{"id":42615,"date":"2022-09-05T11:59:28","date_gmt":"2022-09-05T15:59:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/?p=42615"},"modified":"2022-09-05T12:02:43","modified_gmt":"2022-09-05T16:02:43","slug":"morse-patriots-season-preview-and-morses-morsels","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/2022\/09\/05\/morse-patriots-season-preview-and-morses-morsels\/","title":{"rendered":"MORSE: Patriots Season Preview and Morse&#8217;s Morsels"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>2022 Patriots Season Preview <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Training Camp is done and we are getting ready to kick off the regular season on Sunday, September 11<sup>th<\/sup> at 1:00 in Miami against the Dolphins.\u00a0 Look for my preview of the game on Thursday.\u00a0 \u00a0Sad to report, I am predicting a 6-11 season.\u00a0 I hope I am wrong. These are my reasons the Patriots will have a rebuilding year this season.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The inexperienced offensive coaching staff<\/li>\n<li>Instituting a new Offensive system on a 2nd year QB<\/li>\n<li>New blocking scheme for the Offensive line<\/li>\n<li>Poor Drafts<\/li>\n<li>A Defense that hasn\u2019t proven they can stop anyone yet<\/li>\n<li>Brutal Schedule<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>This from Doug Kyed from Pro Football Focus:<\/p>\n<p><strong>PATRIOTS\u2019 OFFENSIVE STRUGGLES<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The Patriots\u2019 offense struggled against its defense when the pads came on in training camp and never looked significantly better in joint practices and preseason games with the\u00a0Carolina Panthers\u00a0and\u00a0Las Vegas Raiders.<\/p>\n<p>One AFC scout is buying the Patriots\u2019 issues on offense after studying them this summer and believes the struggles are real.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThey are not good,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>New England has plenty of talent on offense, carrying over four members of last year\u2019s offensive line in Trent Brown, David Andrews, Michael Onwenu, and Isaiah Wynn plus 2022 first-round pick Cole Strange, two high-priced tight ends in Hunter Henry and Jonnu Smith, four starting-caliber wide receivers in Jakobi Meyers, DeVante Parker, Nelson Agholor and Kendrick Bourne and Mac Jones, who looked like the best quarterback of his rookie class last season.<\/p>\n<p>But offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels left to become the Raiders\u2019 head coach this offseason, and he brought three assistants with him from New England offensive coordinator Mick Lombardi, quarterbacks coach Bo Hardegree, and offensive line coach Carmen Bricillo.<\/p>\n<p>The Patriots filled in the gaps by moving former defensive coordinator and Detroit Lions head coach Matt Patricia from senior football advisor to offensive line coach\/preseason play caller and hiring former special teams coordinator and New York Giants head coach Joe Judge as quarterbacks coach.<\/p>\n<p>There are a couple of theories why the Patriots have not named an Offensive Coordinator.\u00a0 One is if they name them a coordinator, they don&#8217;t have to pay them.\u00a0 Both coaches are still being paid under their head coaching contracts with the Lions and Giants.\u00a0 \u00a0The second and weaker argument is that they don&#8217;t have to give media interviews because they are not the coordinator.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s been a work in progress so far, as the attempt to simplify the offense and play to its talents\u2019 strengths didn\u2019t catch on over the summer. Internally, the Patriots still believe the unit will jell during the regular season when games count.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><strong>Inexperienced Coaching Staff <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>You don\u2019t lose 4 Offensive coaches and expect there wouldn\u2019t be an impact.\u00a0 Matt Patricia is spread too thin.\u00a0 He has responsibilities to perform those analysis duties Ernie Adams use to do.\u00a0 His title is Offensive Line coach, but he is spending all his time with Mac Jones and the offense.\u00a0 In the Carolina Pre-season game Assistant O-line coach, Billy Yates was up in the box, and Patricia was on the sideline working with Mac Jones.\u00a0 There was no one with the O-line who was struggling mightily with the new zone blocking scheme.\u00a0 David Andrews as the Captain was trying to hold down the fort.\u00a0 Billy Yates doesn\u2019t have the respect of the players, even though he himself is a former player.\u00a0 He has only been coaching for 5 years (not the 13 the Patriots list on their website).\u00a0 Yates played on the line for parts of 8 years in the NFL.<\/p>\n<p>The Patriots have no one on their staff that can teach the Ron Earhardt \/ Ray Perkins offensive system.\u00a0 Josh McDaniels learned the system under Charlie Weiss who was one of the Giants Assistants that Belichick brought with him from the Jets when he became the New England head coach (Ivan Fears was the other).\u00a0 Lombardi, Hardegree, and Bracillo leave, creating a huge void that hasn\u2019t been filled.\u00a0 Add to that the retirement of Fears and Dante Scarnecchia.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Instituting a New Offensive System<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>I didn\u2019t anticipate the Offense would have this much trouble assimilating the new offense.\u00a0 My original thought was that Mac Jones would have to take on more responsibility for the offensive burden and win games in a shootout.\u00a0 Not having anyone that could teach the Earhardt \/Perkins system, Belichick chose to move towards a system like Mike Shanahan\u2019s Zone Blocking scheme.\u00a0 This was not done to suit the player personnel Belichick had on the team but to accommodate the lack of offensive coaching experience by Joe Judge and Matt Patricia.<\/p>\n<p>They are also dumbing down the complicated naming conventions and playbook.\u00a0 Why wasn\u2019t that done the year before when you had a rookie QB?\u00a0 Mac Jones had a terrific rookie campaign and had done a masterful job learning the playbook.\u00a0 Why not bring in someone that knew that system and could teach it?\u00a0 There might be only one offensive coach that could teach that and he has committed to coach the offense at Alabama, Bill O\u2019Brien.<\/p>\n<p>Is time passing Bill Belichick by?\u00a0 His offensive system was so old there are no coaches familiar with it to teach it!<\/p>\n<p><strong>Offensive Line learning the Blocking Scheme<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>I expect a regression of Mac Jones in year two.\u00a0 The Offensive Line is trying to learn the Zone blocking scheme and failing miserably.\u00a0 The Patriots have not been able to run using the Zone blocking.\u00a0 During the joint practices, Pre-season games, and practices against their own Defense, the Patriots were constantly being stuffed when trying Zone blocking.\u00a0 They fared much better when they went back to Gap blocking.\u00a0 <\/p>\n<p>However, the Patriots made a decision early on in the off-season and let FB Jakob Johnson go because they were changing offensive philosophy.\u00a0 The Patriots want to be a run-first team, taking the pressure off the young QB.\u00a0 They are just the opposite now.\u00a0 They can\u2019t run, putting all the pressure on Jones to complete third and long plays.\u00a0 For salary cap reasons they traded their starting RG Shaq Mason, who would have been excellent in this zone blocking scheme.\u00a0 They cheaped out and didn\u2019t re-sign LG Ted Karras, a player they had developed into a capable if unspectacular starting O-lineman. \u00a0The difference was a million dollars. \u00a0The year before they spent money against the salary cap like drunken sailors.\u00a0 Now they were in Salary Cap jail because of it.\u00a0 <\/p>\n<p>Then they panicked and in the 1<sup>st<\/sup> round of the draft, they reached for an O-lineman (Cole Strange) they could have had in the third round. \u00a0\u00a0They switched tackles, Trent Brown and Isaiah Wynn.\u00a0 Wynn was a no-show all off-season when they were installing this new scheme.\u00a0 Then when it came time for Training Camp, Wynn gets hurt as has been the case every pre-season.\u00a0 There were persistent rumors the Patriots were entertaining offers for Wynn in order to get his $10.5M salary off their books.\u00a0 Wynn is still hurt and is questionable for Sunday.\u00a0 I would much rather see Michael Owenu at RT.\u00a0 However, that would open up a hole at RG.\u00a0 The backup is currently rookie draft choice Chase Hines.\u00a0 It was a huge surprise that Hines made the final 53-man roster. \u00a0They could always promote James Ferentz to the 53-man roster from the Practice Squad.\u00a0 Ferentz started the Pre-season game at RG against the Raiders.\u00a0 When they added Tyquan Thornton to the short-term IR, they created an open roster spot.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Poor Drafts <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Bill Belichick has been rightfully criticized for his poor drafting ability.\u00a0 The 2018 Draft has only Isaiah Wynn and Ja\u2019Whaun Bentley left from it.\u00a0 2019 has Damien Harris, Yodny Cajuste (backup) and former Pro Bowl Punter Jake Bailey left.\u00a0 This year they cut both 3<sup>rd<\/sup> round TEs Devin Asiasi and Dalton Keene.\u00a0 Asiasi got picked up on waivers by Cincinnati.<\/p>\n<p>By selecting Ronnie Perkins in the third round of the 2021 draft, they passed on Quinn Meinerz.\u00a0 If they had selected Meinerz he could play either Guard position and back up at Center.\u00a0 Meinerz is starting for Denver at LG.\u00a0 Perkins, drafted knowing he was hurt, was on IR all last season and is back on season-ending IR again this year. \u00a0\u00a0He was unimpressive all training camp.<\/p>\n<p>The Patriots kept 10 rookies on their 53-man roster this year.\u00a0 Eight were draft choices and two were Undrafted Free Agents.\u00a0 Those UDFAs kept the Patriots streak alive at 20 years of a UDFA making the opening day 53-man roster.<\/p>\n<p>The Patriots had a 32% turnover of the Roster this year.\u00a0 They usually have a 30% turnover.\u00a0 Despite the 10 rookies, they still have the 2<sup>nd<\/sup> oldest roster in the league.<\/p>\n<p>In the playoff games versus Buffalo, 17 players that were on the roster for that game are gone from the team this year.\u00a0 Jon Jones was on IR and this year is the starting boundary corner opposite Jalen Mills.\u00a0 I have concerns about their secondary\u2019s ability to cover.\u00a0 If the front seven can\u2019t put pressure on the QBs then the secondary will not be able to cover the WRs.\u00a0 I will be watching Buffalo\u2019s starting Cornerback Kaiir Elam all year.\u00a0 That is the player I wanted the Patriots to take instead of Strange.\u00a0 If they take Meinerz the year before they don\u2019t have the pressing need to take a Left Guard.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Unproven Defense<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The defense was shredded in the last quarter of the schedule last year.\u00a0 In the two Buffalo games not played in a monsoon, the Patriots&#8217; Defense could not get off the field.\u00a0 Buffalo didn\u2019t punt once in those final encounters with the Bills.\u00a0 The secondary couldn\u2019t cover, the D-Line couldn\u2019t stop the run and the linebackers were old and slow.\u00a0 The Defense has been the bright spot this training camp.\u00a0 They dominated in the practices and the question was is it the Defense has improved or the Offense is that bad.\u00a0 <\/p>\n<p>The Joint practices proved that it was a little of both.\u00a0 Big changes on Defense.\u00a0 Jon Jones has become a boundary corner moving over from the slot.\u00a0 Rookie Marcus Jones and Myles Bryant have taken on the slot duties and have looked pretty good.\u00a0 Raekwon McMillan and Mack Wilson have shown speed at ILBs.\u00a0 Wilson was acquired from Cleveland for the disappointing Chase Winowich.\u00a0\u00a0 Josh Uche and Anfernee Jennings have looked solid on the edge. \u00a0Looking forward to Christian Barmore\u2019s 2<sup>nd<\/sup> year.\u00a0 <\/p>\n<p>Davon Godchaux signed an extension which shows how much the Patriots value his contribution.\u00a0 How much have they improved?\u00a0 How much time will Bill Belichick be allowed to spend on the Defense?\u00a0 That puts more pressure on Steve Belichick and Jerod Mayo to run the Defense.\u00a0 The Patriots have not named a Defensive coordinator.\u00a0 Is that because Belichick doesn\u2019t want to be accused of nepotism by naming his son?<\/p>\n<p><strong>Patriots Schedule<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>This is what I wrote when the schedule was first announced.\u00a0 The schedule is out and it is brutal.\u00a0 \u00a0The Patriots have 5 Prime Time night games, probably the result of being a playoff team last year.\u00a0 Thanksgiving Eve against the Vikings highlights the schedule. \u00a0\u00a0The Patriots made the playoffs and finished 2<sup>nd<\/sup>\u00a0in the division so they will play the top two teams against the other divisions.\u00a0Las Vegas oddsmakers have the Patriots at 8.5 wins.<\/p>\n<p>The Strength of Schedule is right in the middle of the league (16).\u00a0 \u00a0That was determined before the schedule came out based on the winning percentage of their opponents from the previous season.\u00a0 Warren Sharp of NBC Sports Edge <u><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcsportsedge.com\/article\/offseason-research\/who-was-hurt-most-nfl-schedule-release\">https:\/\/www.nbcsportsedge.com\/article\/offseason-research\/who-was-hurt-most-nfl-schedule-release<\/a><\/u> has an excellent and extensive article about who got hurt the most by the schedule.\u00a0 Sharp looks at the days of rest each team gets.\u00a0 The Patriots have a -13 Days rest, 2nd worst in the league.\u00a0 This translates into about a month&#8217;s less rest time than the remainder of the league.\u00a0 The Dolphins on the other hand have one of the most favorable schedules with a +5 Net Rest.\u00a0 The Bills have a +12 Net Rest (like they need it).\u00a0 Another area that hurt the Patriots is that they got no advantage other than rest after their Bye week because their next opponent (NY Jets) also has the same Bye Week.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Bottom Line <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>I have the Patriots losing the first 4 games of the season.\u00a0 It may take until the 7<sup>th<\/sup> or 8<sup>th<\/sup> games for the Offense to get straight.\u00a0 Can the defense hold up and keep the Patriots in the game?\u00a0 The Patriots don\u2019t have the benefit of the second-tier schedule against creampuffs and flat-out bad teams like they had last season.\u00a0 The only significant victory they had was against Indianapolis.\u00a0 They weren\u2019t as good as their record indicated.\u00a0 Because they made the playoffs they will be playing 1<sup>st<\/sup> and 2<sup>nd<\/sup> teams in their opponents&#8217; divisions.\u00a0 These are playoff teams for the most part.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Morse\u2019s Morsels<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Paul Hornug Award Winners <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Love the addition of WR\/RB\/QB\/PR Lynn Bowden to the Practice Squad.\u00a0 He was a player I had pegged for the Patriots in last year\u2019s draft.\u00a0 The versatile Bowden can do it all.\u00a0 He won the Paul Hornug award as the most versatile player in college football for the 2019 season.\u00a0 He joins two other Patriots players Marcus Jones (2021) and Jabrill Peppers (2019) as winners of the same award.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Why was Billy O&#8217;Brien Not Hired?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>It appears that O&#8217;Brien was not offered the position of Offensive coordinator because Bill Belichick feared that O&#8217;Brien would jump at the next opportunity to become a Head Coach again.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Training Camp is done and we are getting ready to kick off the regular season on Sunday, September 11th at 1:00 in Miami against the Dolphins. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":41579,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-42615","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-patriots-news"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.4 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - 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My earliest memories of the Patriots were attending as a child with my dad, the off-season practice at Phillips Academy. I was at the Patriots game at Harvard Stadium in 1970 where Bob \u201cHarpo\u201d Gladieux was called out of the stands by the stadium announcer over the PA to play in the game. 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