{"id":39291,"date":"2022-01-07T08:42:09","date_gmt":"2022-01-07T13:42:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/?p=39291"},"modified":"2022-01-07T08:42:09","modified_gmt":"2022-01-07T13:42:09","slug":"morse-week-18-preview-new-england-patriots-at-miami-dolphins","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/2022\/01\/07\/morse-week-18-preview-new-england-patriots-at-miami-dolphins\/","title":{"rendered":"MORSE: Week 18 Preview – New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins"},"content":{"rendered":"

We have arrived at week 18, in uncharted waters of the expanded NFL season.\u00a0 Does this game have any meaning for either team?\u00a0 Not much, the Dolphins were eliminated last week by the Titans coupled with the Patriots, Raiders, and Chargers victories closed the book on any chance to make the playoffs.\u00a0\u00a0 All Miami has now is their own pride, intense hatred of the Patriots, and an opportunity to have a winning season.\u00a0 As far as the Patriots go, they have a minuscule chance of getting the number one seed if all the suns and moons align.\u00a0 Winning in Miami has proven to be a very difficult thing.\u00a0 The number one reason is the weather.\u00a0 The schedule makers did the Patriots no favors.\u00a0 They had Miami travel to New England for the first game of the season.\u00a0 It\u2019s still hot in the 1st<\/sup> game, but Miami has been practicing in the hot and humid weather of South Florida.\u00a0 Coming to New England for the 1st<\/sup> game is a welcome relief for Miami.\u00a0 NE, a cold-weather team (the weather here may be in single digits next week) traveling to South Florida in January is cruel and unusual punishment.\u00a0 The temps will be in the 80\u2019s with high humidity.\u00a0 Usually, the Patriots wilt in the 4th<\/sup> quarter.\u00a0 One player may be welcoming the warm weather and that\u2019s Mac Jones.\u00a0 He is from the Jacksonville area and played in Alabama.\u00a0 He has not proven he can be a cold-weather QB yet.\u00a0 He needs time and game reps to get acclimated to the weather.\u00a0 We sometimes forget that he is a rookie.<\/p>\n

Miami Depth Chart<\/strong><\/p>\n

Offense <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
<\/td>\nSTARTER<\/strong><\/td>\n2ND<\/strong><\/td>\n3RD<\/strong><\/td>\n4TH<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
QB<\/td>\nTua Tagovailoa<\/td>\nJacoby Brissett<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
RB<\/td>\nDuke Johnson<\/td>\nMyles Gaskin<\/td>\nPhillip Lindsay<\/td>\nSalvon Ahmed<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
WR<\/td>\nJaylen Waddle<\/td>\nIsaiah Ford<\/td>\nWilliam Fuller V\u00a0IR<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
WR<\/td>\nDeVante Parker<\/td>\nMack Hollins<\/td>\nLynn Bowden Jr.\u00a0IR<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
WR<\/td>\nAlbert Wilson<\/td>\nPreston Williams\u00a0Q<\/td>\nAllen Hurns\u00a0IR<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
TE<\/td>\nMike Gesicki<\/td>\nDurham Smythe<\/td>\nAdam Shaheen<\/td>\nCethan Carter<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
LT<\/td>\nLiam Eichenberg<\/td>\nAustin Jackson<\/td>\nGreg Little\u00a0IR<\/td>\nLarnel Coleman\u00a0IR<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
LG<\/td>\nAustin Jackson<\/td>\nSolomon Kindley<\/td>\nRobert Jones<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
C<\/td>\nMichael Deiter<\/td>\nGreg Mancz<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
RG<\/td>\nRobert Hunt<\/td>\nRobert Jones<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
RT<\/td>\nJesse Davis<\/td>\nLiam Eichenberg<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

QB<\/strong> \u2013 Tua Tagovailoa, the 2nd<\/sup> year player from Alabama has improved over his rookie year.\u00a0 During the 7 game winning streak, Tua completed passes at a 74% clip.\u00a0 In last week\u2019s loss to Tennessee, he was at 47.4%.\u00a0 The number of Interceptions has risen from 5 to 10 in his second year.\u00a0 He has only been sacked 19 times in 12 games as he is very elusive and hard to contain.\u00a0 He can get out of the pocket and extend plays or scramble and run to extend drives.\u00a0 He was hurt early in game 2 versus Buffalo and missed the next three games, all losses.\u00a0 If he hadn\u2019t gotten hurt, Miami may have made the playoffs.\u00a0 Old friend Jacoby Brissett is the backup.<\/p>\n

The QB comparison:<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. Jones 332 of 491, 67.6% completions, 3540 yards, 21 TDs to 12 INT, 26 sacks, and a 54.2 Rating in 16 games.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    Tua has turned into an RPO or quick-release passer, forgoing the longer pass downfield.\u00a0 He will occasionally throw deep to Waddle or Parker, but that is more to keep the Defense honest.<\/p>\n

     <\/p>\n

      \n
    1. Tagovailoa 248 of 366, 67.8% completions, 2544 yards, 15 TDs to 10 INT, 19 sacks, and a 48.8 Rating in 12 games<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

       <\/p>\n

      RB<\/strong> –\u00a0 This position has been a mess for Miami this season.\u00a0 Myles Gaskins was named the starter but failed to deliver.\u00a0 He has rushed 172 times for 613 yards, 3.6 YPC, 3 TDs but has fumbled twice in 16 games.\u00a0 Next up was Salvon Ahmed and he wasn\u2019t any better.\u00a0 His stats were 54 rushes 149 yards, 2.8 YPC, 0 TDs in 12 games. \u00a0\u00a0The Dolphins signed Duke Johnson to their Practice Squad on October 26th.\u00a0 He was called up for the Jets game on December 19th<\/sup> and ran for 108 yards (career-high).\u00a0 He was signed to the 53 man roster the next day.\u00a0 He has 46 carries for 213 yards, 4.6 YPC, 2 TDs.\u00a0 He also is a prolific 3rd<\/sup> down back with 3 catches on 4 targets for 36 yards, 12.0 YPC.\u00a0 He was a player I highlighted when the Pats were down to a couple of RBs.\u00a0 Would have loved to see what he could do in this offense. \u00a0\u00a0In the loss last week he ran for 49 yards on just 7 carries 7.0 YPC.\u00a0 Miami trailing early, got away from the running game.\u00a0 Johnson is a player to watch in this game.<\/p>\n

       <\/p>\n

      WR<\/strong> \u2013 The Dolphins have a dangerous duo in Davante Parker and rookie Jaylen Waddle.\u00a0 Parker has been hurt and missed 6 games which allowed Waddle to emerge as Tua\u2019s go-to guy.\u00a0 They played together at Alabama and Waddle was Mac Jone’s favorite target last season. \u00a0His numbers are 99 receptions on 133 targets for 988 yards, 10.0 YPC, 5 TDs.\u00a0 Parker is 38 of 69 for 503 yards, 13.2 YPC, and 2 TDs.\u00a0 Former Patriot Isaiah Ford, Mack Hollins, and Preston Williams round out the receivers.\u00a0 Williams was a full participant in Thursday’s practice.\u00a0 He is a big receiver with tremendous skills when healthy. \u00a0\u00a0The Phins have Allen Hurns, Lynn Bowden, and William Fuller on IR.<\/p>\n

       <\/p>\n

      TE<\/strong> \u2013 Mike Gesicki has developed into a top-flight TE in the NFL.\u00a0 His numbers back that up, in 16 games he has amassed 71 catches on 109 targets, 758 yards, 10.7 YPC, and 2 TDs.\u00a0 Durham Smythe has also emerged as a reliable TE.\u00a0 He has caught 32 of 39 passes. 325 yards, 10.0 YPC in 16 games.\u00a0 I also like Adam Sheehan a 2017 2nd<\/sup> round selection from D2 Ashland.\u00a0 He was traded to the Phins for a 7th<\/sup> round pick.\u00a0 Last season he signed a 2-year extension with Miami.<\/p>\n

       <\/p>\n

      Offensive Line<\/strong> \u2013 The Dolphins have a solid emerging Offensive line. \u00a0They built the Oline through the draft,\u00a0 investing several high draft choices in building this O line.\u00a0 Four of the 5 players were 3rd<\/sup> round or higher. \u00a0\u00a0LT Liam Eichenberg was a 2021 2nd<\/sup> round selection out of Notre Dame.\u00a0 LG Austin Jackson was a 1st<\/sup> round pick, number 18 overall, out of USC in 2020.\u00a0 He was picked to be the starting LT but moved inside when the Phins got Eichenberg.\u00a0 Center Michael Deiter was a third-round pick out of Wisconsin in 2019.\u00a0 They doubled up in 2020 taking Robert Hunt at RG in the 2nd<\/sup> round.\u00a0 The only player not drafted is Jesse Davis, a 2015 UDFA that Miami picked up in 2016.\u00a0 He made their Practice Squad and eventually started at RT.\u00a0 At 30, the Idaho alum is currently the old man on the line with 66 starts under his belt.\u00a0 \u00a0Greg Little was a 2019 2nd<\/sup> rd pick of Carolina who was traded to Miami before the season started.\u00a0 He is on IR.\u00a0 They have capable backups in Soloman Kindley Greg Mancz and Robert Jones<\/p>\n

       <\/p>\n

      Defense <\/strong><\/p>\n

      Miami is surprisingly low on the Defensive team rankings.\u00a0 They are 18th<\/sup> in points allowed per game, 18th<\/sup> in yards per game, and 10th<\/sup> in rush yards per game.\u00a0 I would expect more out of a Brian Flores-coached team.\u00a0 None of those stats mean much when the Phins see the red white and blue of the Patriots on Sunday.\u00a0 Expect the Patriots to end up wearing their dark blue uniforms on Sunday because the dark color absorbs more heat.\u00a0 Just another mind game the Dolphins play on the Pats down there.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
      <\/td>\nSTARTER<\/strong><\/td>\n2ND<\/strong><\/td>\n3RD<\/strong><\/td>\n4TH<\/sup><\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      LDE<\/td>\nEmmanuel Ogbah<\/td>\nAdam Butler<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      NT<\/td>\nRaekwon Davis<\/td>\nJohn Jenkins<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      RDE<\/td>\nChristian Wilkins<\/td>\nZach Sieler<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      WLB<\/td>\nAndrew Van Ginkel<\/td>\nDarius Hodge<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      LILB<\/td>\nElandon Roberts<\/td>\nVince Biegel<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      RILB<\/td>\nJerome Baker<\/td>\nDuke Riley<\/td>\nSam Eguavoen<\/td>\nCalvin Munson<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      SLB<\/td>\nJaelan Phillips<\/td>\nBrennan Scarlett<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      LCB<\/td>\nXavien Howard<\/td>\nNik Needham<\/td>\nNoah Igbinoghene\u00a0O<\/td>\nJamal Perry\u00a0IR<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      SS<\/td>\nEric Rowe<\/td>\nBrandon Jones<\/td>\nClayton Fejedelem<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      FS<\/td>\nJevon Holland<\/td>\nSheldrick Redwine\u00a0O<\/td>\nJason McCourty\u00a0IR<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      RCB<\/td>\nByron Jones<\/td>\nJustin Coleman<\/td>\nTrill Williams<\/td>\nElijah Campbell\u00a0IR<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

       <\/p>\n

      Defensive Line<\/strong> – The Thursday Injury report came out and nobody missed the practice for the Dolphins.\u00a0 That\u2019s means Emmanuel Ogbah, their best pass rusher, and key Defensive line backup John Jenkins will be available for Sunday.\u00a0 \u00a0Raekwon Davis and Christian Wilkins are the other starters.\u00a0 Wilkins is 2nd<\/sup> on the team with 82 tackles.\u00a0 Ogbah leads the team with 9 sacks, deflected 10 passes, and had 9 tackles for loss.\u00a0 Those are extremely high numbers for a down lineman.\u00a0 Former Patriot Adam Butler is also a backup. \u00a0\u00a0The Dolphins pass rush is surprisingly good.\u00a0 They rank 4th<\/sup> in the league with 46.\u00a0 They are also a very blitz-heavy team, blitzing 39.8%, good for 2nd<\/sup> in the league.<\/p>\n

       <\/p>\n

      Linebackers<\/strong> – \u00a0\u00a0Jerome Baker, the RILB is the soul of the Dolphins defense and leads the team with 86 tackles.\u00a0 He also chips in with5.5 sacks.\u00a0 Jaelen Phillips is 2nd<\/sup> with 8.5 sacks from his SLB position.\u00a0 Former Patriot Elandon Roberts mans the LILB slot and is 3rd on the team in tackles with 78.\u00a0 Andrew Van Ginkel fills out the linebackers and he has 64 tackles on the season.\u00a0 The four linebackers have only missed one game amongst them.<\/p>\n

       <\/p>\n

      Secondary<\/strong> – \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0Xavier Howard is a lockdown corner and I would expect to see him shadowing Jakobi Meyers.\u00a0 If Howard is on Meyers, then expect low numbers from Mac Jone’s favorite target.\u00a0 Howard has 15 Pass Breakups (PBU) and 4 INTs this season.\u00a0 His low tackle total of 47, reflects that teams aren\u2019t throwing his way.\u00a0 Former Patriot S Eric Rowe and S Brandon Jones each have 71 tackles.\u00a0 S Javon Holland has 64 tackles, 10 PBUs, and 2 INTs. \u00a0\u00a0Byron Jones is the LCB and he also has 10 PBUs.\u00a0 Former Patriot Justin Coleman is a backup and special teamer.\u00a0 The secondary has also been very healthy.\u00a0 Of the top five players, only Brandon Jones has missed time (2 games).\u00a0 Everyone is healthy for this game.<\/p>\n

       <\/p>\n

      Special Teams <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
      <\/td>\nSTARTER<\/strong><\/td>\n2ND<\/strong><\/td>\n3RD<\/strong><\/td>\n4TH<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      PK<\/td>\nJason Sanders<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      P<\/td>\nMichael Palardy<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      H<\/td>\nMichael Palardy<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      PR<\/td>\nJaylen Waddle<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      KR<\/td>\nJaylen Waddle<\/td>\nNoah Igbinoghene\u00a0O<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      LS<\/td>\nBlake Ferguson<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

       <\/p>\n

      Sanders is the 21st<\/sup> ranked kicker in the league. \u00a0He has converted 21 of 29 Field Goal attempts.\u00a0 His long kick is 51 yards.\u00a0 He is almost automatic on Extra Points making 31 of 31 attempts.\u00a0 Palardy is ranked 24th<\/sup> in the league.\u00a0 The Patriots will have a big advantage in the kicking game with Folk as the top placekicker and Jake bailey the 7th<\/sup> ranked punter.\u00a0 Jaylen Waddle is a dangerous return man.\u00a0 He will be handling both Kickoffs and Punt Returns.\u00a0 Any time he touches the ball he can take it to the house.<\/p>\n

       <\/p>\n

      Prediction<\/strong> \u2013 The Patriots have lost 4 of the last 6 in Miami.\u00a0\u00a0 The Dolphins are the healthiest team the Patriots have played since they played them in week one of the season.\u00a0 I expect that Miami\u2019s defense will try and take away the run and force Mac Jones to be one-dimensional and have to pass.\u00a0 This is when they can start dialing up the blitzes and either get sacks or hurried throws.\u00a0 They want to speed him up into bad decisions.\u00a0 I can\u2019t believe the Patriots are favored by 6.5 points in this game.\u00a0 I expect the Dolphins to run some no-huddle offense to keep the Patriots defenders on the field and get them tired.\u00a0 Crowd noise could be a big factor here.\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0I don\u2019t have a good feeling about this game.\u00a0 My hope is the Patriots run game can be dominant and keep the game close.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      We have arrived at week 18, in uncharted waters of the expanded NFL season.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":37798,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[22712],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39291","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-2021-patriots-season"],"yoast_head":"\nMORSE: Week 18 Preview - New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"We have arrived at week 18, in uncharted waters of the expanded NFL season.\u00a0\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/2022\/01\/07\/morse-week-18-preview-new-england-patriots-at-miami-dolphins\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"MORSE: Week 18 Preview - 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