\nEric Rowe\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Q<\/td>\nClayton Fejedelem\u00a0IR<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
FS<\/td>\nJevon Holland<\/td>\nElijah\u00a0Campbell<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
RCB<\/td>\nNik Needham<\/td>\nNoah Igbinoghene<\/td>\nByron\u00a0Jones O<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Again Warren Sharp points out that Christian Wilkins was 2nd<\/sup> amongst Defensive Tackles in ESPN’s Run Stop Win Rate.\u00a0 Wilkins also improved his pass rushing.\u00a0 The Dolphins were able to retain Emanuel Ogbah their primary pass rusher. \u00a0They still have Elandon Roberts as their starting ILB. \u00a0Andrew Van Ginkel is usually on the field for passing downs and rushes the passer on 62% of those plays.\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0The secondary was ranked 7th<\/sup> in the league, but with Byron Jones out that will drop.\u00a0 Jones was a former 1st<\/sup> round selection of the Cowboys.\u00a0 Xavien Howard is a top cornerback but had a tough start to last season.\u00a0 Jevon Holland is a star in the making and the 2nd<\/sup> year player will be counted on to make big plays.\u00a0 The roster is still loaded with former Patriots players Trey Flowers, Justin Bethel, and Keion Crossen.<\/p>\n

Special Teams<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
<\/td>\nSTARTER<\/td>\n2ND<\/td>\n3RD<\/td>\n4TH<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
PK<\/td>\nJason Sanders<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
P<\/td>\nThomas Morestead<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
H<\/td>\nThomas Morestead<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
PR<\/td>\nTyreek Hill<\/td>\nJaylen Waddle<\/td>\nJevon Holland<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
KR<\/td>\nRaheem Mostert<\/td>\nJaylen Waddle<\/td>\nChase Edmonds<\/td>\nNoah Igbinoghene<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
LS<\/td>\nBlake Ferguson<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Coaches <\/strong><\/p>\n

Michael McDaniel \u2013 1st<\/sup> year Head Coach.\u00a0 Former San Francisco 49ers Offensive coordinator under Kyle Shanahan.<\/p>\n

McDaniel surrounded himself with experienced coaches including:<\/p>\n

Eric Studesville RB – 25 years<\/p>\n

Danny Crossman ST \u2013 19 years<\/p>\n

Josh Boyer Defensive Coordinator -16 years (Former Patriots DB coach)<\/p>\n

Darrell Bevel QB \u2013 21 years<\/p>\n

John Embree Asst HC\/ TE \u2013 13 years<\/p>\n

He also added former Miami players Sam Madison CB, former Patriots WR Wes Welker WRs, and Patrick Surtain Defensive Assistant<\/p>\n

They also added three coaches that played in the NFL: Sam Gregory Safties, Lemuel Jeanpierre Asst Offensive line, and Ty McKenzie OLB.<\/p>\n

Injury Report<\/strong><\/p>\n

Miami<\/strong> – Starting RB Chase Edmonds was listed as Questionable on Wednesday as were two of his backups Salvon Ahmed and Myles Gaskins.\u00a0 Jaylen Waddle has been battling hamstring issues but shows up on the Injury Report with a quad injury.\u00a0 This bears watching throughout the week leading up to game time.\u00a0 Byron Jones being Out really hurt Miami.<\/p>\n

New England<\/strong> \u2013 Isaiah Wynn is listed as Questionable with a back injury.\u00a0 He was limited at practice.\u00a0 Jakobi Meyers shows up as Questionable with a knee issue; Ty Montgomery is listed as Questionable with a knee injury and not an ankle.<\/p>\n

How will Miami Defend the Patriots<\/strong>? \u2013 Look for Miami\u2019s base defense to try and stop the run, until the Patriots’ O-line can prove otherwise.\u00a0\u00a0 The Dolphins’ secondary likes to press.\u00a0 This will be especially effective against the Patriots WRs who have a difficult time separating from defenders.\u00a0 Parker is the worst in the league and Meyers is not too far behind.\u00a0 If Parker wasn\u2019t so good at grabbing 50\/50 balls, he would be out of the league.\u00a0 As noted earlier, this forces the QB to throw into tight windows and the risk of tipped balls and interceptions.<\/p>\n

What will the Patriots’ Offense do against Miami?<\/strong> – \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0Look for the Patriots to try and establish a running game from the 12 personnel group (1 Back, 2 TE, 2 WR).\u00a0\u00a0 I think they will abandon the zone blocking and go back to more of the Gap blocking they did before.\u00a0 It doesn\u2019t have to be great, but it is something that Miami needs to account for.\u00a0 This will allow Mac Jones to use play-action passes and throw the ball downfield. \u00a0They need to stay out of 3rd<\/sup> and long situations.\u00a0 The team that controls the Line of Scrimmage will control the ball and the time clock.\u00a0 This is typical of Belichick going all the way back to his days with the Giants.\u00a0 Dominate the time of possession and limit the opponents’ offensive chances, keeping your defense off the field.<\/p>\n

What will the Miami Offense do against New England?<\/strong> \u2013 Use their speed!\u00a0 The Patriots and in particular Jonathan Jones has fared pretty well against Tyreek Hill.\u00a0 Jaylen Waddle vs Jalen Mills might just be a mismatch favoring the Phins.\u00a0 I would expect NE to come out in some type of Nickel defensive package.\u00a0 Miami will try to establish a running game, and if they do, it could be a long day for the Patriots.\u00a0 How will the Phins O-line hold up?\u00a0 Can the Patriots generate any pressure while trying to keep Tagovailoa in the pocket?<\/p>\n

How will New England Defend against Miami?<\/strong>\u00a0 – Keep it simple.\u00a0 Zone passing Defense and keep everything in front of you.\u00a0 Don\u2019t get burned deep.\u00a0 Make them march down the field on short gains in a bend, don\u2019t break defense. \u00a0The longer the drive lasts, the more probable it is for a turnover.\u00a0 Tua will give the ball away.\u00a0 Use the SS as a linebacker or big Nickel.\u00a0 Adrian Phillips and Kyle Dugger are the size of NFL linebackers today.\u00a0 Disguise the linebacker blitz and dropback assignments.\u00a0 Keep them guessing.\u00a0 Look for Miami to use motion to identify zone or man coverage.\u00a0 They will try to isolate the bigger ILBs on early downs.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

As we start the season I will produce weekly analysis of the opponent for that week.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":39309,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-42664","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-patriots-news"],"yoast_head":"\nMORSE: Week 1 Preview: Patriots at Dolphins<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"As we start the season I will produce weekly analysis of the opponent for that week.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" 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